Box score and game flow are added the next morning.
Final · our forecast was SEA 49%, CGY 51% · Updated Oct 30
Jared McCann · Ryan LindgrenOutBrennan Othmann · Connor Zary
Devin Cooley · Jonathan Huberdeau
Samuel Honzek
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · NovigFull price table
| Team | Our modelfair | Kalshipre-game · 6:58 PM CT | Polymarket USpre-game · 6:59 PM CT | ProphetXpre-game · 6:58 PM CT | Novigpre-game · 6:59 PM CT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | |||||
| SEASeattle Kraken | +10349% | −11252.7% | −11252.7% | −10451.0% | −10250.5% |
| CGYCalgary Flames | −10351% | −10751.8% | −10751.7% | −10551.2% | +10050.0% |
| Spreadabout even | |||||
| SEASeattle Kraken | PKour margin | −1.5 +21831.5% | −1.5 +21831.5% | −1.5 +22031.3% | −1.5 +23330.0% |
| CGYCalgary Flames | PKour margin | +1.5 −26372.4% | +1.5 −26372.4% | +1.5 −24771.2% | +1.5 −23970.5% |
| Totalwe expect 6.3 | |||||
| Over | 6.3our total | o6.5 +10149.7% | o6.5 +10149.7% | o6.5 +10349.3% | o6.5 +10848.0% |
| Under | 6.3our total | u6.5 −12154.7% | u6.5 −12655.7% | u6.5 −11252.9% | u6.5 −11353.0% |
These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Even game expectedCentered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.
Total range
6.3 expectedCentered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.
Rest and Schedule
before this gameFor context, not in our forecast.
Who's Out
Injury list before the game · Oct 30, 2026, 5:40 PM CTFor context, not in our forecast.