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Trail Blazers at Clippers

NBA · Tuesday, Mar 31 · 10:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final POR 114 – LAC 104

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR34282923114
LAC31152830104
Team box
POR·LAC
41-91
field goals
38-76
15-45
3-pointers
10-30
17-18
free throws
18-23
48
rebounds
30
22
assists
19
17
turnovers
14
48
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jrue HolidayPOR323062
Deni AvdijaPOR3428118
Kawhi LeonardLAC362383
Darius GarlandLAC372024
Brook LopezLAC361872
John CollinsLAC311761

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +19
POR +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 4 · POR 19lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 36%, LAC 64% · Updated Mar 31

Expected margin
LAC by 5.3
Expected score
LAC 114.9 – 109.5 POR
Expected total
224.4
Trail BlazersThe matchupClippers
+177Our fair odds−177
109.5Expected points114.9
−0.08Power rating+0.27
115.3Points / game114.0
116.1Allowed / game112.5
45.4FG%48.7
34.03P%36.4
46.1Rebounds / game40.7
38−38Season record39−36
7−3Last 106−4
Chris Youngblood · Damian Lillard
Jerami Grant · Shaedon Sharpe
Vit Krejci
OutBradley Beal · Isaiah Jackson
Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · LAC chance
Our model fair36.1%63.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+17736%————
LACLA Clippers−17764%————
SpreadLAC by 5.3
PORPortland Trail Blazers+5.3our margin————
LACLA Clippers−5.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.4
Over224.4our total————
Under224.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 5.3 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%
← POR wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more55%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more39%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more26%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.4 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.549%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
LA Clippers
FJohn Collinsstarted
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·LAC
Mar 29 vs WSH
last game
Mar 29 at MIL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Mar 31, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORChris Youngblood · g league - two-wayOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJerami Grant · right calf; strainOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left fibula; stress reactionOut
PORVit Krejci · left calf; contusionOut
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACIsaiah Jackson · right ankle; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc ligament; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 75+ games
POR·LAC
−0.08
rating (0 = average)
+0.27
115.3
points / game
114.0
116.1
points allowed / game
112.5
38−38
season record
39−36
21−17
home record
21−15
17−21
away record
18−21
W1
streak
W5
7−3
last 10
6−4
45.4
FG%
48.7
34.0
3P%
36.4
46.1
rebounds / game
40.7
25.1
assists / game
23.8
17.4
turnovers / game
14.2
48.5
points in paint / game
49.3

Rating Trend

POR · LAC · 147 days
Portland Trail BlazersLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 9−1
Dec 26, 2025at PORLAC 119 − 103
Oct 26, 2025at LACLAC 114 − 107
Jan 16, 2025at PORLAC 118 − 89
Dec 3, 2024at LACLAC 127 − 105
Oct 30, 2024at LACPOR 106 − 105
Mar 22, 2024at PORLAC 125 − 117
Mar 20, 2024at PORLAC 116 − 103
Dec 11, 2023at LACLAC 132 − 127
Oct 25, 2023at LACLAC 123 − 111
Apr 8, 2023at LACLAC 136 − 125

POR · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Mar 29vs WSH123 − 88W
Mar 27vs DAL93 − 100L
Mar 25vs MIL130 − 99W
Mar 23vs BKN134 − 99W
Mar 22at DEN112 − 128L
Mar 20at MIN108 − 104W
Mar 18at IND127 − 119W
Mar 16at BKN114 − 95W
Mar 15at PHI103 − 109L
Mar 13vs UTAH124 − 114W

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak W5
Mar 29at MIL127 − 113W
Mar 27at IND114 − 113W
Mar 25vs TOR119 − 94W
Mar 23vs MIL129 − 96W
Mar 21at DAL138 − 131W
Mar 19at NO99 − 105L
Mar 18at NO109 − 124L
Mar 16vs SA115 − 119L
Mar 14vs SAC109 − 118L
Mar 13vs CHI119 − 108W