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Wizards at Hornets

NBA · Monday, Oct 26 · 6:00 PM CT · Spectrum Center · Final WSH 103 – CHA 110

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH21232435103
CHA19352630110
Team box
WSH·CHA
41-85
field goals
42-97
9-28
3-pointers
12-39
12-15
free throws
14-17
41
rebounds
54
21
assists
17
14
turnovers
12
56
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon MillerCHA363961
Anthony DavisWSH3629100
Trae YoungWSH3822610
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH292042
Naz ReidCHA2918121
Grayson AllenCHA281521

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHA +14
WSH +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHA 14 · WSH 4lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 35%, CHA 65% · Updated Oct 26

Expected margin
CHA by 6.4
Expected score
CHA 116.9 – 110.6 WSH
Expected total
227.5
WizardsThe matchupHornets
+183Our fair odds−183
110.6Expected points116.9
−1.15Power rating+0.32
118.0Points / game102.0
116.0Allowed / game113.7
46.0FG%40.7
27.73P%30.0
44.0Rebounds / game45.7
2−1Season record2−1
2−8Last 107−3
AJ Dybantsa · Jamir Watkins
Reece Beekman · Tristan Vukcevic
OutCoby White · Grant Williams
Kon Knueppel

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · CHA chance
Our model fair35.4%64.6%
Kalshi43.7%61.7%
Polymarket US42.7%61.7%
ProphetX42.8%59.5%
Novig41.5%59.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 5:57 PM CTNovigpre-game · 5:57 PM CT
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+18335%+12943.7%+13442.7%+13342.8%+14141.5%
CHACharlotte Hornets−18365%−16161.7%−16161.7%−14759.5%−14459.0%
SpreadCHA by 6.4
WSHWashington Wizards+6.4our margin+3.5 −11653.7%+3.5 −11653.7%+3.5 −11353.1%+3.5 −10852.0%
CHACharlotte Hornets−6.4our margin−3.5 −10350.7%−3.5 −10350.7%−3.5 +10149.8%−3.5 +10648.5%
Totalwe expect 227.5
Over227.5our totalo226.5 −10350.7%o225.5 −11653.7%o226.5 +10249.6%o226.5 +10648.5%
Under227.5our totalu226.5 −11653.7%u225.5 −10350.7%u226.5 −11353.1%u226.5 −11152.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Charlotte Hornets by 6.4 expected
Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%
← WSH wins byCHA wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more57%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more42%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.5 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GTrae Youngstarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Charlotte Hornets
GSion Jamesstarted
CNaz Reidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·CHA
Oct 24 at CHI
last game
Oct 24 vs MIA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 26, 6:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAJ Dybantsa · left ankle sprainOut
WSHJamir Watkins · left acl repair / surgeryOut
WSHReece Beekman · g league - two-wayOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · left hip impingementOut
Charlotte Hornets
CHACoby White · left calf strainOut
CHAGrant Williams · right hamstring strainOut
CHAKon Knueppel · left hamstring strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
WSH·CHA
−1.15
rating (0 = average)
+0.32
118.0
points / game
102.0
116.0
points allowed / game
113.7
2−1
season record
2−1
1−1
home record
1−1
1−0
away record
1−0
W1
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
7−3
46.0
FG%
40.7
27.7
3P%
30.0
44.0
rebounds / game
45.7
25.7
assists / game
23.0
16.7
turnovers / game
21.0
54.7
points in paint / game
39.3

Rating Trend

WSH · CHA · 6 days
Washington WizardsCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 5−5
Feb 22at WSHCHA 129 − 112
Jan 24at CHACHA 119 − 115
Dec 23, 2025at CHACHA 126 − 109
Oct 26, 2025at WSHCHA 139 − 113
Mar 1, 2025at CHAWSH 113 − 100
Feb 3, 2025at CHAWSH 124 − 114
Dec 26, 2024at WSHWSH 113 − 110
Dec 19, 2024at WSHWSH 123 − 114
Mar 8, 2024at WSHWSH 112 − 100
Nov 22, 2023at CHACHA 117 − 114

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Oct 24at CHI124 − 120W
Oct 23vs TOR102 − 112L
Oct 21vs MIL128 − 116W
Apr 12at CLE117 − 130L
Apr 10vs MIA117 − 140L
Apr 9vs CHI108 − 119L
Apr 7vs CHI98 − 129L
Apr 5at BKN115 − 121L
Apr 4at MIA136 − 152L
Apr 1vs PHI131 − 153L

CHA · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Oct 24vs MIA115 − 110W
Oct 23vs ATL81 − 128L
Oct 21at BKN110 − 103W
Apr 12at NY110 − 96W
Apr 10vs DET100 − 118L
Apr 7at BOS102 − 113L
Apr 5at MIN122 − 108W
Apr 3vs IND129 − 108W
Apr 2vs PHX127 − 107W
Mar 31at BKN117 − 86W