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Bengals at Packers

NFL · Sunday, Oct 12 · 3:25 PM CT · Lambeau Field · Final CIN 18 – GB 27
← NFL / Oct 12, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CIN0071118
GB01001727
Team box
CIN·GB
268
total yards
409
213
passing yards
256
55
rushing yards
153
20
first downs
24
6-15
third downs
5-11
0
turnovers
1
27:16
time of possession
32:44
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Joe FlaccoCIN29/4521920
Jordan LoveGB19/2625911
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Chase BrownCIN9420
Josh JacobsGB18932
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN10941
Matthew GoldenGB3860

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
GB +14
CIN +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: GB 14 · CIN 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CIN 27%, GB 73% · Updated Oct 12, 2025

Expected margin
GB by 11.9
Expected score
GB 30.9 – 19.1 CIN
Expected total
50.0
BengalsThe matchupPackers
+266Our fair odds−266
19.1Expected points30.9
−0.22Power rating+0.53
17.0Points / game26.0
31.2Allowed / game21.0
229Total yards / game347
4.2Yards / play5.5
172Passing yards / game233
2−3Season record2−1−1
7−3Last 104−5−1

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CIN chance · GB chance
Our model fair27.3%72.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CINCincinnati Bengals+26627%————
GBGreen Bay Packers−26673%————
SpreadGB by 11.9
CINCincinnati Bengals+11.9our margin————
GBGreen Bay Packers−11.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 50.0
Over50.0our total————
Under50.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Green Bay Packers by 11.9 expected
Cincinnati Bengals by 49 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 48 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 47 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 46 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 45 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 44 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 43 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 42 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 41 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 40 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 39 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 38 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 37 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 36 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 35 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 34 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 33 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 32 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 31 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 30 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 29 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 28 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 27 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 26 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 25 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 24 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 23 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 22 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 21 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 20 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 19 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 18 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 17 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 16 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 15 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 14 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 13 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 12 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 11 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 10 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 9 points: <1%Cincinnati Bengals by 8 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 7 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 6 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 5 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 4 points: 2%Cincinnati Bengals by 3 points: 5%Cincinnati Bengals by 2 points: 1%Cincinnati Bengals by 1 point: 2%Tie: <1%Green Bay Packers by 1 point: 2%Green Bay Packers by 2 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 3 points: 6%Green Bay Packers by 4 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 5 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 6 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 7 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 8 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 9 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 10 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 11 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 12 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 13 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 14 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 15 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 16 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 17 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 18 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 19 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 20 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 21 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 22 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 23 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 24 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 25 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 26 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 27 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 28 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 29 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 30 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 31 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 32 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 33 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 34 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 35 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 36 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 37 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 38 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 39 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 40 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 41 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 42 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 43 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 44 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 45 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 46 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 47 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 48 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 49 points: <1%
← CIN wins byGB wins by →
Green Bay Packers wins by 3 or more75%
Green Bay Packers wins by 7 or more60%
Green Bay Packers wins by 10 or more52%
Within 3 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

50.0 expected
15 points: <1%16 points: <1%17 points: <1%18 points: <1%19 points: <1%20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: <1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 1%30 points: 1%31 points: 1%32 points: 1%33 points: 2%34 points: 2%35 points: 2%36 points: 2%37 points: 2%38 points: 2%39 points: 2%40 points: 2%41 points: 3%42 points: 2%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 3%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 2%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 2%63 points: 2%64 points: 1%65 points: 2%66 points: 1%67 points: 1%68 points: 1%69 points: 1%70 points: 1%71 points: 1%72 points: 1%73 points: 1%74 points: 1%75 points: 1%76 points: 1%77 points: 1%78 points: 1%79 points: <1%80 points: 1%81 points: <1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: <1%90 points: <1%91 points: <1%92 points: <1%93 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 43.565%
Total over 50.546%
Total over 57.530%
Total from 44 to 5735%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
CINJoe Flacco · last 3 games: 54% completions, 175 yds/game, 1 TD, 4 INTstarted
GBJordan Love · last 3 games: 69% completions, 271 yds/game, 6 TD, 1 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CIN·GB
Oct 5, 2025 vs DET
last game
Sep 28, 2025 at DAL
6 days
days of rest
13 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
CIN·GB
−0.22
rating (0 = average)
+0.53
17.0
points / game
26.0
31.2
points allowed / game
21.0
2−3
season record
2−1−1
1−1
home record
2−0
1−2
away record
0−1−1
L3
streak
T1
7−3
last 10
4−5−1
229
total yards / game
347
4.2
yards / play
5.5
172
passing yards / game
233
57
rushing yards / game
114
15.4
first downs / game
20.5
2.2
turnovers / game
0.5

Rating Trend

CIN · GB · 14 days
Cincinnati BengalsGreen Bay Packers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 1 meeting · GB 1−0
Oct 10, 2021at CINGB 25 − 22

CIN · Last 10

7−3 · streak L3
Oct 5, 2025vs DET24 − 37L
Sep 29, 2025at DEN3 − 28L
Sep 21, 2025at MIN10 − 48L
Sep 14, 2025vs JAX31 − 27W
Sep 7, 2025at CLE17 − 16W
Jan 4, 2025at PIT19 − 17W
Dec 28, 2024vs DEN30 − 24W
Dec 22, 2024vs CLE24 − 6W
Dec 15, 2024at TEN37 − 27W
Dec 9, 2024at DAL27 − 20W

GB · Last 10

4−5−1 · streak T1
Sep 28, 2025at DAL40 − 40T
Sep 21, 2025at CLE10 − 13L
Sep 11, 2025vs WSH27 − 18W
Sep 7, 2025vs DET27 − 13W
Jan 12, 2025at PHI10 − 22L
Jan 5, 2025vs CHI22 − 24L
Dec 29, 2024at MIN25 − 27L
Dec 23, 2024vs NO34 − 0W
Dec 15, 2024at SEA30 − 13W
Dec 5, 2024at DET31 − 34L