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Mammoth at Flyers

NHL · Sunday, Nov 1 · 3:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 1

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
UTAH by 0.6
Expected score
UTAH 3.2 – 2.6 PHI
Expected total
5.8
MammothThe matchupFlyers
−137Our fair odds+137
3.2Expected goals2.6
+0.09Power rating−0.15
3.6Goals / game1.9
3.3Allowed / game3.4
30.4Shots / game23.3
54.6Faceoff %50.6
27.0Hits / game23.3
9−5Season record3−12
6−4Last 103−7
John Marino D · Maveric Lamoureux D
Michael Carcone LWOut (3 each)Owen Tippett RW · Rasmus Ristolainen D
Travis Konecny RW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · PHI chance
Our model fair57.8%42.2%
Kalshi63.6%42.7%
Polymarket US63.6%41.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:19 AM CTPolymarket US4:19 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Mammoth−13758%−17563.6%−17563.6%——
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers+13742%+13442.7%+14041.7%——
SpreadUTAH by 0.6
UTAHUtah Mammoth−0.6our margin−1.5 +11945.7%−1.5 +11446.7%——
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers+0.6our margin+1.5 −20867.6%+1.5 −21868.5%——
Totalwe expect 5.8
Over5.8our totalo1.5 −1064599.1%o6.5 −12154.7%——
Under5.8our totalu1.5 −204295.3%u6.5 −16161.7%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Utah Mammoth by 0.6 expected
Utah Mammoth by 6 goals: 1%Utah Mammoth by 5 goals: 3%Utah Mammoth by 4 goals: 8%Utah Mammoth by 3 goals: 14%Utah Mammoth by 2 goals: 12%Utah Mammoth by 1 goal: 21%Philadelphia Flyers by 1 goal: 22%Philadelphia Flyers by 2 goals: 8%Philadelphia Flyers by 3 goals: 8%Philadelphia Flyers by 4 goals: 3%Philadelphia Flyers by 5 goals: 1%Philadelphia Flyers by 6 goals: <1%
← UTAH wins byPHI wins by →
Utah Mammoth wins by 2 or more37%
Utah Mammoth wins by 3 or more26%
Philadelphia Flyers wins by 2 or more20%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.8 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 13%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.572%
Total over 5.550%
Total over 6.539%
Total from 5 to 633%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
UTAHKarel Vejmelka G · last 5 starts: .864 save %, 3.99 GAAexpected
PHIDan Vladar G · last 5 starts: .902 save %, 2.55 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·PHI
Oct 29 at PIT
last game
Oct 28 at WSH
2 days
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Utah Mammoth
UTAHJohn Marino D · upper body, back about Nov 1Out
UTAHMaveric Lamoureux D · shoulder, back about Feb 12, 2027IR
UTAHMichael Carcone LW · upper body, back about Nov 1IR
Philadelphia Flyers
PHIOwen Tippett RW · upper bodyIR
PHIRasmus Ristolainen D · hand, back about Nov 11IR
PHITravis Konecny RW · lower bodyIR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
UTAH·PHI
+0.09
rating (0 = average)
−0.15
3.6
goals / game
1.9
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.4
9−5
season record
3−12
4−2
home record
2−6
5−3
away record
1−6
W1
streak
L3
6−4
last 10
3−7
30.4
shots / game
23.3
54.6
faceoff %
50.6
27.0
hits / game
23.3
14.6
blocked shots / game
16.0
3.6
takeaways / game
4.2
16.1
giveaways / game
15.3

Rating Trend

UTAH · PHI · 31 days
Utah MammothPhiladelphia Flyers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 4 meetings · PHI 0−4
Mar 5at PHIUTAH 3 − 0
Jan 21at UTAHUTAH 5 − 4 OT
Feb 4, 2025at UTAHUTAH 3 − 2 OT
Dec 8, 2024at PHIUTAH 4 − 2

UTAH · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 29at PIT4 − 3W
Oct 27vs MIN1 − 3L
Oct 24vs TB5 − 4W
Oct 22at SEA3 − 5L
Oct 19vs PIT5 − 4W
Oct 17vs EDM2 − 6L
Oct 15at EDM4 − 2W
Oct 13vs TOR5 − 4W
Oct 10at BUF4 − 1W
Oct 8at BOS1 − 6L

PHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Oct 28at WSH2 − 5L
Oct 27vs CBJ3 − 4L
Oct 24vs ANA4 − 5L
Oct 21at BUF3 − 1W
Oct 19vs COL3 − 2W
Oct 17vs OTT3 − 1W
Oct 15at DET1 − 2L
Oct 13vs SEA2 − 3L
Oct 11vs CAR1 − 4L
Oct 10at BOS1 − 5L