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Warriors at Clippers

NBA · Sunday, Apr 12 · 7:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final GS 110 – LAC 115
← NBA / Apr 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
GS26223329110
LAC25273132115
Team box
GS·LAC
36-86
field goals
42-89
11-39
3-pointers
14-39
27-32
free throws
17-19
47
rebounds
44
24
assists
27
10
turnovers
10
46
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Stephen CurryGS292463
Bennedict MathurinLAC322098
John CollinsLAC211890
Bogdan BogdanovicLAC211730
Charles BasseyGS191632
Darius GarlandLAC271516

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +12
GS +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 12 · GS 7lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was GS 39%, LAC 61% · Updated Apr 12

Expected margin
LAC by 4.2
Expected score
LAC 113.6 – 109.5 GS
Expected total
223.1
WarriorsThe matchupClippers
+155Our fair odds−155
109.5Expected points113.6
+0.02Power rating+0.24
114.7Points / game113.8
115.2Allowed / game112.7
46.2FG%48.5
35.43P%36.4
42.3Rebounds / game40.6
37−44Season record41−40
4−6Last 106−4
Jimmy Butler III · LJ Cryer
Moses Moody · Quinten PostOut (4 each)Bradley Beal · Isaiah Jackson
Kawhi Leonard · Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
GS chance · LAC chance
Our model fair39.2%60.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
GSGolden State Warriors+15539%————
LACLA Clippers−15561%————
SpreadLAC by 4.2
GSGolden State Warriors+4.2our margin————
LACLA Clippers−4.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.1
Over223.1our total————
Under223.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 4.2 expected
Golden State Warriors by 46 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 45 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 44 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 43 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%
← GS wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more52%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more36%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.1 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.568%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.529%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Golden State Warriors
GStephen Currystarted
GDe'Anthony Meltonstarted
GBrandin Podziemskistarted
CAl Horfordstarted
CKristaps Porzingisstarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
GS·LAC
Apr 10 at SAC
last game
Apr 10 at POR
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 12, 5:00 PM ET
Golden State Warriors
GSJimmy Butler III · right acl; surgeryOut
GSLJ Cryer · right ankle; sprainOut
GSMoses Moody · left patellar tendon; surgeryOut
GSQuinten Post · right foot; injury managementOut
GSDraymond Green · left low back; injury managementQuestionable
GSWill Richard · bilateral low back; strainQuestionable
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACIsaiah Jackson · right ankle; sprainOut
LACKawhi Leonard · left ankle; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc ligament; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 81+ games
GS·LAC
+0.02
rating (0 = average)
+0.24
114.7
points / game
113.8
115.2
points allowed / game
112.7
37−44
season record
41−40
22−19
home record
22−18
15−25
away record
19−22
L2
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
6−4
46.2
FG%
48.5
35.4
3P%
36.4
42.3
rebounds / game
40.6
29.0
assists / game
23.7
15.7
turnovers / game
14.2
44.9
points in paint / game
49.3

Rating Trend

GS · LAC · 158 days
Golden State WarriorsLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 9−1
Mar 2at GSLAC 114 − 101
Jan 5at LACLAC 103 − 102
Oct 28, 2025at GSGS 98 − 79
Apr 13, 2025at GSLAC 124 − 119
Dec 27, 2024at LACLAC 102 − 92
Nov 18, 2024at LACLAC 102 − 99
Oct 27, 2024at GSLAC 112 − 104
Feb 14, 2024at GSLAC 130 − 125
Dec 14, 2023at LACLAC 121 − 113
Dec 2, 2023at LACLAC 113 − 112

GS · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Apr 10at SAC118 − 124L
Apr 9vs LAL103 − 119L
Apr 7vs SAC110 − 105W
Apr 5vs HOU116 − 117L
Apr 2vs CLE111 − 118L
Apr 1vs SA113 − 127L
Mar 29at DEN93 − 116L
Mar 27vs WSH131 − 126W
Mar 25vs BKN109 − 106W
Mar 23at DAL137 − 131W

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Apr 10at POR97 − 116L
Apr 8vs OKC110 − 128L
Apr 7vs DAL116 − 103W
Apr 5at SAC138 − 109W
Apr 2vs SA99 − 118L
Mar 31vs POR104 − 114L
Mar 29at MIL127 − 113W
Mar 27at IND114 − 113W
Mar 25vs TOR119 − 94W
Mar 23vs MIL129 − 96W