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Wizards at Jazz

NBA · Wednesday, Mar 25 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final WSH 133 – UTAH 110
← NBA / Mar 25

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH33393229133
UTAH20253035110
Team box
WSH·UTAH
52-94
field goals
45-96
13-32
3-pointers
7-29
16-24
free throws
13-25
56
rebounds
40
27
assists
34
19
turnovers
15
70
points in paint
72
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Julian ReeseWSH3026170
Cody WilliamsUTAH372441
Jaden HardyWSH272120
Blake HinsonUTAH112101
Will RileyWSH2219105
Sharife CooperWSH251746

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +37
WSH +37
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 0 · WSH 37lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 36%, UTAH 64% · Updated Mar 25

Expected margin
UTAH by 5.7
Expected score
UTAH 125.4 – 119.8 WSH
Expected total
245.2
WizardsThe matchupJazz
+175Our fair odds−175
119.8Expected points125.4
−1.31Power rating−0.95
112.5Points / game117.4
124.1Allowed / game125.1
46.1FG%46.6
35.63P%34.8
42.2Rebounds / game43.7
16−55Season record21−51
0−10Last 103−7
Alex Sarr · Anthony Davis
Cam Whitmore · D'Angelo Russell
Kyshawn GeorgeOut (5 each)Brice Sensabaugh · Isaiah Collier
Jaren Jackson Jr. · Jusuf Nurkic
Keyonte George

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair36.4%63.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+17536%————
UTAHUtah Jazz−17564%————
SpreadUTAH by 5.7
WSHWashington Wizards+5.7our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz−5.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 245.2
Over245.2our total————
Under245.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Utah Jazz by 5.7 expected
Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%
← WSH wins byUTAH wins by →
Utah Jazz wins by 5 or more56%
Utah Jazz wins by 10 or more40%
Utah Jazz wins by 15 or more26%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

245.2 expected
194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: <1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 2%258 points: 2%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: 1%278 points: 1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%307 points: <1%308 points: <1%309 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 235.566%
Total over 245.548%
Total over 255.530%
Total from 236 to 25536%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GWill Rileystarted
FLeaky Blackstarted
FJulian Reesestarted
Utah Jazz
GJohn Koncharstarted
GElijah Harklessstarted
GAce Baileystarted
GBez Mbengstarted
FCody Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·UTAH
Mar 22 at NY
last game
Mar 23 vs TOR
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 25, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; capsulitisOut
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
WSHTrae Young · low back; pain; right quad contusionOut
WSHTre Johnson · right foot; sprainOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · low back; tightnessOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHBrice Sensabaugh · restOut
UTAHIsaiah Collier · left hamstring; injury managementOut
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · right knee; injury recoveryOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · nose; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKeyonte George · right hamstring; strainOut
UTAHKyle Filipowski · n/a; illnessOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right hip; impingementOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHCody Williams · right shoulder; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 71+ games
WSH·UTAH
−1.31
rating (0 = average)
−0.95
112.5
points / game
117.4
124.1
points allowed / game
125.1
16−55
season record
21−51
11−26
home record
13−24
5−29
away record
8−27
L16
streak
L2
0−10
last 10
3−7
46.1
FG%
46.6
35.6
3P%
34.8
42.2
rebounds / game
43.7
25.0
assists / game
29.3
15.7
turnovers / game
15.7
46.7
points in paint / game
51.1

Rating Trend

WSH · UTAH · 141 days
Washington WizardsUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · UTAH 6−3
Mar 5at WSHUTAH 122 − 112
Mar 19, 2025at UTAHUTAH 128 − 112
Mar 5, 2025at WSHWSH 125 − 122
Mar 4, 2024at UTAHUTAH 127 − 115
Jan 25, 2024at WSHUTAH 123 − 108
Dec 22, 2022at UTAHUTAH 120 − 112
Nov 12, 2022at WSHWSH 121 − 112
Dec 18, 2021at UTAHWSH 109 − 103
Dec 11, 2021at WSHUTAH 123 − 98

WSH · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Mar 22at NY113 − 145L
Mar 21vs OKC111 − 132L
Mar 19vs DET95 − 117L
Mar 17vs DET117 − 130L
Mar 16vs GS117 − 125L
Mar 14at BOS100 − 111L
Mar 12at ORL131 − 136L
Mar 10at MIA129 − 150L
Mar 8at NO118 − 138L
Mar 5vs UTAH112 − 122L

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Mar 23vs TOR127 − 143L
Mar 21vs PHI116 − 126L
Mar 19vs MIL128 − 96W
Mar 18at MIN111 − 147L
Mar 15at SAC111 − 116L
Mar 13at POR114 − 124L
Mar 11vs NY117 − 134L
Mar 9vs GS119 − 116W
Mar 7at MIL99 − 113L
Mar 5at WSH122 − 112W