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Wizards at Cavaliers

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 28 · 6:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final WSH 111 – CLE 121
← NBA / Oct 28

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH42272319111
CLE34253329121
Team box
WSH·CLE
44-83
field goals
43-91
8-32
3-pointers
14-38
15-17
free throws
21-22
27
rebounds
47
31
assists
26
10
turnovers
13
66
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Evan MobleyCLE3224122
Peyton WatsonCLE282262
Donovan MitchellCLE311957
AJ DybantsaWSH271922
Anthony DavisWSH341853
Alex SarrWSH261842

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +13
WSH +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 10 · WSH 13lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 21%, CLE 79% · Updated Oct 28

Expected margin
CLE by 11.9
Expected score
CLE 125.6 – 113.7 WSH
Expected total
239.3
WizardsThe matchupCavaliers
+378Our fair odds−378
113.7Expected points125.6
−1.16Power rating+0.39
114.2Points / game119.3
114.5Allowed / game120.0
46.5FG%47.0
28.83P%35.3
43.2Rebounds / game47.0
2−2Season record2−1
2−8Last 104−6
Felix Okpara · Jamir Watkins
Justin Champagnie · Reece Beekman
Tre JohnsonOutJr., Ernest Udeh · Khalifa Diop
Nae'Qwan Tomlin

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · CLE chance
Our model fair20.9%79.1%
Kalshi24.2%79.2%
Polymarket US24.2%79.2%
ProphetX24.3%78.5%
Novig22.5%78.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 5:59 PM CTNovigpre-game · 5:59 PM CT
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+37821%+31324.2%+31324.2%+31224.3%+34422.5%
CLECleveland Cavaliers−37879%−38179.2%−38179.2%−36478.5%−35578.0%
SpreadCLE by 11.9
WSHWashington Wizards+11.9our margin+9.5 −10350.7%+9.5 −10350.7%+9.5 +10149.8%+9.5 +10449.0%
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11.9our margin−9.5 −11653.7%−9.5 −11653.7%−9.5 −11052.4%−9.5 −10651.5%
Totalwe expect 239.3
Over239.3our totalo240.5 −10350.7%o240.5 −10350.7%o240.5 +10149.8%o240.5 +10449.0%
Under239.3our totalu240.5 −11653.7%u240.5 −11653.7%u240.5 −11353.1%u240.5 −10852.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 11.9 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more71%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more56%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more41%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

239.3 expected
189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 229.567%
Total over 239.548%
Total over 249.530%
Total from 230 to 24937%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GTrae Youngstarted
FAnthony Davisstarted
FAJ Dybantsastarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJames Hardenstarted
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GPeyton Watsonstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·CLE
Oct 26 at CHA
last game
Oct 26 vs MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 28, 6:15 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHFelix Okpara · g league - two-wayOut
WSHJamir Watkins · left acl repair / surgeryOut
WSHJustin Champagnie · right foot injuryOut
WSHReece Beekman · g league - two-wayOut
WSHTre Johnson · right achilles sorenessOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · left hip impingementOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEJr., Ernest Udeh · g league - two-wayOut
CLEKhalifa Diop · g league - on assignmentOut
CLENae'Qwan Tomlin · low back stress reactionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
WSH·CLE
−1.16
rating (0 = average)
+0.39
114.2
points / game
119.3
114.5
points allowed / game
120.0
2−2
season record
2−1
1−1
home record
2−0
1−1
away record
0−1
L1
streak
W2
2−8
last 10
4−6
46.5
FG%
47.0
28.8
3P%
35.3
43.2
rebounds / game
47.0
24.5
assists / game
26.3
16.0
turnovers / game
18.7
55.0
points in paint / game
50.0

Rating Trend

WSH · CLE · 8 days
Washington WizardsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 10−0
Apr 12at CLECLE 130 − 117
Feb 11at CLECLE 138 − 113
Dec 12, 2025at WSHCLE 130 − 126
Nov 7, 2025at WSHCLE 148 − 115
Feb 7, 2025at WSHCLE 134 − 124
Dec 13, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 105
Dec 3, 2024at CLECLE 118 − 87
Oct 26, 2024at WSHCLE 135 − 116
Feb 25, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 105
Feb 7, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 106

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Oct 26at CHA103 − 110L
Oct 24at CHI124 − 120W
Oct 23vs TOR102 − 112L
Oct 21vs MIL128 − 116W
Apr 12at CLE117 − 130L
Apr 10vs MIA117 − 140L
Apr 9vs CHI108 − 119L
Apr 7vs CHI98 − 129L
Apr 5at BKN115 − 121L
Apr 4at MIA136 − 152L

CLE · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Oct 26vs MIN127 − 125W
Oct 24vs BKN125 − 121W
Oct 22at PHI106 − 114L
May 25vs NY93 − 130L
May 23vs NY108 − 121L
May 21at NY93 − 109L
May 19at NY104 − 115L
May 17at DET125 − 94W
May 15vs DET94 − 115L
May 13at DET117 − 113W