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Timberwolves at Magic

NBA · Wednesday, Apr 8 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final MIN 120 – ORL 132
← NBA / Apr 8

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIN32213037120
ORL34293831132
Team box
MIN·ORL
45-90
field goals
51-95
18-44
3-pointers
12-29
12-14
free throws
18-23
33
rebounds
48
22
assists
33
16
turnovers
17
50
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Terrence Shannon Jr.MIN313325
Paolo BancheroORL292086
Desmond BaneORL301846
Jaden McDanielsMIN191822
Franz WagnerORL221702
Naz ReidMIN241552

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +24
MIN +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 24 · MIN 6lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIN 53%, ORL 47% · Updated Apr 8

Expected margin
MIN by 1.6
Expected score
MIN 113.0 – 111.5 ORL
Expected total
224.5
TimberwolvesThe matchupMagic
−114Our fair odds+114
113.0Expected points111.5
+0.41Power rating+0.05
117.6Points / game115.5
114.1Allowed / game115.2
48.1FG%46.4
37.13P%34.1
44.4Rebounds / game43.2
47−32Season record43−36
5−5Last 105−5
Anthony Edwards · Ayo Dosunmu
Julius Randle · Mike Conley
Rudy GobertOutJett Howard · Jonathan Isaac

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIN chance · ORL chance
Our model fair53.3%46.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−11453%————
ORLOrlando Magic+11447%————
SpreadMIN by 1.6
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−1.6our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic+1.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.5
Over224.5our total————
Under224.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 1.6 expected
Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%
← MIN wins byORL wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more44%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more30%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.5 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
FJoe Inglesstarted
FKyle Andersonstarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CNaz Reidstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIN·ORL
Apr 7 at IND
last game
Apr 6 vs DET
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 8, 5:00 PM ET
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINAnthony Edwards · right knee; injury maintenanceOut
MINAyo Dosunmu · right calf; injury maintenanceOut
MINJulius Randle · right hand; sorenessOut
MINMike Conley · restOut
MINRudy Gobert · restOut
MINJaden McDaniels · left knee; patella tendinopathyQuestionable
Orlando Magic
ORLJett Howard · left ankle; sprainOut
ORLJonathan Isaac · left knee; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 79+ games
MIN·ORL
+0.41
rating (0 = average)
+0.05
117.6
points / game
115.5
114.1
points allowed / game
115.2
47−32
season record
43−36
25−15
home record
25−16
22−17
away record
18−20
W1
streak
W3
5−5
last 10
5−5
48.1
FG%
46.4
37.1
3P%
34.1
44.4
rebounds / game
43.2
26.0
assists / game
26.4
14.9
turnovers / game
14.1
49.9
points in paint / game
50.8

Rating Trend

MIN · ORL · 155 days
Minnesota TimberwolvesOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · ORL 5−4
Mar 7at MINORL 119 − 92
Mar 14, 2025at MINMIN 118 − 111
Jan 9, 2025at ORLMIN 104 − 89
Feb 2, 2024at MINORL 108 − 106
Jan 9, 2024at ORLMIN 113 − 92
Feb 3, 2023at MINORL 127 − 120
Nov 16, 2022at ORLMIN 126 − 108
Mar 11, 2022at ORLORL 118 − 110
Nov 1, 2021at MINORL 115 − 97

MIN · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Apr 7at IND124 − 104W
Apr 5vs CHA108 − 122L
Apr 3at PHI103 − 115L
Apr 2at DET108 − 113L
Mar 30at DAL124 − 94W
Mar 28vs DET87 − 109L
Mar 25vs HOU110 − 108W
Mar 22at BOS102 − 92W
Mar 20vs POR104 − 108L
Mar 18vs UTAH147 − 111W

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Apr 6vs DET123 − 107W
Apr 5at NO112 − 108W
Apr 3at DAL138 − 127W
Apr 1vs ATL101 − 130L
Mar 31vs PHX115 − 111W
Mar 29at TOR87 − 139L
Mar 26vs SAC121 − 117W
Mar 24at CLE131 − 136L
Mar 23vs IND126 − 128L
Mar 21vs LAL104 − 105L