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Clippers at Kings

NBA · Sunday, Apr 5 · 8:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final LAC 138 – SAC 109
← NBA / Apr 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC42293631138
SAC32272030109
Team box
LAC·SAC
49-92
field goals
45-85
20-41
3-pointers
9-32
20-21
free throws
10-20
37
rebounds
42
30
assists
25
15
turnovers
20
46
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC302663
John CollinsLAC242542
Devin CarterSAC362155
Nique CliffordSAC381855
Darius GarlandLAC241746
Kobe SandersLAC201701

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +37
LAC +37
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 3 · LAC 37lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 71%, SAC 29% · Updated Apr 5

Expected margin
LAC by 7.9
Expected score
LAC 117.9 – 110.0 SAC
Expected total
227.8
ClippersThe matchupKings
−243Our fair odds+243
117.9Expected points110.0
+0.27Power rating−0.85
113.7Points / game110.9
112.6Allowed / game120.9
48.6FG%46.7
36.23P%34.0
40.5Rebounds / game42.1
39−38Season record21−57
5−5Last 104−6
Bradley Beal · Isaiah Jackson
Yanic Konan NiederhauserOutDe'Andre Hunter · Domantas Sabonis
Drew Eubanks · Isaiah Stevens
Keegan Murray

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · SAC chance
Our model fair70.9%29.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−24371%————
SACSacramento Kings+24329%————
SpreadLAC by 7.9
LACLA Clippers−7.9our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+7.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.8
Over227.8our total————
Under227.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 7.9 expected
LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%
← LAC wins bySAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more62%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more46%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.8 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.570%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDevin Carterstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·SAC
Apr 2 vs SA
last game
Apr 3 vs NO
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 5, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACIsaiah Jackson · right ankle; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc ligament; tearOut
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; retinal repairOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; meniscus repairOut
SACDrew Eubanks · left thumb; ucl repairOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACPatrick Baldwin Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
SACRussell Westbrook · right toe; injury managementOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon repairOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 77+ games
LAC·SAC
+0.27
rating (0 = average)
−0.85
113.7
points / game
110.9
112.6
points allowed / game
120.9
39−38
season record
21−57
21−17
home record
14−25
18−21
away record
7−32
L2
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
4−6
48.6
FG%
46.7
36.2
3P%
34.0
40.5
rebounds / game
42.1
23.7
assists / game
25.6
14.2
turnovers / game
14.2
49.4
points in paint / game
50.3

Rating Trend

LAC · SAC · 152 days
LA ClippersSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SAC 3−7
Mar 14at LACSAC 118 − 109
Feb 6at SACLAC 114 − 111
Dec 30, 2025at LACLAC 131 − 90
Apr 11, 2025at SACLAC 101 − 100
Mar 9, 2025at LACLAC 111 − 110
Nov 22, 2024at LACLAC 104 − 88
Nov 8, 2024at SACLAC 107 − 98
Apr 2, 2024at SACSAC 109 − 95
Feb 25, 2024at LACSAC 123 − 107
Dec 12, 2023at LACLAC 119 − 99

LAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Apr 2vs SA99 − 118L
Mar 31vs POR104 − 114L
Mar 29at MIL127 − 113W
Mar 27at IND114 − 113W
Mar 25vs TOR119 − 94W
Mar 23vs MIL129 − 96W
Mar 21at DAL138 − 131W
Mar 19at NO99 − 105L
Mar 18at NO109 − 124L
Mar 16vs SA115 − 119L

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Apr 3vs NO117 − 113W
Apr 1at TOR123 − 115W
Mar 29at BKN99 − 116L
Mar 28at ATL113 − 123L
Mar 26at ORL117 − 121L
Mar 24at CHA90 − 134L
Mar 22vs BKN126 − 122W
Mar 19vs PHI118 − 139L
Mar 17vs SA104 − 132L
Mar 15vs UTAH116 − 111W