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Cavaliers at Lakers

NBA · Tuesday, Mar 31 · 9:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final CLE 113 – LAL 127
← NBA / Mar 31

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE34193030113
LAL32334517127
Team box
CLE·LAL
43-87
field goals
45-83
13-39
3-pointers
13-31
14-19
free throws
24-26
35
rebounds
37
26
assists
26
14
turnovers
12
56
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL3442512
Austin ReavesLAL371964
Deandre AytonLAL281891
Jarrett AllenCLE191842
James HardenCLE281703
LeBron JamesLAL311456

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +27
CLE +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 27 · CLE 7lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 50%, LAL 50% · Updated Mar 31

Expected margin
CLE by 2.0
Expected score
CLE 118.1 – 116.1 LAL
Expected total
234.2
CavaliersThe matchupLakers
+100Our fair odds−100
118.1Expected points116.1
+0.59Power rating+0.36
119.4Points / game116.7
115.1Allowed / game114.7
48.1FG%50.2
36.13P%35.8
44.4Rebounds / game41.1
47−28Season record49−26
7−3Last 109−1
Dean Wade · Jaylon Tyson
Olivier Sarr · Riley Minix
Sam MerrillOutMarcus Smart

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · LAL chance
Our model fair50.0%50.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers+10050%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−10050%————
SpreadCLE by 2.0
CLECleveland Cavaliers−2our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers+2our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.2
Over234.2our total————
Under234.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 2.0 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%
← CLE wins byLAL wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more45%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more31%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.2 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.548%
Total over 244.530%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GMax Strusstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·LAL
Mar 30 at UTAH
last game
Mar 30 vs WSH
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 31, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDean Wade · right ankle; sprainOut
CLEJaylon Tyson · left great toe; bone bruiseOut
CLEOlivier Sarr · g league - two-wayOut
CLERiley Minix · g league - two-wayOut
CLESam Merrill · left hamstring; injury managementOut
CLETristan Enaruna · g league - two-wayOut
Los Angeles Lakers
LALMarcus Smart · right ankle; contusionOut
LALLeBron James · left foot; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 75+ games
CLE·LAL
+0.59
rating (0 = average)
+0.36
119.4
points / game
116.7
115.1
points allowed / game
114.7
47−28
season record
49−26
24−14
home record
25−12
23−14
away record
24−14
W2
streak
W3
7−3
last 10
9−1
48.1
FG%
50.2
36.1
3P%
35.8
44.4
rebounds / game
41.1
28.4
assists / game
25.5
13.9
turnovers / game
14.4
51.5
points in paint / game
52.1

Rating Trend

CLE · LAL · 147 days
Cleveland CavaliersLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAL 4−5
Jan 28at CLECLE 129 − 99
Dec 31, 2024at LALCLE 122 − 110
Oct 30, 2024at CLECLE 134 − 110
Apr 6, 2024at LALLAL 116 − 97
Nov 25, 2023at CLELAL 121 − 115
Dec 6, 2022at CLECLE 116 − 102
Nov 6, 2022at LALCLE 114 − 100
Mar 21, 2022at CLELAL 131 − 120
Oct 29, 2021at LALLAL 113 − 101

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Mar 30at UTAH122 − 113W
Mar 27vs MIA149 − 128W
Mar 25vs MIA103 − 120L
Mar 24vs ORL136 − 131W
Mar 21at NO111 − 106W
Mar 19at CHI115 − 110W
Mar 17at MIL123 − 116W
Mar 15vs DAL120 − 130L
Mar 13at DAL138 − 105W
Mar 11at ORL122 − 128L

LAL · Last 10

9−1 · streak W3
Mar 30vs WSH120 − 101W
Mar 27vs BKN116 − 99W
Mar 25at IND137 − 130W
Mar 23at DET110 − 113L
Mar 21at ORL105 − 104W
Mar 19at MIA134 − 126W
Mar 18at HOU124 − 116W
Mar 16at HOU100 − 92W
Mar 14vs DEN127 − 125W
Mar 12vs CHI142 − 130W