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Bulls at Wizards

NBA · Thursday, Apr 9 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final CHI 119 – WSH 108
← NBA / Apr 9

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI32203532119
WSH24272334108
Team box
CHI·WSH
43-93
field goals
38-96
9-30
3-pointers
10-38
24-25
free throws
22-27
51
rebounds
52
26
assists
24
16
turnovers
19
68
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tre JonesCHI303163
Collin SextonCHI342732
Leonard MillerCHI3926113
Will RileyWSH382397
Julian ReeseWSH3916151
Patrick WilliamsCHI391584

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +19
CHI +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 3 · CHI 19lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 65%, WSH 35% · Updated Apr 9

Expected margin
CHI by 4.8
Expected score
CHI 124.6 – 119.8 WSH
Expected total
244.4
BullsThe matchupWizards
−187Our fair odds+187
124.6Expected points119.8
−0.49Power rating−1.34
116.3Points / game112.9
121.3Allowed / game124.7
46.9FG%46.3
35.83P%35.5
45.1Rebounds / game42.1
30−49Season record17−62
2−8Last 101−9
Anfernee Simons · Isaac Okoro
Jalen Smith · Josh Giddey
Matas BuzelisOut (5 each)Alex Sarr · Anthony Davis
Bilal Coulibaly · Cam Whitmore
D'Angelo Russell

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · WSH chance
Our model fair65.1%34.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls−18765%————
WSHWashington Wizards+18735%————
SpreadCHI by 4.8
CHIChicago Bulls−4.8our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+4.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 244.4
Over244.4our total————
Under244.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 4.8 expected
Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%
← CHI wins byWSH wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more53%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more38%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

244.4 expected
193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: <1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 2%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: 1%278 points: 1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%307 points: <1%308 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 234.567%
Total over 244.548%
Total over 254.531%
Total from 235 to 25436%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GCollin Sextonstarted
GTre Jonesstarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FPatrick Williamsstarted
FLeonard Millerstarted
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GWill Rileystarted
FAnthony Gillstarted
FLeaky Blackstarted
FJulian Reesestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·WSH
Apr 7 at WSH
last game
Apr 7 vs CHI
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 9, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIIsaac Okoro · left quadricep; contusionOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strainOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strain; injury managementOut
CHIMatas Buzelis · n/a; illnessOut
CHINick Richards · right elbow; sprainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut
CHICollin Sexton · right finger; mallet fingerProbable
CHILachlan Olbrich · bilateral plantar fascia; fasciitisProbable
and 1 more
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; capsulitisOut
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHBilal Coulibaly · right retrocalcaneal; bursitisOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHJaden Hardy · low back; spasmOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
WSHTrae Young · low back; pain; right quad contusionOut
WSHTre Johnson · right foot; sprain; low back sorenessOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · right knee; contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 79+ games
CHI·WSH
−0.49
rating (0 = average)
−1.34
116.3
points / game
112.9
121.3
points allowed / game
124.7
30−49
season record
17−62
18−22
home record
11−28
12−27
away record
6−34
W1
streak
L7
2−8
last 10
1−9
46.9
FG%
46.3
35.8
3P%
35.5
45.1
rebounds / game
42.1
28.5
assists / game
25.0
15.1
turnovers / game
15.7
52.5
points in paint / game
47.6

Rating Trend

CHI · WSH · 156 days
Chicago BullsWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 2−8
Apr 7at WSHCHI 129 − 98
Nov 22, 2025at CHICHI 121 − 120
Apr 11, 2025at CHICHI 119 − 89
Jan 10, 2025at CHICHI 138 − 105
Jan 1, 2025at WSHWSH 125 − 107
Nov 26, 2024at WSHCHI 127 − 108
Apr 12, 2024at WSHCHI 129 − 127
Mar 25, 2024at CHIWSH 107 − 105
Mar 16, 2024at CHICHI 127 − 98
Feb 26, 2023at CHICHI 102 − 82

CHI · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Apr 7at WSH129 − 98W
Apr 5vs PHX110 − 120L
Apr 3at NY96 − 136L
Apr 1vs IND126 − 145L
Mar 30at SA114 − 129L
Mar 28at MEM124 − 125L
Mar 27at OKC113 − 131L
Mar 25at PHI137 − 157L
Mar 23vs HOU132 − 124W
Mar 19vs CLE110 − 115L

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L7
Apr 7vs CHI98 − 129L
Apr 5at BKN115 − 121L
Apr 4at MIA136 − 152L
Apr 1vs PHI131 − 153L
Mar 30at LAL101 − 120L
Mar 29at POR88 − 123L
Mar 27at GS126 − 131L
Mar 25at UTAH133 − 110W
Mar 22at NY113 − 145L
Mar 21vs OKC111 − 132L