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Trail Blazers at Lakers

NBA · Friday, Nov 6 · 9:00 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NBA / Nov 6

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
LAL by 3.8
Expected score
LAL 116.5 – 112.7 POR
Expected total
229.2
Trail BlazersThe matchupLakers
+169Our fair odds−169
112.7Expected points116.5
+0.14Power rating+0.49
122.8Points / game123.2
114.0Allowed / game113.6
49.0FG%52.8
35.83P%39.0
46.0Rebounds / game38.0
3−1Season record4−1
5−5Last 105−5
Chris Youngblood G · Ja Morant G
Shaedon Sharpe GOutAdou Thiero F · Ziaire Williams F

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · LAL chance
Our model fair37.2%62.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+16937%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−16963%————
SpreadLAL by 3.8
PORPortland Trail Blazers+3.8our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−3.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.2
Over229.2our total————
Under229.2our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 3.8 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%
← POR wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more51%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more35%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.2 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.568%
Total over 229.549%
Total over 239.529%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Probable Starting Lineups

as listed before tip
Portland Trail Blazers
GDamian Lillardlast game
FToumani Camaralast game
FDeni Avdijalast game
CDonovan Clinganlast game
Los Angeles Lakers
GMatisse Thybullelast game
GAustin Reaveslast game
GQuentin Grimeslast game
FJake LaRavialast game
CWalker Kesslerlast game

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·LAL
Oct 29 vs MEM
last game
Oct 30 at GS
7 days
days of rest
6 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Portland Trail Blazers
PORChris Youngblood G · left ankle sorenessOut
PORJa Morant G · left hamstring, back about Dec 1Out
PORShaedon Sharpe G · right knee surgery, back about Mar 2, 2027Out
PORRobert Williams III C · left kneeDay-to-day
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero F · left knee inflammationOut
LALZiaire Williams F · left footOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
POR·LAL
+0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.49
122.8
points / game
123.2
114.0
points allowed / game
113.6
3−1
season record
4−1
1−1
home record
2−1
2−0
away record
2−0
L1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
5−5
49.0
FG%
52.8
35.8
3P%
39.0
46.0
rebounds / game
38.0
28.8
assists / game
24.0
14.2
turnovers / game
17.0
53.0
points in paint / game
50.0

Rating Trend

POR · LAL · 10 days
Portland Trail BlazersLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 6−4
Oct 27at LALPOR 136 − 129
Jan 17at PORPOR 132 − 116
Nov 3, 2025at PORLAL 123 − 115
Oct 27, 2025at LALPOR 122 − 108
Apr 13, 2025at PORPOR 109 − 81
Feb 20, 2025at PORLAL 110 − 102
Jan 2, 2025at LALLAL 114 − 106
Dec 8, 2024at LALLAL 107 − 98
Jan 21, 2024at LALLAL 134 − 110
Nov 17, 2023at PORLAL 107 − 95

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 29vs MEM103 − 124L
Oct 27at LAL136 − 129W
Oct 23at SAC128 − 120W
Oct 21vs PHX124 − 83W
Apr 28at SA95 − 114L
Apr 26vs SA93 − 114L
Apr 24vs SA108 − 120L
Apr 21at SA106 − 103W
Apr 19at SA98 − 111L
Apr 12vs SAC122 − 110W

LAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28at LAC103 − 87W
Oct 27vs POR129 − 136L
Oct 25at UTAH132 − 123W
Oct 23vs LAC125 − 117W
Oct 21vs GS127 − 105W
May 11vs OKC110 − 115L
May 9vs OKC108 − 131L
May 7at OKC107 − 125L
May 5at OKC90 − 108L
May 1at HOU98 − 78W