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Wizards at Warriors

NBA · Friday, Mar 27 · 9:00 PM CT · Chase Center · Final WSH 126 – GS 131
← NBA / Mar 27

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH25353432126
GS38342039131
Team box
WSH·GS
50-95
field goals
44-85
18-42
3-pointers
19-44
8-10
free throws
24-31
38
rebounds
43
29
assists
32
11
turnovers
12
54
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kristaps PorzingisGS292883
Gui SantosGS332744
Brandin PodziemskiGS3322107
Will RileyWSH292255
Bilal CoulibalyWSH192162
Bub CarringtonWSH261625

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
GS +16
WSH +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: GS 16 · WSH 5lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 17%, GS 83% · Updated Mar 27

Expected margin
GS by 14.1
Expected score
GS 123.2 – 109.2 WSH
Expected total
232.4
WizardsThe matchupWarriors
+488Our fair odds−488
109.2Expected points123.2
−1.31Power rating+0.09
112.8Points / game115.0
123.9Allowed / game114.8
46.2FG%46.1
35.73P%35.3
42.4Rebounds / game42.6
17−55Season record35−38
1−9Last 103−7
Anthony Davis · Cam Whitmore
D'Angelo Russell · Kyshawn George
Trae YoungOut (5 each)Al Horford · Jimmy Butler III
Moses Moody · Quinten Post
Seth Curry

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · GS chance
Our model fair17.0%83.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+48817%————
GSGolden State Warriors−48883%————
SpreadGS by 14.1
WSHWashington Wizards+14.1our margin————
GSGolden State Warriors−14.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.4
Over232.4our total————
Under232.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Golden State Warriors by 14.1 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 43 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 44 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 45 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 46 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 47 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 48 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 49 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 50 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 51 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 52 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byGS wins by →
Golden State Warriors wins by 5 or more76%
Golden State Warriors wins by 10 or more63%
Golden State Warriors wins by 15 or more47%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.4 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.568%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FLeaky Blackstarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Golden State Warriors
GBrandin Podziemskistarted
GWill Richardstarted
FDraymond Greenstarted
FGui Santosstarted
CKristaps Porzingisstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·GS
Mar 25 at UTAH
last game
Mar 25 vs BKN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 27, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
WSHTrae Young · low back; pain; right quad contusionOut
Golden State Warriors
GSAl Horford · right soleus; strainOut
GSJimmy Butler III · right acl; surgeryOut
GSMoses Moody · left patellar tendon; ruptureOut
GSQuinten Post · right foot; injury managementOut
GSSeth Curry · left adductor; strainOut
GSStephen Curry · right patellofemoral; pain syndromeOut
GSDe'Anthony Melton · left knee; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 72+ games
WSH·GS
−1.31
rating (0 = average)
+0.09
112.8
points / game
115.0
123.9
points allowed / game
114.8
17−55
season record
35−38
11−26
home record
20−15
6−29
away record
15−23
W1
streak
W2
1−9
last 10
3−7
46.2
FG%
46.1
35.7
3P%
35.3
42.4
rebounds / game
42.6
25.0
assists / game
29.0
15.8
turnovers / game
15.9
47.0
points in paint / game
44.9

Rating Trend

WSH · GS · 143 days
Washington WizardsGolden State Warriors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · GS 8−1
Mar 16at WSHGS 125 − 117
Jan 18, 2025at GSGS 122 − 114
Nov 4, 2024at WSHGS 125 − 112
Feb 27, 2024at WSHGS 123 − 112
Dec 22, 2023at GSGS 129 − 118
Feb 13, 2023at GSGS 135 − 126
Jan 16, 2023at WSHGS 127 − 118
Mar 27, 2022at WSHWSH 123 − 115
Mar 14, 2022at GSGS 126 − 112

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak W1
Mar 25at UTAH133 − 110W
Mar 22at NY113 − 145L
Mar 21vs OKC111 − 132L
Mar 19vs DET95 − 117L
Mar 17vs DET117 − 130L
Mar 16vs GS117 − 125L
Mar 14at BOS100 − 111L
Mar 12at ORL131 − 136L
Mar 10at MIA129 − 150L
Mar 8at NO118 − 138L

GS · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Mar 25vs BKN109 − 106W
Mar 23at DAL137 − 131W
Mar 21at ATL110 − 126L
Mar 20at DET101 − 115L
Mar 18at BOS99 − 120L
Mar 16at WSH125 − 117W
Mar 15at NY107 − 110L
Mar 13vs MIN117 − 127L
Mar 10vs CHI124 − 130L
Mar 9at UTAH116 − 119L