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Pelicans at Celtics

NBA · Friday, Apr 10 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final NO 118 – BOS 144
← NBA / Apr 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NO25263136118
BOS44383428144
Team box
NO·BOS
44-96
field goals
52-96
9-32
3-pointers
29-59
21-30
free throws
11-15
44
rebounds
44
22
assists
35
13
turnovers
14
56
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jeremiah FearsNO443636
Derik QueenNO3925114
Sam HauserBOS282464
Jaylen BrownBOS292331
Payton PritchardBOS3021310
Jordan HawkinsNO232053

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +41
NO +41
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 41 · NO 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NO 15%, BOS 85% · Updated Apr 10

Expected margin
BOS by 14.5
Expected score
BOS 118.5 – 104.0 NO
Expected total
222.4
PelicansThe matchupCeltics
+566Our fair odds−566
104.0Expected points118.5
−0.62Power rating+0.92
115.4Points / game114.5
119.6Allowed / game107.0
46.6FG%46.8
34.73P%36.5
43.8Rebounds / game46.4
26−54Season record54−26
2−8Last 107−3
Bryce McGowens · Dejounte Murray
Herbert Jones · Karlo Matkovic
Saddiq BeyOutJayson Tatum

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NO chance · BOS chance
Our model fair15.0%85.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NONew Orleans Pelicans+56615%————
BOSBoston Celtics−56685%————
SpreadBOS by 14.5
NONew Orleans Pelicans+14.5our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−14.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.4
Over222.4our total————
Under222.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 14.5 expected
New Orleans Pelicans by 53 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 52 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 51 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 50 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 49 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 48 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 47 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← NO wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more77%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more64%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more48%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.4 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.569%
Total over 222.549%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New Orleans Pelicans
GJordan Poolestarted
GMicah Peavystarted
GJeremiah Fearsstarted
FKevon Looneystarted
CDerik Queenstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NO·BOS
Apr 7 vs UTAH
last game
Apr 9 at NY
2 days
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 10, 5:00 PM ET
New Orleans Pelicans
NOBryce McGowens · right small toe; fractureOut
NODejounte Murray · left hand; contusionOut
NOHerbert Jones · restOut
NOKarlo Matkovic · low back; injury managementOut
NOSaddiq Bey · restOut
NOTrey Murphy III · right ankle; sprainOut
NOYves Missi · right hand/finger; sprainOut
NOZion Williamson · right knee; injury managementOut
Boston Celtics
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repair managementOut
BOSJaylen Brown · left achilles; tendinitisQuestionable
BOSDerrick White · right knee; contusionProbable
BOSNeemias Queta · right toe; sprainProbable
BOSSam Hauser · low back; spasmProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 80+ games
NO·BOS
−0.62
rating (0 = average)
+0.92
115.4
points / game
114.5
119.6
points allowed / game
107.0
26−54
season record
54−26
17−24
home record
28−11
9−30
away record
26−15
W1
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
7−3
46.6
FG%
46.8
34.7
3P%
36.5
43.8
rebounds / game
46.4
25.2
assists / game
24.5
14.3
turnovers / game
12.3
57.5
points in paint / game
44.4

Rating Trend

NO · BOS · 157 days
New Orleans PelicansBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · BOS 9−0
Oct 27, 2025at NOBOS 122 − 90
Jan 31, 2025at NOBOS 118 − 116
Jan 12, 2025at BOSBOS 120 − 119
Mar 30, 2024at NOBOS 104 − 92
Jan 29, 2024at BOSBOS 118 − 112
Jan 11, 2023at BOSBOS 125 − 114
Nov 18, 2022at NOBOS 117 − 109
Jan 29, 2022at NOBOS 107 − 97
Jan 17, 2022at BOSBOS 104 − 92

NO · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Apr 7vs UTAH156 − 137W
Apr 5vs ORL108 − 112L
Apr 3at SAC113 − 117L
Apr 2at POR106 − 118L
Mar 29vs HOU102 − 134L
Mar 27at TOR106 − 119L
Mar 26at DET108 − 129L
Mar 24at NY116 − 121L
Mar 21vs CLE106 − 111L
Mar 19vs LAC105 − 99W

BOS · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Apr 9at NY106 − 112L
Apr 7vs CHA113 − 102W
Apr 5vs TOR115 − 101W
Apr 3at MIL133 − 101W
Apr 1at MIA147 − 129W
Mar 30at ATL102 − 112L
Mar 29at CHA114 − 99W
Mar 27vs ATL109 − 102W
Mar 25vs OKC119 − 109W
Mar 22vs MIN92 − 102L