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Magic at Knicks

NBA · Sunday, Oct 25 · 6:00 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final ORL 111 – NY 102
← NBA / Oct 25

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL21272340111
NY28242327102
Team box
ORL·NY
38-88
field goals
38-93
18-42
3-pointers
9-38
17-21
free throws
17-24
49
rebounds
45
29
assists
26
16
turnovers
16
32
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY322834
Franz WagnerORL3723139
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3322144
Desmond BaneORL352262
OG AnunobyNY352232
Tristan da SilvaORL271922

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +12
ORL +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 12 · ORL 11lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 28%, NY 72% · Updated Oct 25

Expected margin
NY by 8.5
Expected score
NY 115.7 – 107.2 ORL
Expected total
222.9
MagicThe matchupKnicks
+258Our fair odds−258
107.2Expected points115.7
−0.01Power rating+0.96
109.0Points / game101.5
123.5Allowed / game106.5
46.0FG%41.0
26.53P%36.5
41.0Rebounds / game48.5
0−2Season record0−2
3−7Last 107−3
Izaiyah Nelson · Jonathan Isaac
Noah Penda · Paolo BancheroOutJose Alvarado

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · NY chance
Our model fair28.0%72.0%
Kalshi32.5%71.5%
Polymarket US32.5%71.5%
ProphetX31.7%70.7%
Novig30.5%70.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 5:59 PM CTNovigpre-game · 5:59 PM CT
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+25828%+20832.5%+20832.5%+21631.7%+22830.5%
NYNew York Knicks−25872%−25171.5%−25071.5%−24270.7%−23370.0%
SpreadNY by 8.5
ORLOrlando Magic+8.5our margin+6.5 −10350.7%+6.5 −10350.7%+6.5 +10449.1%+6.5 +10449.0%
NYNew York Knicks−8.5our margin−6.5 −11653.7%−6.5 −11653.7%−6.5 −11453.3%−6.5 −10852.0%
Totalwe expect 222.9
Over222.9our totalo223.5 −12655.7%o224.5 −11252.7%o223.5 −12655.7%o223.5 −11553.5%
Under222.9our totalu223.5 +10149.7%u224.5 −10751.7%u223.5 +10548.9%u223.5 +11147.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 8.5 expected
Orlando Magic by 51 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 50 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%
← ORL wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more63%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more47%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more33%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.9 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.570%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.531%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
GJase Richardsonstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·NY
Oct 23 vs MIN
last game
Oct 23 at BOS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 25, 5:30 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLIzaiyah Nelson · left ankle injury recoveryOut
ORLJonathan Isaac · left knee injury managementOut
ORLNoah Penda · right partially torn hamstringOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · right low grade high ankle sprainOut
New York Knicks
NYJose Alvarado · left ankle sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
ORL·NY
−0.01
rating (0 = average)
+0.96
109.0
points / game
101.5
123.5
points allowed / game
106.5
0−2
season record
0−2
0−2
home record
0−1
0−0
away record
0−1
L2
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
7−3
46.0
FG%
41.0
26.5
3P%
36.5
41.0
rebounds / game
48.5
26.5
assists / game
24.0
18.0
turnovers / game
16.5
52.0
points in paint / game
37.0

Rating Trend

ORL · NY · 5 days
Orlando MagicNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 6−4
Dec 13, 2025at ORLNY 132 − 120
Dec 7, 2025at NYNY 106 − 100
Nov 22, 2025at ORLORL 133 − 121
Nov 12, 2025at NYORL 124 − 107
Jan 6, 2025at NYORL 103 − 94
Dec 27, 2024at ORLNY 108 − 85
Dec 15, 2024at ORLNY 100 − 91
Dec 3, 2024at NYNY 121 − 106
Mar 8, 2024at NYNY 98 − 74
Feb 14, 2024at ORLORL 118 − 100

ORL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L5
Oct 23vs MIN93 − 115L
Oct 21vs ATL125 − 132L
May 3at DET94 − 116L
May 1vs DET79 − 93L
Apr 29at DET109 − 116L
Apr 27vs DET94 − 88W
Apr 25vs DET113 − 105W
Apr 22at DET83 − 98L
Apr 19at DET112 − 101W
Apr 12at BOS108 − 113L

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak L2
Oct 23at BOS103 − 107L
Oct 20vs PHI100 − 106L
Jun 13at SA94 − 90W
Jun 10vs SA107 − 106W
Jun 8vs SA111 − 115L
Jun 5at SA105 − 104W
Jun 3at SA105 − 95W
May 25at CLE130 − 93W
May 23at CLE121 − 108W
May 21vs CLE109 − 93W