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Magic at Bulls

NBA · Friday, Apr 10 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final ORL 127 – CHI 103
← NBA / Apr 10

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL28363528127
CHI26272624103
Team box
ORL·CHI
49-94
field goals
38-87
13-37
3-pointers
10-39
16-24
free throws
17-26
47
rebounds
42
33
assists
25
15
turnovers
20
68
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Franz WagnerORL232524
Tre JonesCHI262344
Jamal CainORL252082
Leonard MillerCHI391574
Goga BitadzeORL1715110
Paolo BancheroORL271497

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +28
ORL +28
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 2 · ORL 28lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 58%, CHI 42% · Updated Apr 10

Expected margin
ORL by 2.8
Expected score
ORL 118.2 – 115.3 CHI
Expected total
233.5
MagicThe matchupBulls
−138Our fair odds+138
118.2Expected points115.3
+0.05Power rating−0.49
115.7Points / game116.3
115.3Allowed / game121.1
46.5FG%46.9
34.13P%35.7
43.2Rebounds / game45.1
44−36Season record31−49
6−4Last 103−7
Jett Howard · Jonathan IsaacOutAnfernee Simons · Guerschon Yabusele
Jalen Smith · Josh Giddey
Nick Richards

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · CHI chance
Our model fair57.9%42.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−13858%————
CHIChicago Bulls+13842%————
SpreadORL by 2.8
ORLOrlando Magic−2.8our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+2.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.5
Over233.5our total————
Under233.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 2.8 expected
Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%
← ORL wins byCHI wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more48%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more33%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.5 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Chicago Bulls
GCollin Sextonstarted
GTre Jonesstarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
FLeonard Millerstarted
CLachlan Olbrichstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·CHI
Apr 8 vs MIN
last game
Apr 9 at WSH
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 10, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLJett Howard · left ankle; sprainOut
ORLJonathan Isaac · left knee; sprainOut
Chicago Bulls
CHIAnfernee Simons · left ulnar styloid; fractureOut
CHIGuerschon Yabusele · left shoulder; sprain; l elbow sprainOut
CHIJalen Smith · right calf; sprainOut
CHIJosh Giddey · left hamstring; strain; injury managementOut
CHINick Richards · right elbow; sprainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHIZach Collins · right 1st toe; sprainOut
CHIIsaac Okoro · left quadricep; contusionDoubtful
CHIMatas Buzelis · n/a; illnessQuestionable
CHICollin Sexton · right finger; mallet fingerProbable
and 3 more

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 80+ games
ORL·CHI
+0.05
rating (0 = average)
−0.49
115.7
points / game
116.3
115.3
points allowed / game
121.1
44−36
season record
31−49
26−16
home record
18−22
18−20
away record
13−27
W4
streak
W2
6−4
last 10
3−7
46.5
FG%
46.9
34.1
3P%
35.7
43.2
rebounds / game
45.1
26.5
assists / game
28.5
14.1
turnovers / game
15.2
51.0
points in paint / game
52.7

Rating Trend

ORL · CHI · 157 days
Orlando MagicChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 4−6
Jan 2at CHICHI 121 − 114
Dec 1, 2025at ORLORL 125 − 120
Oct 25, 2025at ORLCHI 110 − 98
Mar 6, 2025at ORLCHI 125 − 123
Nov 27, 2024at ORLORL 133 − 119
Oct 30, 2024at CHICHI 102 − 99
Apr 7, 2024at ORLORL 113 − 98
Feb 10, 2024at ORLORL 114 − 108
Nov 17, 2023at CHIORL 103 − 97
Nov 15, 2023at CHIORL 96 − 94

ORL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W4
Apr 8vs MIN132 − 120W
Apr 6vs DET123 − 107W
Apr 5at NO112 − 108W
Apr 3at DAL138 − 127W
Apr 1vs ATL101 − 130L
Mar 31vs PHX115 − 111W
Mar 29at TOR87 − 139L
Mar 26vs SAC121 − 117W
Mar 24at CLE131 − 136L
Mar 23vs IND126 − 128L

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Apr 9at WSH119 − 108W
Apr 7at WSH129 − 98W
Apr 5vs PHX110 − 120L
Apr 3at NY96 − 136L
Apr 1vs IND126 − 145L
Mar 30at SA114 − 129L
Mar 28at MEM124 − 125L
Mar 27at OKC113 − 131L
Mar 25at PHI137 − 157L
Mar 23vs HOU132 − 124W