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Pistons at 76ers

NBA · Sunday, Oct 25 · 6:30 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final DET 106 – PHI 93
← NBA / Oct 25

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET34222327106
PHI2222252493
Team box
DET·PHI
38-87
field goals
36-90
14-34
3-pointers
7-27
16-25
free throws
14-23
54
rebounds
37
25
assists
22
17
turnovers
11
42
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI342954
Cade CunninghamDET332688
Duncan RobinsonDET322133
Daniss JenkinsDET381886
LeBron JamesPHI331825
John CollinsDET3416110

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +21
DET +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 0 · DET 21lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 54%, PHI 46% · Updated Oct 25

Expected margin
DET by 3.1
Expected score
DET 115.1 – 112.0 PHI
Expected total
227.0
PistonsThe matchup76ers
−118Our fair odds+118
115.1Expected points112.0
+0.85Power rating+0.20
124.5Points / game115.7
112.0Allowed / game107.3
49.0FG%43.0
42.53P%32.0
51.0Rebounds / game43.0
2−0Season record3−0
6−4Last 106−4
Ausar Thompson · Jalen Duren
Ugonna OnyensoOutAriel Hukporti · Dominick Barlow
Jabari Walker · Joel Embiid
Tacko Fall

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · PHI chance
Our model fair54.2%45.8%
Kalshi56.7%48.7%
Polymarket US55.7%48.7%
ProphetX55.7%47.0%
Novig54.5%46.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:30 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:28 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:28 PM CT
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−11854%−13156.7%−12655.7%−12655.7%−12054.5%
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+11846%+10548.7%+10548.7%+11347.0%+11746.0%
SpreadDET by 3.1
DETDetroit Pistons−3.1our margin−1.5 −12154.7%−1.5 −11653.7%−1.5 −11553.6%−1.5 −11353.0%
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+3.1our margin+1.5 +10149.7%+1.5 −10350.7%+1.5 +10548.7%+1.5 +10848.0%
Totalwe expect 227.0
Over227.0our totalo229.5 −10350.7%o229.5 −10350.7%o229.5 −10050.0%o229.5 +10449.0%
Under227.0our totalu229.5 −11653.7%u229.5 −11653.7%u229.5 −11252.9%u229.5 −10651.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 3.1 expected
Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%
← DET wins byPHI wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more48%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more34%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.0 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.548%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GDaniss Jenkinsstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FPaul Reedstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GKentavious Caldwell-Popestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GTyrese Maxeystarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FDean Wadestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·PHI
Oct 23 at MIA
last game
Oct 24 vs MIL
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
2
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 25, 6:45 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETAusar Thompson · right ankle sprainOut
DETJalen Duren · right hamstring strainOut
DETUgonna Onyenso · g league - two-wayOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIAriel Hukporti · right achilles tendon rupture / tearOut
PHIDominick Barlow · low back stress reactionOut
PHIJabari Walker · left knee sorenessOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right plantar fasciitis injury managementOut
PHITacko Fall · left quadriceps strainOut
PHIVJ Edgecombe · abdominal contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
DET·PHI
+0.85
rating (0 = average)
+0.20
124.5
points / game
115.7
112.0
points allowed / game
107.3
2−0
season record
3−0
1−0
home record
2−0
1−0
away record
1−0
W2
streak
W3
6−4
last 10
6−4
49.0
FG%
43.0
42.5
3P%
32.0
51.0
rebounds / game
43.0
30.5
assists / game
26.0
18.5
turnovers / game
13.3
43.0
points in paint / game
43.3

Rating Trend

DET · PHI · 5 days
Detroit PistonsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 4−6
Apr 4at PHIDET 116 − 93
Mar 12at DETDET 131 − 109
Nov 14, 2025at DETDET 114 − 105
Nov 9, 2025at PHIDET 111 − 108
Feb 7, 2025at DETDET 125 − 112
Nov 30, 2024at DETPHI 111 − 96
Oct 30, 2024at PHIDET 105 − 95
Apr 9, 2024at PHIPHI 120 − 102
Dec 15, 2023at PHIPHI 124 − 92
Dec 13, 2023at DETPHI 129 − 111

DET · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 23at MIA128 − 111W
Oct 20vs BOS121 − 113W
May 17vs CLE94 − 125L
May 15at CLE115 − 94W
May 13vs CLE113 − 117L
May 11at CLE103 − 112L
May 9at CLE109 − 116L
May 7vs CLE107 − 97W
May 5vs CLE111 − 101W
May 3vs ORL116 − 94W

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Oct 24vs MIL127 − 116W
Oct 22vs CLE114 − 106W
Oct 20at NY106 − 100W
May 10vs NY114 − 144L
May 8vs NY94 − 108L
May 6at NY102 − 108L
May 4at NY98 − 137L
May 2at BOS109 − 100W
Apr 30vs BOS106 − 93W
Apr 28at BOS113 − 97W