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Cavaliers at Raptors

NBA · Friday, May 1 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final CLE 110 – TOR 112
← NBA / May 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
CLE321930236110
TOR322931128112
Team box
CLE·TOR
40-93
field goals
40-87
11-41
3-pointers
13-36
19-27
free throws
19-23
52
rebounds
38
23
assists
27
18
turnovers
16
54
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Evan MobleyCLE4126143
Scottie BarnesTOR4825714
RJ BarrettTOR432493
Donovan MitchellCLE412452
Ja'Kobe WalterTOR432450
Collin Murray-BoylesTOR401772

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +16
CLE +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: TOR 16 · CLE 6lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 54%, TOR 46% · Updated May 1

Expected margin
CLE by 1.8
Expected score
CLE 115.8 – 114.0 TOR
Expected total
229.8
CavaliersThe matchupRaptors
−119Our fair odds+119
115.8Expected points114.0
+0.57Power rating+0.15
119.5Points / game114.6
115.4Allowed / game111.8
48.3FG%48.2
36.13P%35.5
44.4Rebounds / game42.1
52−30 · 3−2 postSeason record46−36 · 2−3 post
7−3Last 105−5
—OutImmanuel Quickley

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · TOR chance
Our model fair54.3%45.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11954%————
TORToronto Raptors+11946%————
SpreadCLE by 1.8
CLECleveland Cavaliers−1.8our margin————
TORToronto Raptors+1.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.8
Over229.8our total————
Under229.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 1.8 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%
← CLE wins byTOR wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more45%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more31%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.8 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.550%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GMax Strusstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Toronto Raptors
GJamal Sheadstarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·TOR
Apr 29 vs TOR
last game
Apr 29 at CLE
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · May 1, 5:00 PM ET
TORImmanuel Quickley · right hamstring; strainOut
TORBrandon Ingram · right heel; inflammationDoubtful

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 82+ games
CLE·TOR
+0.57
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
119.5
points / game
114.6
115.4
points allowed / game
111.8
52−30 · 3−2 post
season record
46−36 · 2−3 post
27−14
home record
24−17
25−16
away record
22−19
W1
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
5−5
48.3
FG%
48.2
36.1
3P%
35.5
44.4
rebounds / game
42.1
28.3
assists / game
29.5
14.0
turnovers / game
13.7
52.0
points in paint / game
53.2

Rating Trend

CLE · TOR · 172 days
Cleveland CavaliersToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 5−5
Apr 29at CLECLE 125 − 120post
Apr 26at TORTOR 93 − 89post
Apr 23at TORTOR 126 − 104post
Apr 20at CLECLE 115 − 105post
Apr 18at CLECLE 126 − 113post
Nov 24, 2025at TORTOR 110 − 99
Nov 13, 2025at CLETOR 126 − 113
Oct 31, 2025at CLETOR 112 − 101
Feb 12, 2025at TORCLE 131 − 108
Jan 9, 2025at CLECLE 132 − 126

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Apr 29vs TOR125 − 120W
Apr 26at TOR89 − 93L
Apr 23at TOR104 − 126L
Apr 20vs TOR115 − 105W
Apr 18vs TOR126 − 113W
Apr 12vs WSH130 − 117W
Apr 10at ATL102 − 124L
Apr 8vs ATL122 − 116W
Apr 6at MEM142 − 126W
Apr 5vs IND117 − 108W

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Apr 29at CLE120 − 125L
Apr 26vs CLE93 − 89W
Apr 23vs CLE126 − 104W
Apr 20at CLE105 − 115L
Apr 18at CLE113 − 126L
Apr 12vs BKN136 − 101W
Apr 10at NY95 − 112L
Apr 9vs MIA128 − 114W
Apr 7vs MIA121 − 95W
Apr 5at BOS101 − 115L