bayesRatings

Predators at Ducks

NHL · Tuesday, Apr 7 · 9:00 PM CT · Honda Center · Final NSH 5 – ANA 0

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123T
NSH0325
ANA0000
Team box
NSH·ANA
25
shots
43
1 of 4
power play
0 of 6
46.3
faceoff %
53.7
11
hits
19
16
blocked shots
9
12
penalty minutes
8
Top performers
PlayerTeamGASOG
Erik HaulaNSH112
Ryan O'ReillyNSH022
Joakim KemellNSH020
Filip ForsbergNSH102
Fedor SvechkovNSH102
Brady SkjeiNSH101
Goalies
GoalieTeamSASVSV%
Justus AnnunenNSH43431.000
Lukas DostalANA2520.800

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ANA +5
NSH +5
P1P2P3
largest lead: ANA 0 · NSH 5lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NSH 46%, ANA 54% · Updated Apr 7

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
ANA 3.4 – 3.3 NSH
Expected total
6.7
PredatorsThe matchupDucks
+115Our fair odds−115
3.3Expected goals3.4
−0.13Power rating−0.14
3.0Goals / game3.3
3.3Allowed / game3.5
28.0Shots / game30.5
50.4Faceoff %47.5
19.5Hits / game21.1
36−41Season record41−36
6−4Last 104−6

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · ANA chance
Our model fair46.5%53.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+11546%————
ANAAnaheim Ducks−11554%————
Spreadabout even
NSHNashville Predators+0.1our margin————
ANAAnaheim Ducks−0.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.7
Over6.7our total————
Under6.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 6%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 11%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 9%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 18%Anaheim Ducks by 1 goal: 23%Anaheim Ducks by 2 goals: 10%Anaheim Ducks by 3 goals: 12%Anaheim Ducks by 4 goals: 6%Anaheim Ducks by 5 goals: 2%Anaheim Ducks by 6 goals: <1%
← NSH wins byANA wins by →
Anaheim Ducks wins by 2 or more30%
Anaheim Ducks wins by 3 or more21%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more29%
Decided by one goal41%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.7 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 8%4 goals: 7%5 goals: 19%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 20%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 12%10 goals: 4%11 goals: 5%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.564%
Total over 6.553%
Total over 7.533%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Starting Goalies

from the box score
NSHJustus Annunen G · last 5 starts: .934 save %, 2.03 GAAstarted
ANALukas Dostal G · last 5 starts: .881 save %, 3.43 GAAstarted

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·ANA
Apr 6 at LA
last game
Apr 4 vs CGY
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
5th straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 77+ games
NSH·ANA
−0.13
rating (0 = average)
−0.14
3.0
goals / game
3.3
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.5
36−41
season record
41−36
20−18
home record
23−15
16−23
away record
18−21
L1
streak
L5
6−4
last 10
4−6
28.0
shots / game
30.5
50.4
faceoff %
47.5
19.5
hits / game
21.1
12.2
blocked shots / game
14.6
5.2
takeaways / game
5.0
15.0
giveaways / game
15.5

Rating Trend

NSH · ANA · 153 days
Nashville PredatorsAnaheim Ducks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ANA 6−4
Oct 21, 2025at NSHANA 5 − 2
Mar 20, 2025at NSHANA 4 − 1
Mar 14, 2025at ANAANA 2 − 1
Jan 25, 2025at ANAANA 5 − 2
Feb 25, 2024at ANANSH 4 − 2
Jan 9, 2024at NSHANA 5 − 3
Nov 14, 2023at NSHANA 3 − 2
Mar 12, 2023at ANANSH 5 − 4 OT
Dec 30, 2022at ANANSH 6 − 1
Nov 29, 2022at NSHNSH 2 − 1 OT

NSH · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Apr 6at LA2 − 3L
Apr 4at SJ6 − 3W
Apr 2at LA5 − 4W
Mar 29at TB2 − 3L
Mar 28vs MTL1 − 4L
Mar 26vs NJ2 − 4L
Mar 24vs SJ6 − 3W
Mar 22at CHI3 − 2W
Mar 21vs VGK4 − 1W
Mar 19vs SEA3 − 1W

ANA · Last 10

4−6 · streak L5
Apr 4vs CGY3 − 5L
Apr 3vs STL2 − 6L
Apr 1at SJ3 − 4L
Mar 30vs TOR4 − 5L
Mar 28at EDM2 − 4L
Mar 26at CGY3 − 2W
Mar 24at VAN5 − 3W
Mar 22vs BUF6 − 5W
Mar 20at UTAH4 − 1W
Mar 18vs PHI2 − 3L