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Thunder at Clippers

NBA · Wednesday, Apr 8 · 9:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final OKC 128 – LAC 110
← NBA / Apr 8

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
OKC34352534128
LAC23263130110
Team box
OKC·LAC
48-83
field goals
40-86
13-34
3-pointers
14-32
19-24
free throws
16-24
44
rebounds
36
30
assists
27
13
turnovers
13
52
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Chet HolmgrenOKC3130145
Isaiah JoeOKC232122
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC3020111
Kawhi LeonardLAC302083
Jalen WilliamsOKC321866
Kobe SandersLAC241721

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +25
OKC +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 2 · OKC 25lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was OKC 70%, LAC 30% · Updated Apr 8

Expected margin
OKC by 7.1
Expected score
OKC 114.6 – 107.5 LAC
Expected total
222.1
ThunderThe matchupClippers
−235Our fair odds+235
114.6Expected points107.5
+1.33Power rating+0.24
119.3Points / game114.0
107.3Allowed / game112.4
48.5FG%48.6
36.43P%36.3
44.2Rebounds / game40.7
63−16Season record41−38
9−1Last 107−3
Thomas SorberOutBradley Beal · Darius Garland
Isaiah Jackson · Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
OKC chance · LAC chance
Our model fair70.1%29.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−23570%————
LACLA Clippers+23530%————
SpreadOKC by 7.1
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−7.1our margin————
LACLA Clippers+7.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.1
Over222.1our total————
Under222.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Oklahoma City Thunder by 7.1 expected
Oklahoma City Thunder by 48 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 47 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 46 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 45 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 44 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 43 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 42 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 41 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 40 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 39 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 38 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 37 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 36 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 35 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 34 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 33 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 32 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 31 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 30 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 29 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 28 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 27 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 26 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 25 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 24 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 23 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 22 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 21 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 20 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 19 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 18 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 17 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 16 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 15 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 14 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 13 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 12 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 11 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 10 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 9 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 8 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 7 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 6 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 5 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 4 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 3 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 2 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 1%LA Clippers by 11 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%
← OKC wins byLAC wins by →
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 5 or more60%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 10 or more44%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.1 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.568%
Total over 222.549%
Total over 232.529%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Oklahoma City Thunder
GShai Gilgeous-Alexanderstarted
GLuguentz Dortstarted
GJalen Williamsstarted
CIsaiah Hartensteinstarted
CChet Holmgrenstarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
OKC·LAC
Apr 7 at LAL
last game
Apr 7 vs DAL
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 8, 5:00 PM ET
Oklahoma City Thunder
OKCThomas Sorber · right acl; surgical recoveryOut
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDarius Garland · left toe; injury managementOut
LACIsaiah Jackson · right ankle; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc ligament; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 79+ games
OKC·LAC
+1.33
rating (0 = average)
+0.24
119.3
points / game
114.0
107.3
points allowed / game
112.4
63−16
season record
41−38
34−7
home record
22−17
29−9
away record
19−21
W6
streak
W2
9−1
last 10
7−3
48.5
FG%
48.6
36.4
3P%
36.3
44.2
rebounds / game
40.7
25.6
assists / game
23.7
12.6
turnovers / game
14.2
49.3
points in paint / game
49.4

Rating Trend

OKC · LAC · 155 days
Oklahoma City ThunderLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 2−8
Dec 18, 2025at OKCOKC 122 − 101
Nov 4, 2025at LACOKC 126 − 107
Mar 23, 2025at LACOKC 103 − 101
Jan 2, 2025at OKCOKC 116 − 98
Nov 11, 2024at OKCOKC 134 − 128
Nov 2, 2024at LACOKC 105 − 92
Feb 22, 2024at OKCOKC 129 − 107
Jan 16, 2024at LACLAC 128 − 117
Dec 21, 2023at OKCOKC 134 − 115
Mar 23, 2023at LACLAC 127 − 105

OKC · Last 10

9−1 · streak W6
Apr 7at LAL123 − 87W
Apr 5vs UTAH146 − 111W
Apr 2vs LAL139 − 96W
Mar 30vs DET114 − 110W
Mar 29vs NY111 − 100W
Mar 27vs CHI131 − 113W
Mar 25at BOS109 − 119L
Mar 23at PHI123 − 103W
Mar 21at WSH132 − 111W
Mar 18at BKN121 − 92W

LAC · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Apr 7vs DAL116 − 103W
Apr 5at SAC138 − 109W
Apr 2vs SA99 − 118L
Mar 31vs POR104 − 114L
Mar 29at MIL127 − 113W
Mar 27at IND114 − 113W
Mar 25vs TOR119 − 94W
Mar 23vs MIL129 − 96W
Mar 21at DAL138 − 131W
Mar 19at NO99 − 105L