bayesRatings

Clippers at Trail Blazers

NBA · Friday, Apr 10 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final LAC 97 – POR 116

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC2427331397
POR33282530116
Team box
LAC·POR
36-83
field goals
37-83
13-40
3-pointers
12-39
12-12
free throws
30-35
35
rebounds
46
17
assists
23
17
turnovers
15
42
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deni AvdijaPOR353545
Kawhi LeonardLAC372485
Brook LopezLAC362161
Donovan ClinganPOR2818132
Darius GarlandLAC411657
Jordan MillerLAC321550

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +20
LAC +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 20 · LAC 4lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 52%, POR 48% · Updated Apr 10

Expected margin
LAC by 1.2
Expected score
LAC 113.0 – 111.8 POR
Expected total
224.8
ClippersThe matchupTrail Blazers
−107Our fair odds+107
113.0Expected points111.8
+0.24Power rating−0.05
114.0Points / game115.4
112.6Allowed / game116.1
48.6FG%45.4
36.43P%34.2
40.6Rebounds / game46.0
41−39Season record40−40
7−3Last 106−4
Bradley Beal · Isaiah Jackson
Yanic Konan Niederhauser
OutDamian Lillard · Jerami Grant

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · POR chance
Our model fair51.8%48.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−10752%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+10748%————
SpreadLAC by 1.2
LACLA Clippers−1.2our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+1.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.8
Over224.8our total————
Under224.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 1.2 expected
LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%
← LAC wins byPOR wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more43%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more29%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.8 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.570%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
CBrook Lopezstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
FDeni Avdijastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·POR
Apr 8 vs OKC
last game
Apr 8 at SA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 10, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACIsaiah Jackson · right ankle; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · right lisfranc ligament; tearOut
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon;Out
PORJerami Grant · right calf; strainOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · injury management left fibula; stress reactionQuestionable
PORVit Krejci · left calf; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 80+ games
LAC·POR
+0.24
rating (0 = average)
−0.05
114.0
points / game
115.4
112.6
points allowed / game
116.1
41−39
season record
40−40
22−18
home record
22−17
19−21
away record
18−23
L1
streak
L2
7−3
last 10
6−4
48.6
FG%
45.4
36.4
3P%
34.2
40.6
rebounds / game
46.0
23.8
assists / game
25.1
14.2
turnovers / game
17.4
49.4
points in paint / game
48.3

Rating Trend

LAC · POR · 157 days
LA ClippersPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 2−8
Mar 31at LACPOR 114 − 104
Dec 26, 2025at PORLAC 119 − 103
Oct 26, 2025at LACLAC 114 − 107
Jan 16, 2025at PORLAC 118 − 89
Dec 3, 2024at LACLAC 127 − 105
Oct 30, 2024at LACPOR 106 − 105
Mar 22, 2024at PORLAC 125 − 117
Mar 20, 2024at PORLAC 116 − 103
Dec 11, 2023at LACLAC 132 − 127
Oct 25, 2023at LACLAC 123 − 111

LAC · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Apr 8vs OKC110 − 128L
Apr 7vs DAL116 − 103W
Apr 5at SAC138 − 109W
Apr 2vs SA99 − 118L
Mar 31vs POR104 − 114L
Mar 29at MIL127 − 113W
Mar 27at IND114 − 113W
Mar 25vs TOR119 − 94W
Mar 23vs MIL129 − 96W
Mar 21at DAL138 − 131W

POR · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Apr 8at SA101 − 112L
Apr 6at DEN132 − 137L
Apr 2vs NO118 − 106W
Mar 31at LAC114 − 104W
Mar 29vs WSH123 − 88W
Mar 27vs DAL93 − 100L
Mar 25vs MIL130 − 99W
Mar 23vs BKN134 − 99W
Mar 22at DEN112 − 128L
Mar 20at MIN108 − 104W