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Magic at Raptors

NBA · Friday, Oct 30 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final ORL 121 – TOR 114
← NBA / Oct 30

Box score and game flow are added the next morning.

Final · our forecast was ORL 35%, TOR 65% · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
TOR by 5.9
Expected score
TOR 115.5 – 109.6 ORL
Expected total
225.0
MagicThe matchupRaptors
+186Our fair odds−186
109.6Expected points115.5
+0.01Power rating+0.38
107.0Points / game117.5
119.5Allowed / game102.5
44.0FG%44.2
31.23P%30.5
41.2Rebounds / game45.8
1−3Season record3−1
3−7Last 106−4
Izaiyah Nelson · Jalen Suggs
Jonathan Isaac · Noah Penda
Paolo BancheroOutKawhi Leonard · Malachi Smith
Nate Bittle

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · TOR chance
Our model fair34.9%65.1%
Kalshi35.6%67.6%
Polymarket US35.6%68.5%
ProphetX35.6%66.9%
Novig34.5%66.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:28 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 6:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 6:28 PM CTNovigpre-game · 6:28 PM CT
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+18635%+18135.6%+18135.6%+18135.6%+19034.5%
TORToronto Raptors−18665%−20867.6%−21868.5%−20266.9%−19466.0%
SpreadTOR by 5.9
ORLOrlando Magic+5.9our margin+5.5 −10350.7%+5.5 −10751.7%+5.5 −10050.0%+5.5 +10449.0%
TORToronto Raptors−5.9our margin−5.5 −11653.7%−5.5 −11252.7%−5.5 −11252.9%−5.5 −10852.0%
Totalwe expect 225.0
Over225.0our totalo226.5 −11252.7%o226.5 −11252.7%o226.5 −10751.7%o226.5 −10451.0%
Under225.0our totalu226.5 −10751.8%u226.5 −10751.7%u226.5 −10250.5%u226.5 +10050.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 5.9 expected
Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%
← ORL wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more56%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more41%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.0 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.568%
Total over 225.549%
Total over 235.529%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
GJase Richardsonstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·TOR
Oct 28 at TOR
last game
Oct 28 vs ORL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 29, 7:30 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLIzaiyah Nelson · left ankle injury recoveryOut
ORLJalen Suggs · right knee contusion / bone bruiseOut
ORLJonathan Isaac · left knee injury managementOut
ORLNoah Penda · right partially torn hamstringOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · right low grade high ankle sprainOut
Toronto Raptors
TORKawhi Leonard · left knee injury managementOut
TORMalachi Smith · g league - two-wayOut
TORNate Bittle · right avulsion fractureOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
ORL·TOR
+0.01
rating (0 = average)
+0.38
107.0
points / game
117.5
119.5
points allowed / game
102.5
1−3
season record
3−1
0−2
home record
2−0
1−1
away record
1−1
L1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
6−4
44.0
FG%
44.2
31.2
3P%
30.5
41.2
rebounds / game
45.8
26.0
assists / game
27.2
18.0
turnovers / game
15.0
45.0
points in paint / game
52.0

Rating Trend

ORL · TOR · 10 days
Orlando MagicToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 6−4
Oct 28at TORTOR 129 − 99
Mar 29at TORTOR 139 − 87
Jan 30at ORLORL 130 − 120
Dec 29, 2025at TORTOR 107 − 106
Mar 4, 2025at ORLTOR 114 − 113
Mar 2, 2025at ORLTOR 104 − 102
Jan 21, 2025at TORTOR 109 − 93
Jan 3, 2025at TORORL 106 − 97
Mar 17, 2024at ORLORL 111 − 96
Mar 15, 2024at TORORL 113 − 103

ORL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 28at TOR99 − 129L
Oct 25at NY111 − 102W
Oct 23vs MIN93 − 115L
Oct 21vs ATL125 − 132L
May 3at DET94 − 116L
May 1vs DET79 − 93L
Apr 29at DET109 − 116L
Apr 27vs DET94 − 88W
Apr 25vs DET113 − 105W
Apr 22at DET83 − 98L

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 28vs ORL129 − 99W
Oct 25at MIN94 − 117L
Oct 23at WSH112 − 102W
Oct 21vs CHI135 − 92W
May 3at CLE102 − 114L
May 1vs CLE112 − 110W
Apr 29at CLE120 − 125L
Apr 26vs CLE93 − 89W
Apr 23vs CLE126 − 104W
Apr 20at CLE105 − 115L