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Raptors at Lakers

NBA · Sunday, Nov 1 · 8:00 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 1

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
LAL by 3.6
Expected score
LAL 114.2 – 110.7 TOR
Expected total
224.9
RaptorsThe matchupLakers
+160Our fair odds−160
110.7Expected points114.2
+0.38Power rating+0.49
117.5Points / game123.2
102.5Allowed / game113.6
44.2FG%52.8
30.53P%39.0
45.8Rebounds / game38.0
3−1Season record4−1
6−4Last 105−5
Kawhi Leonard F · Nate Bittle COut (2 each)Adou Thiero F · Ziaire Williams F

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · LAL chance
Our model fair38.5%61.5%
Kalshi40.7%64.6%
Polymarket US38.6%65.6%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:20 AM CTPolymarket US4:20 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+16039%+14640.7%+15938.6%——
LALLos Angeles Lakers−16061%−18364.6%−19165.6%——
SpreadLAL by 3.6
TORToronto Raptors+3.6our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−3.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.9
Over224.9our total————
Under224.9our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 3.6 expected
Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%
← TOR wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more50%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more35%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.9 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.570%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.531%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleylast game
GJa'Kobe Walterlast game
FRJ Barrettlast game
FScottie Barneslast game
CJakob Poeltllast game
Los Angeles Lakers
GMatisse Thybullelast game
GAustin Reaveslast game
GQuentin Grimeslast game
FJake LaRavialast game
CWalker Kesslerlast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·LAL
Oct 30 vs ORL
last game
Oct 30 at GS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Toronto Raptors
TORKawhi Leonard F · left knee inflammation, back about Nov 23Out
TORNate Bittle C · right foot fracture, back about Nov 2Out
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero F · left knee inflammation, back about Nov 1Out
LALZiaire Williams F · left foot, back about Nov 1Out

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
TOR·LAL
+0.38
rating (0 = average)
+0.49
117.5
points / game
123.2
102.5
points allowed / game
113.6
3−1
season record
4−1
2−0
home record
2−1
1−1
away record
2−0
W1
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
5−5
44.2
FG%
52.8
30.5
3P%
39.0
45.8
rebounds / game
38.0
27.2
assists / game
24.0
15.0
turnovers / game
17.0
52.0
points in paint / game
50.0

Rating Trend

TOR · LAL · 10 days
Toronto RaptorsLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 8−2
Jan 18at LALLAL 110 − 93
Dec 4, 2025at TORLAL 123 − 120
Nov 10, 2024at LALLAL 123 − 103
Nov 1, 2024at TORLAL 131 − 125
Apr 2, 2024at TORLAL 128 − 111
Jan 9, 2024at LALLAL 132 − 131
Mar 10, 2023at LALLAL 122 − 112
Dec 7, 2022at TORTOR 126 − 113
Mar 18, 2022at TORLAL 128 − 123
Mar 14, 2022at LALTOR 114 − 103

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Oct 28vs ORL129 − 99W
Oct 25at MIN94 − 117L
Oct 23at WSH112 − 102W
Oct 21vs CHI135 − 92W
May 3at CLE102 − 114L
May 1vs CLE112 − 110W
Apr 29at CLE120 − 125L
Apr 26vs CLE93 − 89W
Apr 23vs CLE126 − 104W
Apr 20at CLE105 − 115L

LAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28at LAC103 − 87W
Oct 27vs POR129 − 136L
Oct 25at UTAH132 − 123W
Oct 23vs LAC125 − 117W
Oct 21vs GS127 − 105W
May 11vs OKC110 − 115L
May 9vs OKC108 − 131L
May 7at OKC107 − 125L
May 5at OKC90 − 108L
May 1at HOU98 − 78W