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Magic at Raptors

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 28 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final ORL 99 – TOR 129
← NBA / Oct 28

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL2528232399
TOR32373426129
Team box
ORL·TOR
33-80
field goals
44-88
10-35
3-pointers
15-35
23-29
free throws
26-31
34
rebounds
45
22
assists
33
20
turnovers
15
44
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Scottie BarnesTOR312864
RJ BarrettTOR322596
Tristan da SilvaORL312031
Immanuel QuickleyTOR291637
Franz WagnerORL341545
Ja'Kobe WalterTOR281452

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +33
ORL +33
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 33 · ORL 9lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 38%, TOR 62% · Updated Oct 28

Expected margin
TOR by 4.7
Expected score
TOR 114.2 – 109.4 ORL
Expected total
223.6
MagicThe matchupRaptors
+164Our fair odds−164
109.4Expected points114.2
+0.10Power rating+0.30
109.7Points / game113.7
116.3Allowed / game103.7
45.0FG%42.3
32.03P%26.3
43.7Rebounds / game46.0
1−2Season record2−1
4−6Last 105−5
Izaiyah Nelson · Jalen Suggs
Jonathan Isaac · Noah Penda
Paolo BancheroOutKawhi Leonard · Malachi Smith
Nate Bittle

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · TOR chance
Our model fair37.9%62.1%
Kalshi38.6%65.6%
Polymarket US38.6%65.6%
ProphetX38.3%64.5%
Novig37.0%63.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:30 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:29 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:29 PM CT
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+16438%+15938.6%+15938.6%+16138.3%+17037.0%
TORToronto Raptors−16462%−19165.6%−19165.6%−18264.5%−17463.5%
SpreadTOR by 4.7
ORLOrlando Magic+4.7our margin+5.5 −11653.7%+5.5 −11653.7%+5.5 −11353.1%+5.5 −11152.5%
TORToronto Raptors−4.7our margin−5.5 −10350.7%−5.5 −10350.7%−5.5 +10349.3%−5.5 +10848.0%
Totalwe expect 223.6
Over223.6our totalo225.5 +10149.7%o225.5 +10149.7%o225.5 +10548.9%o225.5 +10848.0%
Under223.6our totalu225.5 −12154.7%u225.5 −12154.7%u225.5 −11653.8%u225.5 −11353.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 4.7 expected
Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%
← ORL wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more53%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more38%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.6 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
GJase Richardsonstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·TOR
Oct 25 at NY
last game
Oct 25 at MIN
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 28, 6:15 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLIzaiyah Nelson · left ankle injury recoveryOut
ORLJalen Suggs · hamstring right knee contusion / bone bruiseOut
ORLJonathan Isaac · left knee injury managementOut
ORLNoah Penda · right partially tornOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · right low grade high ankle sprainOut
Toronto Raptors
TORKawhi Leonard · left knee effusion / swellingOut
TORMalachi Smith · g league - two-wayOut
TORNate Bittle · right foot avulsion fractureOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
ORL·TOR
+0.10
rating (0 = average)
+0.30
109.7
points / game
113.7
116.3
points allowed / game
103.7
1−2
season record
2−1
0−2
home record
1−0
1−0
away record
1−1
W1
streak
L1
4−6
last 10
5−5
45.0
FG%
42.3
32.0
3P%
26.3
43.7
rebounds / game
46.0
27.3
assists / game
25.3
17.3
turnovers / game
15.0
45.3
points in paint / game
53.3

Rating Trend

ORL · TOR · 8 days
Orlando MagicToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 5−5
Mar 29at TORTOR 139 − 87
Jan 30at ORLORL 130 − 120
Dec 29, 2025at TORTOR 107 − 106
Mar 4, 2025at ORLTOR 114 − 113
Mar 2, 2025at ORLTOR 104 − 102
Jan 21, 2025at TORTOR 109 − 93
Jan 3, 2025at TORORL 106 − 97
Mar 17, 2024at ORLORL 111 − 96
Mar 15, 2024at TORORL 113 − 103
Nov 21, 2023at ORLORL 126 − 107

ORL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Oct 25at NY111 − 102W
Oct 23vs MIN93 − 115L
Oct 21vs ATL125 − 132L
May 3at DET94 − 116L
May 1vs DET79 − 93L
Apr 29at DET109 − 116L
Apr 27vs DET94 − 88W
Apr 25vs DET113 − 105W
Apr 22at DET83 − 98L
Apr 19at DET112 − 101W

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 25at MIN94 − 117L
Oct 23at WSH112 − 102W
Oct 21vs CHI135 − 92W
May 3at CLE102 − 114L
May 1vs CLE112 − 110W
Apr 29at CLE120 − 125L
Apr 26vs CLE93 − 89W
Apr 23vs CLE126 − 104W
Apr 20at CLE105 − 115L
Apr 18at CLE113 − 126L