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Wizards at Trail Blazers

NBA · Sunday, Mar 29 · 5:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final WSH 88 – POR 123
← NBA / Mar 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH1532192288
POR24343332123
Team box
WSH·POR
32-87
field goals
44-86
5-22
3-pointers
12-36
19-22
free throws
23-32
39
rebounds
49
16
assists
24
16
turnovers
14
44
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Toumani CamaraPOR282371
Scoot HendersonPOR252137
Deni AvdijaPOR282075
Will RileyWSH261411
Bub CarringtonWSH221124
Jrue HolidayPOR221112

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +39
WSH +39
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 39 · WSH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 20%, POR 80% · Updated Mar 29

Expected margin
POR by 12.1
Expected score
POR 123.2 – 111.2 WSH
Expected total
234.4
WizardsThe matchupTrail Blazers
+399Our fair odds−399
111.2Expected points123.2
−1.31Power rating−0.12
113.0Points / game115.2
124.0Allowed / game116.5
46.3FG%45.3
35.83P%34.0
42.4Rebounds / game46.1
17−56Season record37−38
1−9Last 106−4
Alex Sarr · Anthony Davis
Cam Whitmore · D'Angelo Russell
Kyshawn GeorgeOut (5 each)Chris Youngblood · Damian Lillard
Jerami Grant · Shaedon Sharpe
Vit Krejci

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · POR chance
Our model fair20.0%80.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+39920%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−39980%————
SpreadPOR by 12.1
WSHWashington Wizards+12.1our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−12.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.4
Over234.4our total————
Under234.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 12.1 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 48 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 49 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 50 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 51 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 52 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byPOR wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more71%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more57%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more42%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.4 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.549%
Total over 244.530%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FLeaky Blackstarted
FJulian Reesestarted
FTristan Vukcevicstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GScoot Hendersonstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·POR
Mar 27 at GS
last game
Mar 27 vs DAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 29, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; capsulitis; injury managementOut
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
WSHTrae Young · low back; pain; right quad contusionOut
WSHTre Johnson · right foot; sprain; injury managementOut
Portland Trail Blazers
PORChris Youngblood · g league - two-wayOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJerami Grant · right calf; strainOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left fibula; stress reactionOut
PORVit Krejci · left calf; contusionOut
PORRobert Williams III · low back; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 73+ games
WSH·POR
−1.31
rating (0 = average)
−0.12
113.0
points / game
115.2
124.0
points allowed / game
116.5
17−56
season record
37−38
11−26
home record
20−17
6−30
away record
17−21
L1
streak
L1
1−9
last 10
6−4
46.3
FG%
45.3
35.8
3P%
34.0
42.4
rebounds / game
46.1
25.1
assists / game
25.1
15.7
turnovers / game
17.5
47.1
points in paint / game
48.3

Rating Trend

WSH · POR · 145 days
Washington WizardsPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · POR 6−3
Jan 27at WSHWSH 115 − 111
Mar 17, 2025at PORPOR 112 − 97
Feb 26, 2025at WSHPOR 129 − 121
Apr 5, 2024at WSHPOR 108 − 102
Dec 21, 2023at PORWSH 118 − 117
Feb 14, 2023at PORWSH 126 − 101
Feb 3, 2023at WSHPOR 124 − 116
Mar 12, 2022at PORPOR 127 − 118
Jan 15, 2022at WSHPOR 115 − 110

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L1
Mar 27at GS126 − 131L
Mar 25at UTAH133 − 110W
Mar 22at NY113 − 145L
Mar 21vs OKC111 − 132L
Mar 19vs DET95 − 117L
Mar 17vs DET117 − 130L
Mar 16vs GS117 − 125L
Mar 14at BOS100 − 111L
Mar 12at ORL131 − 136L
Mar 10at MIA129 − 150L

POR · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Mar 27vs DAL93 − 100L
Mar 25vs MIL130 − 99W
Mar 23vs BKN134 − 99W
Mar 22at DEN112 − 128L
Mar 20at MIN108 − 104W
Mar 18at IND127 − 119W
Mar 16at BKN114 − 95W
Mar 15at PHI103 − 109L
Mar 13vs UTAH124 − 114W
Mar 10vs CHA101 − 103L