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Kings at Trail Blazers

NBA · Sunday, Apr 12 · 7:30 PM CT · Moda Center · Final SAC 110 – POR 122
← NBA / Apr 12

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC33242726110
POR33441926122
Team box
SAC·POR
40-83
field goals
47-101
7-21
3-pointers
16-46
23-31
free throws
12-15
47
rebounds
46
24
assists
28
17
turnovers
12
60
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Precious AchiuwaSAC3527114
Deni AvdijaPOR3325610
Nique CliffordSAC392475
Jrue HolidayPOR332373
Maxime RaynaudSAC372192
Toumani CamaraPOR341542

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +20
SAC +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 20 · SAC 1lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 27%, POR 73% · Updated Apr 12

Expected margin
POR by 8.9
Expected score
POR 119.8 – 110.8 SAC
Expected total
230.6
KingsThe matchupTrail Blazers
+269Our fair odds−269
110.8Expected points119.8
−0.83Power rating−0.05
111.0Points / game115.4
121.0Allowed / game115.8
46.7FG%45.4
34.03P%34.1
42.2Rebounds / game46.0
22−59Season record41−40
4−6Last 106−4
De'Andre Hunter · DeMar DeRozan
Domantas Sabonis · Drew Eubanks
Isaiah StevensOutDamian Lillard · Jerami Grant

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · POR chance
Our model fair27.1%72.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+26927%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−26973%————
SpreadPOR by 8.9
SACSacramento Kings+8.9our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−8.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.6
Over230.6our total————
Under230.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 8.9 expected
Sacramento Kings by 51 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 50 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 48 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 49 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 50 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 51 points: <1%
← SAC wins byPOR wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more64%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more48%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more34%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.6 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.549%
Total over 240.530%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GDaeqwon Plowdenstarted
GDevin Carterstarted
GNique Cliffordstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GScoot Hendersonstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·POR
Apr 10 vs GS
last game
Apr 10 vs LAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 12, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDe'Andre Hunter · left eye; retinal repairOut
SACDeMar DeRozan · right hamstring; strainOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; meniscus repairOut
SACDrew Eubanks · left thumb; ucl repairOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left ankle; sprainOut
SACMalik Monk · personal reasonsOut
SACRussell Westbrook · right toe; injury managementOut
SACZach LaVine · right 5th finger; tendon repairOut
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJerami Grant · right calf; strainOut
PORVit Krejci · left calf; contusionQuestionable
PORMatisse Thybulle · right ankle; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 81+ games
SAC·POR
−0.83
rating (0 = average)
−0.05
111.0
points / game
115.4
121.0
points allowed / game
115.8
22−59
season record
41−40
15−26
home record
23−17
7−33
away record
18−23
W1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
6−4
46.7
FG%
45.4
34.0
3P%
34.1
42.2
rebounds / game
46.0
25.6
assists / game
25.1
14.3
turnovers / game
17.3
50.4
points in paint / game
48.3

Rating Trend

SAC · POR · 158 days
Sacramento KingsPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 6−4
Jan 18at SACPOR 117 − 110
Dec 20, 2025at SACPOR 98 − 93
Dec 18, 2025at PORPOR 134 − 133
Mar 27, 2025at SACSAC 128 − 107
Feb 6, 2025at PORPOR 108 − 102
Nov 29, 2024at PORPOR 115 − 106
Oct 28, 2024at SACSAC 111 − 98
Apr 14, 2024at SACSAC 121 − 82
Dec 26, 2023at PORPOR 130 − 113
Nov 8, 2023at SACSAC 121 − 118

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Apr 10vs GS124 − 118W
Apr 7at GS105 − 110L
Apr 5vs LAC109 − 138L
Apr 3vs NO117 − 113W
Apr 1at TOR123 − 115W
Mar 29at BKN99 − 116L
Mar 28at ATL113 − 123L
Mar 26at ORL117 − 121L
Mar 24at CHA90 − 134L
Mar 22vs BKN126 − 122W

POR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Apr 10vs LAC116 − 97W
Apr 8at SA101 − 112L
Apr 6at DEN132 − 137L
Apr 2vs NO118 − 106W
Mar 31at LAC114 − 104W
Mar 29vs WSH123 − 88W
Mar 27vs DAL93 − 100L
Mar 25vs MIL130 − 99W
Mar 23vs BKN134 − 99W
Mar 22at DEN112 − 128L