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Wizards at Cavaliers

NBA · Sunday, Apr 12 · 5:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final WSH 117 – CLE 130
← NBA / Apr 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH21344022117
CLE43223431130
Team box
WSH·CLE
42-90
field goals
48-89
18-41
3-pointers
18-43
15-19
free throws
16-21
30
rebounds
53
29
assists
31
13
turnovers
20
34
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Nae'Qwan TomlinCLE362685
Jamir WatkinsWSH342443
Tyrese ProctorCLE3522118
Bub CarringtonWSH382029
Sharife CooperWSH282026
Jaylon TysonCLE261863

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +25
WSH +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 25 · WSH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 11%, CLE 89% · Updated Apr 12

Expected margin
CLE by 18.1
Expected score
CLE 128.6 – 110.5 WSH
Expected total
239.1
WizardsThe matchupCavaliers
+845Our fair odds−845
110.5Expected points128.6
−1.34Power rating+0.60
112.9Points / game119.4
124.8Allowed / game115.4
46.3FG%48.2
35.53P%36.1
42.0Rebounds / game44.3
17−64Season record51−30
1−9Last 107−3
Alex Sarr · Anthony Davis
Bilal Coulibaly · Cam Whitmore
D'Angelo RussellOut (5 each)Dean Wade · Dennis Schroder
Donovan Mitchell · Evan Mobley
James Harden

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · CLE chance
Our model fair10.6%89.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+84511%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−84589%————
SpreadCLE by 18.1
WSHWashington Wizards+18.1our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−18.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 239.1
Over239.1our total————
Under239.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 18.1 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more85%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more74%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more60%
Within 5 points either way12%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

239.1 expected
189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 229.567%
Total over 239.548%
Total over 249.530%
Total from 230 to 24937%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GJamir Watkinsstarted
GBub Carringtonstarted
GWill Rileystarted
FAnthony Gillstarted
FJustin Champagniestarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GMax Strusstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
GCraig Porter Jr.started
FLarry Nance Jr.started
FNae'Qwan Tomlinstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·CLE
Apr 10 vs MIA
last game
Apr 10 at ATL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 12, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; capsulitisOut
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHBilal Coulibaly · right retrocalcaneal; bursitisOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deepOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
WSHTrae Young · vein thrombosis low back; pain; right quad contusionOut
WSHTre Johnson · right foot; sprain; low back strainOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · right knee; contusionOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDean Wade · right ankle; injury maintenanceOut
CLEDennis Schroder · restOut
CLEDonovan Mitchell · right ankle; injury maintenanceOut
CLEEvan Mobley · left calf; injury maintenanceOut
CLEJames Harden · restOut
CLEJarrett Allen · right knee; injury maintenanceOut
CLEKeon Ellis · left knee; contusionOut
CLESam Merrill · left hamstring; injury maintenanceOut
CLEThomas Bryant · left calf; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 81+ games
WSH·CLE
−1.34
rating (0 = average)
+0.60
112.9
points / game
119.4
124.8
points allowed / game
115.4
17−64
season record
51−30
11−30
home record
26−14
6−34
away record
25−16
L9
streak
L1
1−9
last 10
7−3
46.3
FG%
48.2
35.5
3P%
36.1
42.0
rebounds / game
44.3
25.0
assists / game
28.3
15.7
turnovers / game
13.9
47.7
points in paint / game
51.9

Rating Trend

WSH · CLE · 158 days
Washington WizardsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 10−0
Feb 11at CLECLE 138 − 113
Dec 12, 2025at WSHCLE 130 − 126
Nov 7, 2025at WSHCLE 148 − 115
Feb 7, 2025at WSHCLE 134 − 124
Dec 13, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 105
Dec 3, 2024at CLECLE 118 − 87
Oct 26, 2024at WSHCLE 135 − 116
Feb 25, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 105
Feb 7, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 106
Jan 5, 2024at CLECLE 114 − 90

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L9
Apr 10vs MIA117 − 140L
Apr 9vs CHI108 − 119L
Apr 7vs CHI98 − 129L
Apr 5at BKN115 − 121L
Apr 4at MIA136 − 152L
Apr 1vs PHI131 − 153L
Mar 30at LAL101 − 120L
Mar 29at POR88 − 123L
Mar 27at GS126 − 131L
Mar 25at UTAH133 − 110W

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Apr 10at ATL102 − 124L
Apr 8vs ATL122 − 116W
Apr 6at MEM142 − 126W
Apr 5vs IND117 − 108W
Apr 2at GS118 − 111W
Mar 31at LAL113 − 127L
Mar 30at UTAH122 − 113W
Mar 27vs MIA149 − 128W
Mar 25vs MIA103 − 120L
Mar 24vs ORL136 − 131W