Final · our forecast was WSH 35%, CHA 65% · Updated Oct 26
Expected margin
CHA by 6.4
Expected score
CHA 116.9 – 110.6 WSH
Expected total
227.5
WizardsThe matchupHornets
+183Our fair odds−183
110.6Expected points116.9
−1.15Power rating+0.32
118.0Points / game102.0
116.0Allowed / game113.7
46.0FG%40.7
27.73P%30.0
44.0Rebounds / game45.7
2−1Season record2−1
2−8Last 107−3
AJ Dybantsa · Jamir Watkins Reece Beekman · Tristan VukcevicOutCoby White · Grant Williams Kon Knueppel
Prediction markets
Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · CHA chance
Our model fair35.4%64.6%
Kalshi43.7%61.7%
Polymarket US42.7%61.7%
ProphetX42.8%59.5%
Novig41.5%59.0%
Full price table
Team
Our modelfair
Kalshipre-game · 6:00 PM CT
Polymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CT
ProphetXpre-game · 5:57 PM CT
Novigpre-game · 5:57 PM CT
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards
+18335%
+12943.7%
+13442.7%
+13342.8%
+14141.5%
CHACharlotte Hornets
−18365%
−16161.7%
−16161.7%
−14759.5%
−14459.0%
SpreadCHA by 6.4
WSHWashington Wizards
+6.4our margin
+3.5−11653.7%
+3.5−11653.7%
+3.5−11353.1%
+3.5−10852.0%
CHACharlotte Hornets
−6.4our margin
−3.5−10350.7%
−3.5−10350.7%
−3.5+10149.8%
−3.5+10648.5%
Totalwe expect 227.5
Over
227.5our total
o226.5−10350.7%
o225.5−11653.7%
o226.5+10249.6%
o226.5+10648.5%
Under
227.5our total
u226.5−11653.7%
u225.5−10350.7%
u226.5−11353.1%
u226.5−11152.5%
These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.
Margin range
Charlotte Hornets by 6.4 expected
40302010010203040
← WSH wins byCHA wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more57%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more42%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%
Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.
Total range
227.5 expected
180200220240260280
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%
Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.