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Lakers at Clippers

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 28 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final LAL 103 – LAC 87
← NBA / Oct 28

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL25312918103
LAC2216282187
Team box
LAL·LAC
35-79
field goals
26-74
9-31
3-pointers
10-31
24-33
free throws
25-27
48
rebounds
41
16
assists
17
21
turnovers
24
48
points in paint
28
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Quentin GrimesLAL382335
Keaton WaglerLAC282142
Collin SextonLAL212142
Austin ReavesLAL311661
Derrick Jones Jr.LAC281550
Matisse ThybulleLAL281510

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +23
LAL +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 5 · LAL 23lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 47%, LAC 53% · Updated Oct 28

Expected margin
LAC by 1.2
Expected score
LAC 113.0 – 111.8 LAL
Expected total
224.7
LakersThe matchupClippers
+114Our fair odds−114
111.8Expected points113.0
+0.43Power rating+0.16
128.2Points / game113.0
120.2Allowed / game109.7
55.0FG%49.0
41.53P%40.7
35.5Rebounds / game40.3
3−1Season record1−2
4−6Last 104−6
Adou Thiero · Cameron Carr
Luka Doncic · Ziaire WilliamsOutBradley Beal · Brandon Ingram
Jordan Miller · Max Strus
Rui Hachimura

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · LAC chance
Our model fair46.7%53.3%
Kalshi51.7%52.7%
Polymarket US51.7%52.7%
ProphetX50.5%51.7%
Novig49.5%51.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 9:30 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 9:29 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 9:29 PM CTNovigpre-game · 9:28 PM CT
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers+11447%−10751.8%−10751.7%−10250.5%+10249.5%
LACLA Clippers−11453%−11252.7%−11252.7%−10751.7%−10451.0%
SpreadLAC by 1.2
LALLos Angeles Lakers+1.2our margin+1.5 −12154.7%+1.5 −12154.7%+1.5 −11553.6%+1.5 −11152.5%
LACLA Clippers−1.2our margin−1.5 −10350.7%−1.5 +10149.7%−1.5 +10249.6%−1.5 +10848.0%
Totalwe expect 224.7
Over224.7our totalo223.5 −11653.7%o223.5 −11653.7%o223.5 −11252.9%o223.5 −10852.0%
Under224.7our totalu223.5 −10350.7%u223.5 −10350.7%u223.5 +10149.8%u223.5 +10648.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 1.2 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%
← LAL wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more44%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more30%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.7 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.570%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GMatisse Thybullestarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
GQuentin Grimesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CWalker Kesslerstarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
FIsaiah Jacksonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·LAC
Oct 27 vs POR
last game
Oct 25 at OKC
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 28, 4:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · left knee injury managementOut
LALCameron Carr · right oblique strainOut
LALLuka Doncic · back tightnessOut
LALZiaire Williams · left foot inflammation / sorenessOut
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · right knee injury managementOut
LACBrandon Ingram · right heel surgeryOut
LACJordan Miller · left rotator cuff surgeryOut
LACMax Strus · right plantar fascia tearOut
LACRui Hachimura · left quad sorenessOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
LAL·LAC
+0.43
rating (0 = average)
+0.16
128.2
points / game
113.0
120.2
points allowed / game
109.7
3−1
season record
1−2
2−1
home record
1−0
1−0
away record
0−2
L1
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
4−6
55.0
FG%
49.0
41.5
3P%
40.7
35.5
rebounds / game
40.3
26.0
assists / game
27.7
16.0
turnovers / game
23.3
50.5
points in paint / game
46.7

Rating Trend

LAL · LAC · 8 days
Los Angeles LakersLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 3−7
Oct 23at LALLAL 125 − 117
Feb 20at LALLAL 125 − 122
Jan 22at LACLAC 112 − 104
Dec 20, 2025at LACLAC 103 − 88
Nov 25, 2025at LALLAL 135 − 118
Mar 2, 2025at LALLAL 108 − 102
Feb 28, 2025at LALLAL 106 − 102
Feb 4, 2025at LACLAL 122 − 97
Jan 19, 2025at LACLAC 116 − 102
Feb 28, 2024at LACLAL 116 − 112

LAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 27vs POR129 − 136L
Oct 25at UTAH132 − 123W
Oct 23vs LAC125 − 117W
Oct 21vs GS127 − 105W
May 11vs OKC110 − 115L
May 9vs OKC108 − 131L
May 7at OKC107 − 125L
May 5at OKC90 − 108L
May 1at HOU98 − 78W
Apr 29vs HOU93 − 99L

LAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Oct 25at OKC101 − 108L
Oct 23at LAL117 − 125L
Oct 21vs SAC121 − 96W
Apr 12vs GS115 − 110W
Apr 10at POR97 − 116L
Apr 8vs OKC110 − 128L
Apr 7vs DAL116 − 103W
Apr 5at SAC138 − 109W
Apr 2vs SA99 − 118L
Mar 31vs POR104 − 114L