bayesRatings

Knicks at Spurs

NBA · Saturday, Jun 13 · 7:30 PM CT · Frost Bank Center · Final NY 94 – SA 90
← NBA / Jun 13

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY1324282994
SA2319301890
Team box
NY·SA
31-87
field goals
33-86
12-37
3-pointers
12-37
20-28
free throws
12-19
48
rebounds
47
14
assists
18
14
turnovers
13
30
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY414533
Dylan HarperSA312554
Victor WembanyamaSA3819142
Julian ChampagnieSA311471
Mikal BridgesNY391424
Josh HartNY3913112

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SA +16
NY +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SA 16 · NY 4lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 43%, SA 57% · Updated Jun 13

Expected margin
SA by 1.1
Expected score
SA 112.1 – 111.0 NY
Expected total
223.2
KnicksThe matchupSpurs
+132Our fair odds−132
111.0Expected points112.1
+0.90Power rating+0.95
116.5Points / game119.7
110.2Allowed / game111.7
47.7FG%48.4
37.23P%35.8
45.8Rebounds / game47.0
54−29 · 15−3 postSeason record62−21 · 13−9 post
9−1Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · SA chance
Our model fair43.1%56.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks+13243%————
SASan Antonio Spurs−13257%————
SpreadSA by 1.1
NYNew York Knicks+1.1our margin————
SASan Antonio Spurs−1.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.2
Over223.2our total————
Under223.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

San Antonio Spurs by 1.1 expected
New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 15 points: 1%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 2%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 42 points: <1%
← NY wins bySA wins by →
San Antonio Spurs wins by 5 or more43%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 10 or more29%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.2 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.529%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
San Antonio Spurs
GDe'Aaron Foxstarted
GDevin Vassellstarted
GStephon Castlestarted
FJulian Champagniestarted
FVictor Wembanyamastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·SA
Jun 10 vs SA
last game
Jun 10 at NY
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jun 13, 5:00 PM ET
SALuke Kornet · " "; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 83+ games
NY·SA
+0.90
rating (0 = average)
+0.95
116.5
points / game
119.7
110.2
points allowed / game
111.7
54−29 · 15−3 post
season record
62−21 · 13−9 post
31−10
home record
32−8
23−19
away record
30−13
W1
streak
L1
9−1
last 10
4−6
47.7
FG%
48.4
37.2
3P%
35.8
45.8
rebounds / game
47.0
27.4
assists / game
28.1
13.6
turnovers / game
13.4
47.9
points in paint / game
52.0

Rating Trend

NY · SA · 202 days
New York KnicksSan Antonio Spurs
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SA 4−6
Jun 10at NYNY 107 − 106post
Jun 8at NYSA 115 − 111post
Jun 5at SANY 105 − 104post
Jun 3at SANY 105 − 95post
Mar 1at NYNY 114 − 89
Dec 31, 2025at SASA 134 − 132
Dec 16, 2025at NYNY 124 − 113
Mar 19, 2025at SASA 120 − 105
Dec 25, 2024at NYNY 117 − 114
Mar 29, 2024at SASA 130 − 126

NY · Last 10

9−1 · streak W1
Jun 10vs SA107 − 106W
Jun 8vs SA111 − 115L
Jun 5at SA105 − 104W
Jun 3at SA105 − 95W
May 25at CLE130 − 93W
May 23at CLE121 − 108W
May 21vs CLE109 − 93W
May 19vs CLE115 − 104W
May 10at PHI144 − 114W
May 8at PHI108 − 94W

SA · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Jun 10at NY106 − 107L
Jun 8at NY115 − 111W
Jun 5vs NY104 − 105L
Jun 3vs NY95 − 105L
May 30at OKC111 − 103W
May 28vs OKC118 − 91W
May 26at OKC114 − 127L
May 24vs OKC103 − 82W
May 22vs OKC108 − 123L
May 20at OKC113 − 122L