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Suns at Bulls

NBA · Sunday, Apr 5 · 2:30 PM CT · United Center · Final PHX 120 – CHI 110
← NBA / Apr 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX30332334120
CHI30262826110
Team box
PHX·CHI
45-89
field goals
41-91
13-32
3-pointers
10-39
17-22
free throws
18-23
41
rebounds
46
22
assists
26
16
turnovers
19
52
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Devin BookerPHX363034
Tre JonesCHI312936
Jalen GreenPHX362544
Collin SextonCHI311891
Leonard MillerCHI3317102
Dillon BrooksPHX331543

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +13
PHX +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 7 · PHX 13lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 57%, CHI 43% · Updated Apr 5

Expected margin
PHX by 2.9
Expected score
PHX 117.8 – 114.8 CHI
Expected total
232.6
SunsThe matchupBulls
−135Our fair odds+135
117.8Expected points114.8
+0.12Power rating−0.41
112.8Points / game116.2
111.3Allowed / game121.6
45.6FG%46.9
36.13P%35.9
43.0Rebounds / game44.9
42−35Season record29−48
3−7Last 102−8
Haywood HighsmithOutAnfernee Simons · Jalen Smith
Josh Giddey · Matas Buzelis
Nick Richards

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · CHI chance
Our model fair57.5%42.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns−13557%————
CHIChicago Bulls+13543%————
SpreadPHX by 2.9
PHXPhoenix Suns−2.9our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+2.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.6
Over232.6our total————
Under232.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 2.9 expected
Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%
← PHX wins byCHI wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more48%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more33%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.6 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GJordan Goodwinstarted
GJalen Greenstarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted
Chicago Bulls
GCollin Sextonstarted
GTre Jonesstarted
FGuerschon Yabuselestarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FLeonard Millerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·CHI
Apr 2 at CHA
last game
Apr 3 at NY
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 5, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXHaywood Highsmith · right knee; injury managementOut
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; strainOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strain; injury managementOut
CHIMatas Buzelis · n/a; illnessOut
CHINick Richards · right elbow; sprainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 77+ games
PHX·CHI
+0.12
rating (0 = average)
−0.41
112.8
points / game
116.2
111.3
points allowed / game
121.6
42−35
season record
29−48
24−15
home record
18−21
18−20
away record
11−27
L2
streak
L6
3−7
last 10
2−8
45.6
FG%
46.9
36.1
3P%
35.9
43.0
rebounds / game
44.9
24.9
assists / game
28.5
14.4
turnovers / game
15.1
42.9
points in paint / game
52.3

Rating Trend

PHX · CHI · 152 days
Phoenix SunsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · CHI 1−8
Mar 5at PHXCHI 105 − 103
Mar 19, 2025at PHXPHX 127 − 121
Feb 22, 2025at CHIPHX 121 − 117
Jan 22, 2024at PHXPHX 115 − 113
Nov 8, 2023at CHIPHX 116 − 115
Mar 3, 2023at CHIPHX 125 − 104
Nov 30, 2022at PHXPHX 132 − 113
Mar 18, 2022at PHXPHX 129 − 102
Feb 7, 2022at CHIPHX 127 − 124

PHX · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Apr 2at CHA107 − 127L
Mar 31at ORL111 − 115L
Mar 30at MEM131 − 105W
Mar 28vs UTAH134 − 109W
Mar 24vs DEN123 − 125L
Mar 22vs TOR120 − 98W
Mar 21vs MIL105 − 108L
Mar 19at SA100 − 101L
Mar 17at MIN104 − 116L
Mar 16at BOS112 − 120L

CHI · Last 10

2−8 · streak L6
Apr 3at NY96 − 136L
Apr 1vs IND126 − 145L
Mar 30at SA114 − 129L
Mar 28at MEM124 − 125L
Mar 27at OKC113 − 131L
Mar 25at PHI137 − 157L
Mar 23vs HOU132 − 124W
Mar 19vs CLE110 − 115L
Mar 18vs TOR109 − 139L
Mar 16vs MEM132 − 107W