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Avalanche at Blue Jackets

NHL · Tuesday, Nov 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Nationwide Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
COL by 0.6
Expected score
COL 3.4 – 2.8 CBJ
Expected total
6.2
AvalancheThe matchupBlue Jackets
−133Our fair odds+133
3.4Expected goals2.8
+0.45Power rating−0.07
4.2Goals / game2.5
3.2Allowed / game3.3
30.4Shots / game25.5
46.7Faceoff %54.6
16.1Hits / game23.0
7−6Season record5−6
5−5Last 104−6
Josh Manson D · Zachary L'Heureux LWOut (2 each)Brendan Smith D · Ivan Provorov D

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
COL chance · CBJ chance
Our model fair57.0%43.0%
Kalshi59.7%48.7%
Polymarket US58.7%46.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:32 AM CTPolymarket US4:31 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
COLColorado Avalanche−13357%−14859.7%−14258.7%——
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+13343%+10548.7%+11446.7%——
SpreadCOL by 0.6
COLColorado Avalanche−0.6our margin—−2.5 +11047.7%——
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+0.6our margin—+2.5 −1063999.1%——
Totalwe expect 6.2
Over6.2our total—o5.5 −35978.2%——
Under6.2our total—u5.5 −27673.4%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Colorado Avalanche by 0.6 expected
Colorado Avalanche by 6 goals: 1%Colorado Avalanche by 5 goals: 3%Colorado Avalanche by 4 goals: 8%Colorado Avalanche by 3 goals: 14%Colorado Avalanche by 2 goals: 11%Colorado Avalanche by 1 goal: 20%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 22%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 8%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 8%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 4%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%
← COL wins byCBJ wins by →
Colorado Avalanche wins by 2 or more38%
Colorado Avalanche wins by 3 or more26%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more21%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.2 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 11%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 21%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 10%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.556%
Total over 6.545%
Total over 7.526%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
COLScott Wedgewood G · last 5 starts: .878 save %, 3.61 GAAexpected
CBJJet Greaves G · last 5 starts: .879 save %, 3.52 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
COL·CBJ
Oct 28 vs NJ
last game
Oct 29 at CAR
5 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Colorado Avalanche
COLJosh Manson D · left ankle, back about Dec 27Out
COLLogan O'Connor RW · personalDay-to-day
COLZachary L'Heureux LW · upper body, back about Nov 7IR
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJBrendan Smith DIR
CBJIvan Provorov DIR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 11+ games
COL·CBJ
+0.45
rating (0 = average)
−0.07
4.2
goals / game
2.5
3.2
goals allowed / game
3.3
7−6
season record
5−6
5−2
home record
4−3
2−4
away record
1−3
W1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
4−6
30.4
shots / game
25.5
46.7
faceoff %
54.6
16.1
hits / game
23.0
14.4
blocked shots / game
15.5
4.3
takeaways / game
5.0
17.1
giveaways / game
16.9

Rating Trend

COL · CBJ · 31 days
Colorado AvalancheColumbus Blue Jackets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CBJ 4−6
Jan 10at COLCOL 4 − 0
Oct 16, 2025at CBJCOL 4 − 1
Apr 3, 2025at CBJCOL 7 − 3
Oct 12, 2024at COLCBJ 6 − 4
Apr 1, 2024at CBJCBJ 4 − 1
Mar 22, 2024at COLCOL 6 − 1
Nov 5, 2022at CBJCOL 5 − 1
Nov 4, 2022at COLCOL 6 − 3
Nov 6, 2021at CBJCBJ 4 − 2
Nov 3, 2021at COLCBJ 5 − 4 OT

COL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28vs NJ5 − 2W
Oct 25at NSH2 − 6L
Oct 23vs TB6 − 3W
Oct 20at NJ3 − 4L
Oct 19at PHI2 − 3L
Oct 16vs PIT5 − 2W
Oct 14vs DAL2 − 3L
Oct 13at DAL3 − 2W
Oct 10vs TOR3 − 6L
Oct 8at CGY7 − 3W

CBJ · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 29at CAR2 − 3L
Oct 27at PHI4 − 3W
Oct 24vs VGK2 − 1W
Oct 20vs TOR2 − 6L
Oct 18at MIN1 − 2L
Oct 17vs NYR1 − 0W
Oct 13vs FLA3 − 7L
Oct 10at STL3 − 5L
Oct 9vs PIT3 − 2W
Oct 3vs UTAH1 − 4L