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Mavericks at Clippers

NBA · Tuesday, Apr 7 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final DAL 103 – LAC 116
← NBA / Apr 7

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL26292919103
LAC39262427116
Team box
DAL·LAC
35-100
field goals
41-92
6-33
3-pointers
14-37
27-28
free throws
20-28
54
rebounds
56
18
assists
23
9
turnovers
15
44
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC303443
Cooper FlaggDAL342592
Darius GarlandLAC282214
Marvin Bagley IIIDAL262191
Ryan NembhardDAL251267
John CollinsLAC281271

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +23
DAL +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 23 · DAL 3lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 27%, LAC 73% · Updated Apr 7

Expected margin
LAC by 9.1
Expected score
LAC 118.3 – 109.2 DAL
Expected total
227.6
MavericksThe matchupClippers
+269Our fair odds−269
109.2Expected points118.3
−0.54Power rating+0.24
113.8Points / game114.0
119.4Allowed / game112.6
46.8FG%48.7
33.93P%36.3
44.6Rebounds / game40.5
25−53Season record40−38
2−8Last 106−4
Dereck Lively II · Kyrie IrvingOutBradley Beal · Isaiah Jackson
Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · LAC chance
Our model fair27.1%72.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks+26927%————
LACLA Clippers−26973%————
SpreadLAC by 9.1
DALDallas Mavericks+9.1our margin————
LACLA Clippers−9.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.6
Over227.6our total————
Under227.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 9.1 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 51 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 50 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 49 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 48 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 47 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 46 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 45 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 2%LA Clippers by 23 points: 2%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 36 points: 1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%
← DAL wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more64%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more49%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more34%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.6 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GMax Christiestarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FDwight Powellstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·LAC
Apr 5 vs LAL
last game
Apr 5 at SAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 7, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; surgeryOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALBrandon Williams · illness; illnessDoubtful
DALCaleb Martin · right plantar fascia; strainDoubtful
DALDaniel Gafford · right shoulder; impingementDoubtful
DALP.J. Washington · left elbow; sorenessDoubtful
DALMoussa Cisse · g league - two-wayQuestionable
DALJohn Poulakidas · g league - two-wayProbable
DALMarvin Bagley III · left shoulder; impingementProbable
DALTyler Smith · g league - two-wayProbable
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACIsaiah Jackson · right ankle; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc ligament; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 78+ games
DAL·LAC
−0.54
rating (0 = average)
+0.24
113.8
points / game
114.0
119.4
points allowed / game
112.6
25−53
season record
40−38
15−25
home record
21−17
10−28
away record
19−21
W1
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
6−4
46.8
FG%
48.7
33.9
3P%
36.3
44.6
rebounds / game
40.5
25.2
assists / game
23.8
14.7
turnovers / game
14.2
53.2
points in paint / game
49.4

Rating Trend

DAL · LAC · 154 days
Dallas MavericksLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 6−4
Mar 21at DALLAC 138 − 131
Nov 29, 2025at LACDAL 114 − 110
Nov 14, 2025at DALLAC 133 − 127
Apr 5, 2025at LACLAC 135 − 104
Apr 4, 2025at LACLAC 114 − 91
Dec 21, 2024at DALDAL 113 − 97
Dec 19, 2024at DALLAC 118 − 95
May 3, 2024at DALDAL 114 − 101post
May 1, 2024at LACDAL 123 − 93post
Apr 28, 2024at DALLAC 116 − 111post

DAL · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Apr 5vs LAL134 − 128W
Apr 3vs ORL127 − 138L
Mar 31at MIL99 − 123L
Mar 30vs MIN94 − 124L
Mar 27at POR100 − 93W
Mar 25at DEN135 − 142L
Mar 23vs GS131 − 137L
Mar 21vs LAC131 − 138L
Mar 18vs ATL120 − 135L
Mar 16at NO111 − 129L

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Apr 5at SAC138 − 109W
Apr 2vs SA99 − 118L
Mar 31vs POR104 − 114L
Mar 29at MIL127 − 113W
Mar 27at IND114 − 113W
Mar 25vs TOR119 − 94W
Mar 23vs MIL129 − 96W
Mar 21at DAL138 − 131W
Mar 19at NO99 − 105L
Mar 18at NO109 − 124L