Final · our forecast was SA 46%, NY 54% · Updated Jun 10
Expected margin
NY by 1.4
Expected score
NY 112.6 – 111.2 SA
Expected total
223.8
SpursThe matchupKnicks
+120Our fair odds−120
111.2Expected points112.6
+0.95Power rating+0.90
119.7Points / game116.5
111.7Allowed / game110.2
48.4FG%47.7
35.83P%37.2
47.0Rebounds / game45.8
62−21 · 13−8 postSeason record54−29 · 14−3 post
5−5Last 109−1
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SA chance · NY chance
Our model fair45.5%54.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
Team
Our modelfair
Kalshi
Polymarket US
ProphetX
Novig
Moneyline
SASan Antonio Spurs
+12046%
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—
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NYNew York Knicks
−12054%
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—
—
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SpreadNY by 1.4
SASan Antonio Spurs
+1.4our margin
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—
—
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NYNew York Knicks
−1.4our margin
—
—
—
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Totalwe expect 223.8
Over
223.8our total
—
—
—
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Under
223.8our total
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—
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These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
New York Knicks by 1.4 expected
40302010010203040
← SA wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more44%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more30%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
223.8 expected
180200220240260
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.570%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.