bayesRatings

Predators at Kings

NHL · Thursday, Apr 2 · 9:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final NSH 5 – LA 4
← NHL / Apr 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123OTSOT
NSH220015
LA031004
Team box
NSH·LA
34
shots
33
0 of 3
power play
0 of 3
43.8
faceoff %
56.2
19
hits
32
16
blocked shots
15
6
penalty minutes
6
Top performers
PlayerTeamGASOG
Adrian KempeLA204
Joel ArmiaLA114
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH114
Steven StamkosNSH103
Scott LaughtonLA102
Zachary L'HeureuxNSH102
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Juuse SarosNSH3329.879
Darcy KuemperLA3430.882

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LA +3
NSH +3
P1P2P3OT
largest lead: LA 0 · NSH 3lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 45%, LA 55% · Updated Apr 2

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
LA 3.1 – 2.6 NSH
Expected total
5.7
PredatorsThe matchupKings
+124Our fair odds−124
2.6Expected goals3.1
−0.16Power rating−0.08
3.0Goals / game2.7
3.3Allowed / game3.0
27.8Shots / game27.8
50.5Faceoff %49.4
19.4Hits / game20.1
34−40Season record30−44
5−5Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · LA chance
Our model fair44.7%55.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+12445%————
LALos Angeles Kings−12455%————
Spreadabout even
NSHNashville Predators+0.4our margin————
LALos Angeles Kings−0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 5.7
Over5.7our total————
Under5.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 4%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 8%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 8%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 23%Los Angeles Kings by 1 goal: 21%Los Angeles Kings by 2 goals: 11%Los Angeles Kings by 3 goals: 13%Los Angeles Kings by 4 goals: 7%Los Angeles Kings by 5 goals: 2%Los Angeles Kings by 6 goals: <1%
← NSH wins byLA wins by →
Los Angeles Kings wins by 2 or more34%
Los Angeles Kings wins by 3 or more23%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more22%
Decided by one goal44%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

5.7 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.570%
Total over 5.548%
Total over 6.537%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .904 save %, 2.89 GAAstarted
LADarcy Kuemper G · last 5 starts: .875 save %, 2.89 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·LA
Mar 29 at TB
last game
Apr 1 vs STL
3 days
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 74+ games
NSH·LA
−0.16
rating (0 = average)
−0.08
3.0
goals / game
2.7
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.0
34−40
season record
30−44
20−18
home record
11−25
14−22
away record
19−19
L3
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
4−6
27.8
shots / game
27.8
50.5
faceoff %
49.4
19.4
hits / game
20.1
11.9
blocked shots / game
14.5
5.2
takeaways / game
4.6
15.1
giveaways / game
15.8

Rating Trend

NSH · LA · 148 days
Nashville PredatorsLos Angeles Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LA 4−6
Oct 25, 2025at NSHNSH 5 − 4 SO
Mar 15, 2025at LALA 1 − 0 OT
Dec 21, 2024at NSHNSH 3 − 2 OT
Nov 4, 2024at NSHLA 3 − 0
Feb 22, 2024at LANSH 4 − 1
Jan 31, 2024at NSHLA 4 − 2
Jan 18, 2024at LANSH 2 − 1
Mar 11, 2023at LANSH 2 − 1 SO
Jan 21, 2023at NSHNSH 5 − 3
Oct 18, 2022at NSHLA 4 − 3 SO

NSH · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Mar 29at TB2 − 3L
Mar 28vs MTL1 − 4L
Mar 26vs NJ2 − 4L
Mar 24vs SJ6 − 3W
Mar 22at CHI3 − 2W
Mar 21vs VGK4 − 1W
Mar 19vs SEA3 − 1W
Mar 17at WPG4 − 3W
Mar 15at EDM1 − 3L
Mar 12at VAN3 − 4L

LA · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Apr 1vs STL2 − 1W
Mar 28vs UTAH2 − 6L
Mar 26at VAN4 − 0W
Mar 24at CGY2 − 3L
Mar 22at UTAH3 − 4L
Mar 21vs BUF1 − 4L
Mar 19vs PHI3 − 4L
Mar 16at NYR4 − 1W
Mar 14at NJ4 − 6L
Mar 13at NYI3 − 2W