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Wizards at Lakers

NBA · Monday, Mar 30 · 9:00 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final WSH 101 – LAL 120
← NBA / Mar 30

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH26183324101
LAL25402629120
Team box
WSH·LAL
41-93
field goals
44-79
7-35
3-pointers
7-24
12-16
free throws
25-32
33
rebounds
48
25
assists
29
9
turnovers
15
58
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
LeBron JamesLAL33211012
Will RileyWSH362022
Austin ReavesLAL271939
Jaxson HayesLAL201970
Luke KennardLAL231921
Justin ChampagnieWSH271842

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +30
WSH +30
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 30 · WSH 4lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 14%, LAL 86% · Updated Mar 30

Expected margin
LAL by 15.3
Expected score
LAL 124.7 – 109.3 WSH
Expected total
234.0
WizardsThe matchupLakers
+620Our fair odds−620
109.3Expected points124.7
−1.31Power rating+0.33
112.6Points / game116.6
124.0Allowed / game114.9
46.2FG%50.1
35.63P%35.9
42.3Rebounds / game41.0
17−57Season record48−26
1−9Last 109−1
Anthony Davis · Cam Whitmore
D'Angelo Russell · Kyshawn George
Trae YoungOutAdou Thiero · Luka Doncic
Marcus Smart

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · LAL chance
Our model fair13.9%86.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+62014%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−62086%————
SpreadLAL by 15.3
WSHWashington Wizards+15.3our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−15.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.0
Over234.0our total————
Under234.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 15.3 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 50 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 51 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 52 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more79%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more66%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more51%
Within 5 points either way16%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.0 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.567%
Total over 234.548%
Total over 244.529%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GWill Rileystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FJustin Champagniestarted
FTristan Vukcevicstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·LAL
Mar 29 at POR
last game
Mar 27 vs BKN
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
5th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 30, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
WSHTrae Young · low back; pain; right quad contusionOut
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; capsulitisQuestionable
WSHAnthony Gill · right ankle; sorenessQuestionable
WSHBilal Coulibaly · right retrocalcaneal; bursitisQuestionable
WSHJulian Reese · g league - two-wayQuestionable
WSHLeaky Black · g league - two-wayQuestionable
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · left knee; injury managementOut
LALLuka Doncic · league suspensionOut
LALMarcus Smart · right ankle; contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 74+ games
WSH·LAL
−1.31
rating (0 = average)
+0.33
112.6
points / game
116.6
124.0
points allowed / game
114.9
17−57
season record
48−26
11−26
home record
24−12
6−31
away record
24−14
L2
streak
W2
1−9
last 10
9−1
46.2
FG%
50.1
35.6
3P%
35.9
42.3
rebounds / game
41.0
25.0
assists / game
25.5
15.7
turnovers / game
14.4
47.1
points in paint / game
52.0

Rating Trend

WSH · LAL · 146 days
Washington WizardsLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAL 8−1
Jan 30at WSHLAL 142 − 111
Jan 30, 2025at WSHLAL 134 − 96
Jan 21, 2025at LALLAL 111 − 88
Apr 3, 2024at WSHLAL 125 − 120
Feb 29, 2024at LALLAL 134 − 131
Dec 18, 2022at LALLAL 119 − 117
Dec 4, 2022at WSHLAL 130 − 119
Mar 19, 2022at WSHWSH 127 − 119
Mar 11, 2022at LALLAL 122 − 109

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L2
Mar 29at POR88 − 123L
Mar 27at GS126 − 131L
Mar 25at UTAH133 − 110W
Mar 22at NY113 − 145L
Mar 21vs OKC111 − 132L
Mar 19vs DET95 − 117L
Mar 17vs DET117 − 130L
Mar 16vs GS117 − 125L
Mar 14at BOS100 − 111L
Mar 12at ORL131 − 136L

LAL · Last 10

9−1 · streak W2
Mar 27vs BKN116 − 99W
Mar 25at IND137 − 130W
Mar 23at DET110 − 113L
Mar 21at ORL105 − 104W
Mar 19at MIA134 − 126W
Mar 18at HOU124 − 116W
Mar 16at HOU100 − 92W
Mar 14vs DEN127 − 125W
Mar 12vs CHI142 − 130W
Mar 10vs MIN120 − 106W