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Clippers at Thunder

NBA · Sunday, Oct 25 · 6:00 PM CT · Paycom Center · Final LAC 101 – OKC 108
← NBA / Oct 25

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC20263025101
OKC23203431108
Team box
LAC·OKC
37-81
field goals
42-94
15-38
3-pointers
8-24
12-15
free throws
16-17
38
rebounds
46
30
assists
23
26
turnovers
17
36
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC363465
Ajay MitchellOKC281864
Darius GarlandLAC3616411
Kris DunnLAC331546
Brook LopezLAC231512
Alex CarusoOKC221276

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
OKC +9
LAC +9
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: OKC 9 · LAC 7lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 13%, OKC 87% · Updated Oct 25

Expected margin
OKC by 14.8
Expected score
OKC 118.8 – 104.0 LAC
Expected total
222.7
ClippersThe matchupThunder
+696Our fair odds−696
104.0Expected points118.8
+0.16Power rating+1.36
119.0Points / game106.0
110.5Allowed / game94.0
50.5FG%41.5
41.53P%35.5
41.5Rebounds / game46.5
1−1Season record2−0
5−5Last 106−4
Bradley Beal · Brandon Ingram
Jordan Miller · Max Strus
Yanic Konan NiederhauserOutNikola Topic · Otega Oweh
Thomas Sorber

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · OKC chance
Our model fair12.6%87.4%
Kalshi11.7%90.6%
Polymarket US10.6%91.6%
ProphetX11.7%91.0%
Novig10.0%90.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 6:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 5:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 5:59 PM CTNovigpre-game · 5:59 PM CT
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+69613%+75611.7%+84110.6%+75511.7%+90010.0%
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−69687%−96790.6%−108691.6%−101391.0%−95390.5%
SpreadOKC by 14.8
LACLA Clippers+14.8our margin+16.5 −11252.7%+16.5 −11653.7%+16.5 −10952.2%+16.5 −10451.0%
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−14.8our margin−16.5 −10751.8%−16.5 −10350.7%−16.5 −10150.3%−16.5 +10050.0%
Totalwe expect 222.7
Over222.7our totalo223.5 −10751.8%o223.5 −10751.7%o223.5 +10349.3%o223.5 +10449.0%
Under222.7our totalu223.5 −11252.7%u223.5 −11252.7%u223.5 −11252.9%u223.5 −10651.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Oklahoma City Thunder by 14.8 expected
LA Clippers by 53 points: <1%LA Clippers by 52 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: <1%LA Clippers by 21 points: <1%LA Clippers by 20 points: <1%LA Clippers by 19 points: <1%LA Clippers by 18 points: <1%LA Clippers by 17 points: <1%LA Clippers by 16 points: <1%LA Clippers by 15 points: <1%LA Clippers by 14 points: <1%LA Clippers by 13 points: <1%LA Clippers by 12 points: <1%LA Clippers by 11 points: 1%LA Clippers by 10 points: 1%LA Clippers by 9 points: 1%LA Clippers by 8 points: 1%LA Clippers by 7 points: 1%LA Clippers by 6 points: 1%LA Clippers by 5 points: 1%LA Clippers by 4 points: 1%LA Clippers by 3 points: 1%LA Clippers by 2 points: 1%LA Clippers by 1 point: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 1 point: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 2 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 3 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 4 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 5 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 6 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 7 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 8 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 9 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 10 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 11 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 12 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 13 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 14 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 15 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 16 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 17 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 18 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 19 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 20 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 21 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 22 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 23 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 24 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 25 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 26 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 27 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 28 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 29 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 30 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 31 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 32 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 33 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 34 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 35 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 36 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 37 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 38 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 39 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 40 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 41 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 42 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 43 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 44 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 45 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 46 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 47 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 48 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 49 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 50 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 51 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 52 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 53 points: <1%
← LAC wins byOKC wins by →
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 5 or more78%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 10 or more65%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 15 or more49%
Within 5 points either way16%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.7 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.570%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
FRui Hachimurastarted
FIsaiah Jacksonstarted
Oklahoma City Thunder
GShai Gilgeous-Alexanderstarted
GJalen Williamsstarted
GCason Wallacestarted
CIsaiah Hartensteinstarted
CChet Holmgrenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·OKC
Oct 23 at LAL
last game
Oct 22 vs DEN
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 25, 1:15 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · management right knee injury managementOut
LACBrandon Ingram · right heel surgeryOut
LACJordan Miller · left rotator cuff surgeryOut
LACMax Strus · right plantar fascia tearOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc surgeryOut
Oklahoma City Thunder
OKCNikola Topic · low back surgeryOut
OKCOtega Oweh · not with teamOut
OKCThomas Sorber · right knee surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 2+ games
LAC·OKC
+0.16
rating (0 = average)
+1.36
119.0
points / game
106.0
110.5
points allowed / game
94.0
1−1
season record
2−0
1−0
home record
1−0
0−1
away record
1−0
L1
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
6−4
50.5
FG%
41.5
41.5
3P%
35.5
41.5
rebounds / game
46.5
26.5
assists / game
23.0
22.0
turnovers / game
13.0
52.0
points in paint / game
44.0

Rating Trend

LAC · OKC · 5 days
LA ClippersOklahoma City Thunder
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · OKC 9−1
Apr 8at LACOKC 128 − 110
Dec 18, 2025at OKCOKC 122 − 101
Nov 4, 2025at LACOKC 126 − 107
Mar 23, 2025at LACOKC 103 − 101
Jan 2, 2025at OKCOKC 116 − 98
Nov 11, 2024at OKCOKC 134 − 128
Nov 2, 2024at LACOKC 105 − 92
Feb 22, 2024at OKCOKC 129 − 107
Jan 16, 2024at LACLAC 128 − 117
Dec 21, 2023at OKCOKC 134 − 115

LAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 23at LAL117 − 125L
Oct 21vs SAC121 − 96W
Apr 12vs GS115 − 110W
Apr 10at POR97 − 116L
Apr 8vs OKC110 − 128L
Apr 7vs DAL116 − 103W
Apr 5at SAC138 − 109W
Apr 2vs SA99 − 118L
Mar 31vs POR104 − 114L
Mar 29at MIL127 − 113W

OKC · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 22vs DEN96 − 84W
Oct 20at SA116 − 104W
May 30vs SA103 − 111L
May 28at SA91 − 118L
May 26vs SA127 − 114W
May 24at SA82 − 103L
May 22at SA123 − 108W
May 20vs SA122 − 113W
May 18vs SA115 − 122L
May 11at LAL115 − 110W