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Flames at Sharks

NHL · Monday, Nov 2 · 8:00 PM CT · SAP Center at San Jose · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 2

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
SJ 3.3 – 2.9 CGY
Expected total
6.2
FlamesThe matchupSharks
+122Our fair odds−122
2.9Expected goals3.3
−0.26Power rating−0.27
2.3Goals / game2.9
3.8Allowed / game3.4
28.8Shots / game27.4
49.5Faceoff %47.2
22.7Hits / game25.6
5−7Season record7−7
5−5Last 104−6
Brennan Othmann LW · Devin Cooley G
Jonathan Huberdeau LW · Samuel Honzek LWOutAdam Gaudette RW · Alexander Wennberg C
Igor Chernyshov LW · Kyle Keyser G
Quentin Musty LW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CGY chance · SJ chance
Our model fair45.0%55.0%
Kalshi46.7%57.7%
Polymarket US47.7%58.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:28 AM CTPolymarket US4:28 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CGYCalgary Flames+12245%+11446.7%+11047.7%——
SJSan Jose Sharks−12255%−13757.7%−14258.7%——
Spreadabout even
CGYCalgary Flames+0.4our margin+1.5 −23970.5%+1.5 −30575.3%——
SJSan Jose Sharks−0.4our margin−1.5 +14640.7%−1.5 −12154.7%——
Totalwe expect 6.2
Over6.2our totalo4.5 −204295.3%o7.5 +10149.7%——
Under6.2our totalu4.5 −204295.3%u7.5 −257996.3%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Calgary Flames by 6 goals: <1%Calgary Flames by 5 goals: 1%Calgary Flames by 4 goals: 4%Calgary Flames by 3 goals: 9%Calgary Flames by 2 goals: 8%Calgary Flames by 1 goal: 22%San Jose Sharks by 1 goal: 20%San Jose Sharks by 2 goals: 11%San Jose Sharks by 3 goals: 13%San Jose Sharks by 4 goals: 7%San Jose Sharks by 5 goals: 3%San Jose Sharks by 6 goals: 1%
← CGY wins bySJ wins by →
San Jose Sharks wins by 2 or more35%
San Jose Sharks wins by 3 or more24%
Calgary Flames wins by 2 or more23%
Decided by one goal42%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.2 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.556%
Total over 6.545%
Total over 7.526%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
CGYDustin Wolf G · last 5 starts: .846 save %, 4.55 GAAexpected
SJYaroslav Askarov G · last 5 starts: .926 save %, 2.44 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CGY·SJ
Oct 30 vs SEA
last game
Oct 29 vs VAN
2 days
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Calgary Flames
CGYBrennan Othmann LW · upper bodyOut
CGYDevin Cooley G · lower body, back about Nov 6IR
CGYJonathan Huberdeau LW · hip surgery, back about Nov 2IR
CGYSamuel Honzek LW · lower bodyIR
San Jose Sharks
SJAdam Gaudette RWIR
SJAlexander Wennberg C · upper body, back about Nov 9IR
SJIgor Chernyshov LW · upper body, back about Nov 14IR
SJKyle Keyser G · upper body, back about Dec 1IR
SJQuentin Musty LW · upper body, back about Dec 1IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 12+ games
CGY·SJ
−0.26
rating (0 = average)
−0.27
2.3
goals / game
2.9
3.8
goals allowed / game
3.4
5−7
season record
7−7
4−3
home record
3−3
1−4
away record
4−4
L1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
4−6
28.8
shots / game
27.4
49.5
faceoff %
47.2
22.7
hits / game
25.6
12.9
blocked shots / game
14.4
4.1
takeaways / game
4.8
15.8
giveaways / game
18.6

Rating Trend

CGY · SJ · 31 days
Calgary FlamesSan Jose Sharks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SJ 1−9
Feb 26at SJCGY 4 − 1
Jan 31at CGYCGY 3 − 2
Dec 16, 2025at SJSJ 6 − 3
Nov 13, 2025at CGYCGY 2 − 0
Apr 13, 2025at CGYCGY 5 − 2
Apr 7, 2025at SJCGY 3 − 2
Feb 23, 2025at CGYCGY 3 − 2
Dec 28, 2024at SJCGY 3 − 1
Apr 18, 2024at CGYCGY 5 − 1
Apr 9, 2024at SJCGY 3 − 2 OT

CGY · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 28at EDM0 − 4L
Oct 26vs TOR5 − 2W
Oct 24vs DET4 − 1W
Oct 22vs MIN2 − 1W
Oct 18vs CAR3 − 2W
Oct 15at VGK2 − 6L
Oct 13at ANA4 − 2W
Oct 10vs ANA2 − 4L
Oct 8vs COL3 − 7L
Oct 4at SEA1 − 6L

SJ · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Oct 29vs VAN3 − 2W
Oct 27vs BUF0 − 2L
Oct 24at BOS4 − 6L
Oct 22at OTT6 − 2W
Oct 20at MTL4 − 3W
Oct 19at TOR1 − 3L
Oct 17at DET3 − 4L
Oct 15at NSH3 − 2W
Oct 13vs BOS3 − 6L
Oct 10vs EDM1 − 3L