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Blue Jackets at Sabres

NHL · Friday, Nov 6 · 6:00 PM CT · KeyBank Center · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 6

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
BUF by 0.8
Expected score
BUF 3.6 – 2.9 CBJ
Expected total
6.5
Blue JacketsThe matchupSabres
+159Our fair odds−159
2.9Expected goals3.6
−0.07Power rating+0.17
2.5Goals / game3.1
3.3Allowed / game3.6
25.5Shots / game27.8
54.6Faceoff %47.2
23.0Hits / game19.3
5−6Season record6−7
4−6Last 104−6
Brendan Smith D · Ivan Provorov DOutJiri Kulich C · Konsta Helenius C
Alex Lyon G · Conor Timmins D
Justin Danforth RW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CBJ chance · BUF chance
Our model fair38.6%61.4%
Kalshi42.7%67.6%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi5:26 AM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+15939%+13442.7%———
BUFBuffalo Sabres−15961%−20867.6%———
SpreadBUF by 0.8
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets+0.8our margin————
BUFBuffalo Sabres−0.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.5
Over6.5our total————
Under6.5our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Buffalo Sabres by 0.8 expected
Columbus Blue Jackets by 7 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 6 goals: <1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 5 goals: 1%Columbus Blue Jackets by 4 goals: 3%Columbus Blue Jackets by 3 goals: 8%Columbus Blue Jackets by 2 goals: 7%Columbus Blue Jackets by 1 goal: 19%Buffalo Sabres by 1 goal: 21%Buffalo Sabres by 2 goals: 12%Buffalo Sabres by 3 goals: 15%Buffalo Sabres by 4 goals: 9%Buffalo Sabres by 5 goals: 4%Buffalo Sabres by 6 goals: 1%Buffalo Sabres by 7 goals: <1%
← CBJ wins byBUF wins by →
Buffalo Sabres wins by 2 or more41%
Buffalo Sabres wins by 3 or more29%
Columbus Blue Jackets wins by 2 or more20%
Decided by one goal40%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.5 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 9%4 goals: 8%5 goals: 19%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 8%9 goals: 11%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 4%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.561%
Total over 6.550%
Total over 7.530%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
CBJCam Talbot G · last 5 starts: .898 save %, 2.90 GAAexpected
BUFUkko-Pekka Luukkonen G · last 5 starts: .889 save %, 3.49 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CBJ·BUF
Oct 29 at CAR
last game
Oct 29 at ANA
7 days
days of rest
7 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJBrendan Smith DIR
CBJIvan Provorov DIR
Buffalo Sabres
BUFJiri Kulich C · concussionOut
BUFKonsta Helenius C · upper bodyOut
BUFAlex Lyon G · upper bodyIR
BUFConor Timmins DIR
BUFJustin Danforth RW · upper bodyIR
BUFMatt Grzelcyk D · lower bodyIR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 11+ games
CBJ·BUF
−0.07
rating (0 = average)
+0.17
2.5
goals / game
3.1
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.6
5−6
season record
6−7
4−3
home record
3−3
1−3
away record
3−4
L1
streak
W2
4−6
last 10
4−6
25.5
shots / game
27.8
54.6
faceoff %
47.2
23.0
hits / game
19.3
15.5
blocked shots / game
11.9
5.0
takeaways / game
3.9
16.9
giveaways / game
16.5

Rating Trend

CBJ · BUF · 31 days
Columbus Blue JacketsBuffalo Sabres
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BUF 4−6
Oct 1at CBJCBJ 6 − 3
Apr 9at BUFBUF 5 − 0
Jan 3at CBJCBJ 5 − 1
Oct 28, 2025at BUFCBJ 4 − 3 OT
Apr 10, 2025at CBJCBJ 3 − 2
Feb 4, 2025at BUFBUF 3 − 2
Oct 17, 2024at CBJCBJ 6 − 4
Feb 23, 2024at CBJBUF 2 − 1
Dec 30, 2023at BUFBUF 3 − 2 OT
Dec 19, 2023at BUFCBJ 9 − 4

CBJ · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 29at CAR2 − 3L
Oct 27at PHI4 − 3W
Oct 24vs VGK2 − 1W
Oct 20vs TOR2 − 6L
Oct 18at MIN1 − 2L
Oct 17vs NYR1 − 0W
Oct 13vs FLA3 − 7L
Oct 10at STL3 − 5L
Oct 9vs PIT3 − 2W
Oct 3vs UTAH1 − 4L

BUF · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Oct 29at ANA7 − 6W
Oct 27at SJ2 − 0W
Oct 24at WSH3 − 4L
Oct 21vs PHI1 − 3L
Oct 17at MTL3 − 4L
Oct 15at TOR5 − 4W
Oct 13at MTL3 − 4L
Oct 12vs FLA5 − 3W
Oct 10vs UTAH1 − 4L
Oct 8vs DAL0 − 4L