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Jazz at Suns

NBA · Saturday, Mar 28 · 9:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final UTAH 109 – PHX 134
← NBA / Mar 28

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH21243826109
PHX39343526134
Team box
UTAH·PHX
43-92
field goals
52-104
10-23
3-pointers
17-53
13-19
free throws
13-21
42
rebounds
60
30
assists
29
14
turnovers
13
60
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen GreenPHX223163
Kyle FilipowskiUTAH292693
Devin BookerPHX272638
Brice SensabaughUTAH332622
Grayson AllenPHX211933
Svi MykhailiukUTAH91421

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +34
UTAH +34
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 34 · UTAH 4lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 23%, PHX 77% · Updated Mar 28

Expected margin
PHX by 10.2
Expected score
PHX 122.4 – 112.2 UTAH
Expected total
234.7
JazzThe matchupSuns
+342Our fair odds−342
112.2Expected points122.4
−0.95Power rating+0.08
117.5Points / game112.4
125.3Allowed / game111.2
46.7FG%45.5
34.53P%36.2
43.7Rebounds / game42.9
21−53Season record40−33
2−8Last 104−6
Blake Hinson · Isaiah Collier
Jaren Jackson Jr. · Jusuf Nurkic
Keyonte GeorgeOutAmir Coffey · Dillon Brooks
Haywood Highsmith · Mark Williams

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · PHX chance
Our model fair22.7%77.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+34223%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−34277%————
SpreadPHX by 10.2
UTAHUtah Jazz+10.2our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−10.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.7
Over234.7our total————
Under234.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 10.2 expected
Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 47 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 48 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 49 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 50 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 51 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 52 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more67%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more52%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more37%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.7 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.569%
Total over 234.549%
Total over 244.530%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GElijah Harklessstarted
GAce Baileystarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
FCody Williamsstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
GJalen Greenstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FOso Ighodarostarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·PHX
Mar 27 at DEN
last game
Mar 24 vs DEN
0 days
days of rest
3 days
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 28, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHBlake Hinson · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHIsaiah Collier · left hamstring; injury managementOut
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · left knee; injury recoveryOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · nose; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKeyonte George · right hamstring; strainOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right hip; impingementOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
Phoenix Suns
PHXAmir Coffey · left ankle; sprainOut
PHXDillon Brooks · left hand; fractureOut
PHXHaywood Highsmith · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXMark Williams · left foot third metatarsal; stress reactionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 73+ games
UTAH·PHX
−0.95
rating (0 = average)
+0.08
117.5
points / game
112.4
125.3
points allowed / game
111.2
21−53
season record
40−33
13−25
home record
23−15
8−28
away record
17−18
L4
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
4−6
46.7
FG%
45.5
34.5
3P%
36.2
43.7
rebounds / game
42.9
29.4
assists / game
24.7
15.6
turnovers / game
14.4
51.8
points in paint / game
42.4

Rating Trend

UTAH · PHX · 144 days
Utah JazzPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 9−1
Oct 31, 2025at PHXPHX 118 − 96
Oct 27, 2025at UTAHUTAH 138 − 134
Feb 7, 2025at PHXPHX 135 − 127
Jan 11, 2025at PHXPHX 114 − 106
Dec 13, 2024at UTAHPHX 134 − 126
Nov 12, 2024at UTAHPHX 120 − 112
Feb 8, 2024at PHXPHX 129 − 115
Nov 19, 2023at UTAHPHX 140 − 137
Nov 17, 2023at UTAHPHX 131 − 128
Oct 28, 2023at PHXPHX 126 − 104

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Mar 27at DEN129 − 135L
Mar 25vs WSH110 − 133L
Mar 23vs TOR127 − 143L
Mar 21vs PHI116 − 126L
Mar 19vs MIL128 − 96W
Mar 18at MIN111 − 147L
Mar 15at SAC111 − 116L
Mar 13at POR114 − 124L
Mar 11vs NY117 − 134L
Mar 9vs GS119 − 116W

PHX · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Mar 24vs DEN123 − 125L
Mar 22vs TOR120 − 98W
Mar 21vs MIL105 − 108L
Mar 19at SA100 − 101L
Mar 17at MIN104 − 116L
Mar 16at BOS112 − 120L
Mar 13at TOR115 − 122L
Mar 12at IND123 − 108W
Mar 10at MIL129 − 114W
Mar 8vs CHA111 − 99W