bayesRatings

76ers at Wizards

NBA · Wednesday, Apr 1 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final PHI 153 – WSH 131
← NBA / Apr 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI35384733153
WSH29423228131
Team box
PHI·WSH
61-99
field goals
50-96
17-35
3-pointers
16-40
14-16
free throws
15-17
41
rebounds
32
37
assists
32
11
turnovers
12
76
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Paul GeorgePHI303956
Tyrese MaxeyPHI342829
VJ EdgecombePHI3323310
Anthony GillWSH352166
Will RileyWSH321813
Justin ChampagnieWSH211770

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +24
PHI +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 10 · PHI 24lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 72%, WSH 28% · Updated Apr 1

Expected margin
PHI by 7.1
Expected score
PHI 121.8 – 114.8 WSH
Expected total
236.6
76ersThe matchupWizards
−252Our fair odds+252
121.8Expected points114.8
−0.15Power rating−1.31
116.1Points / game112.5
116.5Allowed / game123.9
46.2FG%46.2
34.53P%35.4
43.4Rebounds / game42.2
41−34Season record17−58
6−4Last 101−9
Joel Embiid · Johni BroomeOutAlex Sarr · Anthony Davis
Cam Whitmore · D'Angelo Russell
Julian Reese

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · WSH chance
Our model fair71.6%28.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−25272%————
WSHWashington Wizards+25228%————
SpreadPHI by 7.1
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−7.1our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+7.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.6
Over236.6our total————
Under236.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 7.1 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%
← PHI wins byWSH wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more60%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more44%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.6 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.568%
Total over 236.549%
Total over 246.530%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAdem Bonastarted
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GWill Rileystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FTristan Vukcevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·WSH
Mar 30 at MIA
last game
Mar 30 at LAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 1, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJoel Embiid · n/a; illnessOut
PHIJohni Broome · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; capsulitisOut
WSHAnthony Davis · left finger; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHD'Angelo Russell · not with teamOut
WSHJulian Reese · g league - two-wayOut
WSHKyshawn George · left elbow; sprainOut
WSHTrae Young · low back; pain; right quad contusionOut
WSHLeaky Black · g league - two-wayQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 75+ games
PHI·WSH
−0.15
rating (0 = average)
−1.31
116.1
points / game
112.5
116.5
points allowed / game
123.9
41−34
season record
17−58
21−17
home record
11−26
20−17
away record
6−32
L1
streak
L3
6−4
last 10
1−9
46.2
FG%
46.2
34.5
3P%
35.4
43.4
rebounds / game
42.2
24.7
assists / game
25.0
13.7
turnovers / game
15.6
49.8
points in paint / game
47.2

Rating Trend

PHI · WSH · 148 days
Philadelphia 76ersWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 1−9
Jan 7at PHIPHI 131 − 110
Dec 2, 2025at PHIPHI 121 − 102
Oct 28, 2025at WSHPHI 139 − 134
Apr 9, 2025at WSHPHI 122 − 103
Mar 26, 2025at PHIWSH 119 − 114
Jan 8, 2025at PHIPHI 109 − 103
Feb 10, 2024at WSHPHI 119 − 113
Dec 11, 2023at PHIPHI 146 − 101
Dec 6, 2023at WSHPHI 131 − 126
Nov 6, 2023at PHIPHI 146 − 128

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Mar 30at MIA109 − 119L
Mar 28at CHA118 − 114W
Mar 25vs CHI157 − 137W
Mar 23vs OKC103 − 123L
Mar 21at UTAH126 − 116W
Mar 19at SAC139 − 118W
Mar 17at DEN96 − 124L
Mar 15vs POR109 − 103W
Mar 14vs BKN104 − 97W
Mar 12at DET109 − 131L

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L3
Mar 30at LAL101 − 120L
Mar 29at POR88 − 123L
Mar 27at GS126 − 131L
Mar 25at UTAH133 − 110W
Mar 22at NY113 − 145L
Mar 21vs OKC111 − 132L
Mar 19vs DET95 − 117L
Mar 17vs DET117 − 130L
Mar 16vs GS117 − 125L
Mar 14at BOS100 − 111L