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Grizzlies at Trail Blazers

NBA · Thursday, Oct 29 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final MEM 124 – POR 103
← NBA / Oct 29

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM25333333124
POR25332520103
Team box
MEM·POR
47-102
field goals
37-91
18-42
3-pointers
12-49
12-12
free throws
17-26
54
rebounds
45
32
assists
23
11
turnovers
16
50
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deni AvdijaPOR322497
Cameron BoozerMEM28181212
Isaiah StewartMEM161830
Cedric CowardMEM271774
Ja MorantPOR231423
Zach EdeyMEM191370

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +24
MEM +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 8 · MEM 24lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 29%, POR 71% · Updated Oct 29

Expected margin
POR by 7.5
Expected score
POR 120.6 – 113.1 MEM
Expected total
233.7
GrizzliesThe matchupTrail Blazers
+243Our fair odds−243
113.1Expected points120.6
−0.51Power rating+0.28
116.8Points / game129.3
107.0Allowed / game110.7
45.5FG%51.7
39.23P%39.7
49.5Rebounds / game46.3
4−0Season record3−0
4−6Last 106−4
Carson Cooper · Jahmai Mashack
Javon SmallOutChris Youngblood · Jayson Kent
Robert Williams III · Shaedon Sharpe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · POR chance
Our model fair29.2%70.8%
Kalshi29.4%74.4%
Polymarket US29.4%74.4%
ProphetX29.2%73.1%
Novig28.5%72.0%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 9:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 8:59 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 8:58 PM CTNovigpre-game · 8:57 PM CT
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+24329%+24029.4%+24029.4%+24229.2%+25128.5%
PORPortland Trail Blazers−24371%−29074.4%−29074.4%−27273.1%−25772.0%
SpreadPOR by 7.5
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+7.5our margin+7.5 −10350.7%+7.5 −10350.7%+7.5 −10050.0%+7.5 +10449.0%
PORPortland Trail Blazers−7.5our margin−7.5 −11653.7%−7.5 −11653.7%−7.5 −11052.4%−7.5 −10651.5%
Totalwe expect 233.7
Over233.7our totalo233.5 −10751.8%o233.5 −10751.7%o233.5 −10350.8%o233.5 +10050.0%
Under233.7our totalu233.5 −11252.7%u233.5 −11252.7%u233.5 −10751.7%u233.5 −10250.5%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 7.5 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 50 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 49 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 48 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 47 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 46 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 48 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 49 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 50 points: <1%
← MEM wins byPOR wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more60%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more45%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more31%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.7 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GTy Jeromestarted
FCedric Cowardstarted
FCameron Boozerstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CZach Edeystarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GDamian Lillardstarted
GJa Morantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·POR
Oct 26 at UTAH
last game
Oct 27 at LAL
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 29, 9:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMCarson Cooper · g league - two-wayOut
MEMJahmai Mashack · g league - two-wayOut
MEMJavon Small · g league - two-wayOut
Portland Trail Blazers
PORChris Youngblood · g league - two-wayOut
PORJayson Kent · g league - two-wayOut
PORRobert Williams III · left knee injury managementOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · right meniscus surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 3+ games
MEM·POR
−0.51
rating (0 = average)
+0.28
116.8
points / game
129.3
107.0
points allowed / game
110.7
4−0
season record
3−0
1−0
home record
1−0
3−0
away record
2−0
W4
streak
W3
4−6
last 10
6−4
45.5
FG%
51.7
39.2
3P%
39.7
49.5
rebounds / game
46.3
25.0
assists / game
30.7
17.0
turnovers / game
13.7
45.0
points in paint / game
54.7

Rating Trend

MEM · POR · 9 days
Memphis GrizzliesPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 6−4
Mar 4at MEMPOR 122 − 114
Feb 7at PORPOR 122 − 115
Feb 6at PORPOR 135 − 115
Dec 7, 2025at MEMMEM 119 − 96
Mar 19, 2025at PORPOR 115 − 99
Nov 25, 2024at MEMMEM 123 − 98
Nov 10, 2024at PORMEM 134 − 89
Mar 2, 2024at MEMPOR 107 − 100
Mar 1, 2024at MEMPOR 122 − 92
Nov 5, 2023at PORMEM 112 − 100

MEM · Last 10

4−6 · streak W4
Oct 26at UTAH110 − 105W
Oct 25at SAC123 − 112W
Oct 23at GS111 − 108W
Oct 21vs UTAH123 − 103W
Apr 12at HOU101 − 132L
Apr 10at UTAH101 − 147L
Apr 8at DEN119 − 136L
Apr 6vs CLE126 − 142L
Apr 5at MIL115 − 131L
Apr 3vs TOR96 − 128L

POR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Oct 27at LAL136 − 129W
Oct 23at SAC128 − 120W
Oct 21vs PHX124 − 83W
Apr 28at SA95 − 114L
Apr 26vs SA93 − 114L
Apr 24vs SA108 − 120L
Apr 21at SA106 − 103W
Apr 19at SA98 − 111L
Apr 12vs SAC122 − 110W
Apr 10vs LAC116 − 97W