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Cavaliers at Jazz

NBA · Monday, Mar 30 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final CLE 122 – UTAH 113
← NBA / Mar 30

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE31323128122
UTAH29243624113
Team box
CLE·UTAH
47-90
field goals
42-88
6-32
3-pointers
15-29
22-27
free throws
14-20
49
rebounds
40
33
assists
32
12
turnovers
15
82
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Evan MobleyCLE3034173
Donovan MitchellCLE363425
Cody WilliamsUTAH372664
Kyle FilipowskiUTAH2420105
Ace BaileyUTAH351925
Brice SensabaughUTAH261845

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +15
CLE +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 2 · CLE 15lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 79%, UTAH 21% · Updated Mar 30

Expected margin
CLE by 11.7
Expected score
CLE 128.2 – 116.5 UTAH
Expected total
244.6
CavaliersThe matchupJazz
−373Our fair odds+373
128.2Expected points116.5
+0.59Power rating−0.95
119.4Points / game117.4
115.2Allowed / game125.4
48.0FG%46.7
36.43P%34.6
44.3Rebounds / game43.7
46−28Season record21−54
7−3Last 101−9
Dean Wade · Jarrett Allen
Jaylon Tyson · Max Strus
Olivier SarrOut (5 each)Blake Hinson · Isaiah Collier
Jaren Jackson Jr. · Jusuf Nurkic
Keyonte George

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair78.9%21.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−37379%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+37321%————
SpreadCLE by 11.7
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11.7our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+11.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 244.6
Over244.6our total————
Under244.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 11.7 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 4%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 4%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%
← CLE wins byUTAH wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more73%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more57%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

244.6 expected
193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: <1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 2%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: 1%278 points: 1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%307 points: <1%308 points: <1%309 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 234.567%
Total over 244.549%
Total over 254.531%
Total from 235 to 25436%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GKeon Ellisstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Utah Jazz
GKennedy Chandlerstarted
GAce Baileystarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
FCody Williamsstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·UTAH
Mar 27 vs MIA
last game
Mar 28 at PHX
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 30, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDean Wade · right ankle; sprainOut
CLEJarrett Allen · right knee; injury managementOut
CLEJaylon Tyson · left great toe; bone bruiseOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; injury managementOut
CLEOlivier Sarr · g league - two-wayOut
CLERiley Minix · g league - two-wayOut
CLETristan Enaruna · g league - two-wayOut
CLECraig Porter Jr. · left groin; strainProbable
Utah Jazz
UTAHBlake Hinson · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHIsaiah Collier · left hamstring; injury managementOut
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · left knee; injury recoveryOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · nose; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKeyonte George · right hamstring; strainOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right hip; impingementOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 74+ games
CLE·UTAH
+0.59
rating (0 = average)
−0.95
119.4
points / game
117.4
115.2
points allowed / game
125.4
46−28
season record
21−54
24−14
home record
13−25
22−14
away record
8−29
W1
streak
L5
7−3
last 10
1−9
48.0
FG%
46.7
36.4
3P%
34.6
44.3
rebounds / game
43.7
28.3
assists / game
29.4
14.0
turnovers / game
15.6
51.1
points in paint / game
51.9

Rating Trend

CLE · UTAH · 146 days
Cleveland CavaliersUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · UTAH 3−6
Jan 12at CLEUTAH 123 − 112
Mar 23, 2025at UTAHCLE 120 − 91
Dec 23, 2024at CLECLE 124 − 113
Apr 2, 2024at UTAHCLE 129 − 113
Dec 20, 2023at CLECLE 124 − 116
Jan 10, 2023at UTAHUTAH 116 − 114
Dec 19, 2022at CLECLE 122 − 99
Jan 12, 2022at UTAHCLE 111 − 91
Dec 5, 2021at CLEUTAH 109 − 108

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Mar 27vs MIA149 − 128W
Mar 25vs MIA103 − 120L
Mar 24vs ORL136 − 131W
Mar 21at NO111 − 106W
Mar 19at CHI115 − 110W
Mar 17at MIL123 − 116W
Mar 15vs DAL120 − 130L
Mar 13at DAL138 − 105W
Mar 11at ORL122 − 128L
Mar 9vs PHI115 − 101W

UTAH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L5
Mar 28at PHX109 − 134L
Mar 27at DEN129 − 135L
Mar 25vs WSH110 − 133L
Mar 23vs TOR127 − 143L
Mar 21vs PHI116 − 126L
Mar 19vs MIL128 − 96W
Mar 18at MIN111 − 147L
Mar 15at SAC111 − 116L
Mar 13at POR114 − 124L
Mar 11vs NY117 − 134L