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Magic at Celtics

NBA · Sunday, Apr 12 · 5:00 PM CT · TD Garden · Final ORL 108 – BOS 113
← NBA / Apr 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL29322027108
BOS20324219113
Team box
ORL·BOS
36-91
field goals
36-87
12-43
3-pointers
19-50
24-30
free throws
22-22
50
rebounds
46
22
assists
24
19
turnovers
17
42
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Baylor ScheiermanBOS393077
Luka GarzaBOS3827121
Ron Harper Jr.BOS372774
Paolo BancheroORL38231011
Jalen SuggsORL382363
Franz WagnerORL262041

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +16
ORL +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 16 · ORL 11lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 26%, BOS 74% · Updated Apr 12

Expected margin
BOS by 9.7
Expected score
BOS 112.7 – 103.0 ORL
Expected total
215.7
MagicThe matchupCeltics
+291Our fair odds−291
103.0Expected points112.7
+0.05Power rating+0.92
115.8Points / game114.9
115.1Allowed / game107.1
46.6FG%46.9
34.23P%36.7
43.3Rebounds / game46.4
45−36Season record55−26
7−3Last 108−2
Jett Howard · Jonathan IsaacOutDerrick White · Hugo Gonzalez
Jaylen Brown · Jayson Tatum
Neemias Queta

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · BOS chance
Our model fair25.5%74.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+29126%————
BOSBoston Celtics−29174%————
SpreadBOS by 9.7
ORLOrlando Magic+9.7our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−9.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 215.7
Over215.7our total————
Under215.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 9.7 expected
Orlando Magic by 52 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 51 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 50 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%
← ORL wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more66%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more50%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more36%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

215.7 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 205.570%
Total over 215.550%
Total over 225.530%
Total from 206 to 22540%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Boston Celtics
GRon Harper Jr.started
GBaylor Scheiermanstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
GMax Shulgastarted
CLuka Garzastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·BOS
Apr 10 at CHI
last game
Apr 10 vs NO
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 12, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLJett Howard · left ankle; sprainOut
ORLJonathan Isaac · left knee; sprainOut
Boston Celtics
BOSDerrick White · right knee; contusionOut
BOSHugo Gonzalez · right foot; boneOut
BOSJaylen Brown · left achilles; tendinitisOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repair managementOut
BOSNeemias Queta · right toe; sprainOut
BOSNikola Vucevic · right ring finger; fracture managementOut
BOSPayton Pritchard · left foot; plantar fasciitisOut
BOSSam Hauser · bruise low back; spasmOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 81+ games
ORL·BOS
+0.05
rating (0 = average)
+0.92
115.8
points / game
114.9
115.1
points allowed / game
107.1
45−36
season record
55−26
26−16
home record
29−11
19−20
away record
26−15
W5
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
8−2
46.6
FG%
46.9
34.2
3P%
36.7
43.3
rebounds / game
46.4
26.6
assists / game
24.7
14.1
turnovers / game
12.3
51.2
points in paint / game
44.4

Rating Trend

ORL · BOS · 158 days
Orlando MagicBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 7−3
Nov 23, 2025at BOSBOS 138 − 129
Nov 9, 2025at ORLBOS 111 − 107
Nov 7, 2025at ORLORL 123 − 110
Apr 29, 2025at BOSBOS 120 − 89post
Apr 27, 2025at ORLBOS 107 − 98post
Apr 25, 2025at ORLORL 95 − 93post
Apr 23, 2025at BOSBOS 109 − 100post
Apr 20, 2025at BOSBOS 103 − 86post
Apr 9, 2025at ORLORL 96 − 76
Jan 17, 2025at BOSBOS 121 − 94

ORL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W5
Apr 10at CHI127 − 103W
Apr 8vs MIN132 − 120W
Apr 6vs DET123 − 107W
Apr 5at NO112 − 108W
Apr 3at DAL138 − 127W
Apr 1vs ATL101 − 130L
Mar 31vs PHX115 − 111W
Mar 29at TOR87 − 139L
Mar 26vs SAC121 − 117W
Mar 24at CLE131 − 136L

BOS · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Apr 10vs NO144 − 118W
Apr 9at NY106 − 112L
Apr 7vs CHA113 − 102W
Apr 5vs TOR115 − 101W
Apr 3at MIL133 − 101W
Apr 1at MIA147 − 129W
Mar 30at ATL102 − 112L
Mar 29at CHA114 − 99W
Mar 27vs ATL109 − 102W
Mar 25vs OKC119 − 109W