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Grizzlies at Jazz

NBA · Friday, Apr 10 · 8:30 PM CT · Delta Center · Final MEM 101 – UTAH 147

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM30222227101
UTAH33413637147
Team box
MEM·UTAH
41-109
field goals
62-110
11-52
3-pointers
15-35
8-9
free throws
8-17
47
rebounds
64
27
assists
43
20
turnovers
16
54
points in paint
86
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Blake HinsonUTAH353022
Bez MbengUTAH38271111
Kennedy ChandlerUTAH4126510
Ace BaileyUTAH2923102
Dariq WhiteheadMEM242130
Toby OkaniMEM422022

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +55
MEM +55
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 55 · MEM 4lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 58%, UTAH 42% · Updated Apr 10

Expected margin
MEM by 3.2
Expected score
MEM 125.2 – 122.1 UTAH
Expected total
247.3
GrizzliesThe matchupJazz
−140Our fair odds+140
125.2Expected points122.1
−0.52Power rating−1.08
115.0Points / game117.3
120.2Allowed / game126.3
45.9FG%46.7
35.53P%34.6
42.1Rebounds / game43.6
25−55Season record21−59
1−9Last 100−10
Brandon Clarke · Cam Spencer
Cedric Coward · GG Jackson
Ja Morant
Out (5 each)Brice Sensabaugh · Elijah Harkless
Isaiah Collier · Jaren Jackson Jr.
Jusuf Nurkic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair58.4%41.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−14058%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+14042%————
SpreadMEM by 3.2
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−3.2our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+3.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 247.3
Over247.3our total————
Under247.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 3.2 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%
← MEM wins byUTAH wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more49%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more34%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

247.3 expected
195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: <1%209 points: <1%210 points: <1%211 points: <1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 2%257 points: 2%258 points: 2%259 points: 2%260 points: 2%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: 1%277 points: 1%278 points: 1%279 points: 1%280 points: 1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%304 points: <1%305 points: <1%306 points: <1%307 points: <1%308 points: <1%309 points: <1%310 points: <1%311 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 237.566%
Total over 247.548%
Total over 257.531%
Total from 238 to 25735%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GAdama Balstarted
FToby Okanistarted
Utah Jazz
GAce Baileystarted
FBlake Hinsonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·UTAH
Apr 8 at DEN
last game
Apr 7 at NO
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Apr 10, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right calf; strainOut
MEMCam Spencer · low back; sorenessOut
MEMCedric Coward · low back; sorenessOut
MEMGG Jackson · left knee; sorenessOut
MEMJa Morant · left elbow; ucl sprainOut
MEMJaylen Wells · right great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMKentavious Caldwell-Pope · right 5th finger; surgery recoveryOut
MEMSanti Aldama · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · right great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTaylor Hendricks · right thumb; sprainOut
and 5 more
Utah Jazz
UTAHBrice Sensabaugh · restOut
UTAHElijah Harkless · left hamstring; strainOut
UTAHIsaiah Collier · left hamstring; strainOut
UTAHJaren Jackson Jr. · left knee; injury recoveryOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · nose; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKeyonte George · right hamstring; strainOut
UTAHKyle Filipowski · low back; injury managementOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right hip; impingementOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 80+ games
MEM·UTAH
−0.52
rating (0 = average)
−1.08
115.0
points / game
117.3
120.2
points allowed / game
126.3
25−55
season record
21−59
14−27
home record
13−27
11−28
away record
8−32
L6
streak
L10
1−9
last 10
0−10
45.9
FG%
46.7
35.5
3P%
34.6
42.1
rebounds / game
43.6
27.9
assists / game
29.5
15.0
turnovers / game
15.5
48.5
points in paint / game
52.3

Rating Trend

MEM · UTAH · 157 days
Memphis GrizzliesUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 3−7
Feb 20at MEMMEM 123 − 114
Dec 23, 2025at UTAHMEM 137 − 128
Dec 12, 2025at MEMUTAH 130 − 126
Mar 25, 2025at UTAHMEM 140 − 103
Mar 12, 2025at MEMMEM 122 − 115
Jan 25, 2025at MEMMEM 125 − 103
Oct 23, 2024at UTAHMEM 126 − 124
Nov 29, 2023at MEMMEM 105 − 91
Nov 10, 2023at MEMUTAH 127 − 121
Nov 1, 2023at UTAHUTAH 133 − 109

MEM · Last 10

1−9 · streak L6
Apr 8at DEN119 − 136L
Apr 6vs CLE126 − 142L
Apr 5at MIL115 − 131L
Apr 3vs TOR96 − 128L
Apr 1vs NY119 − 130L
Mar 30vs PHX105 − 131L
Mar 28vs CHI125 − 124W
Mar 27vs HOU109 − 119L
Mar 25vs SA98 − 123L
Mar 23at ATL107 − 146L

UTAH · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Apr 7at NO137 − 156L
Apr 5at OKC111 − 146L
Apr 3at HOU106 − 140L
Apr 1vs DEN117 − 130L
Mar 30vs CLE113 − 122L
Mar 28at PHX109 − 134L
Mar 27at DEN129 − 135L
Mar 25vs WSH110 − 133L
Mar 23vs TOR127 − 143L
Mar 21vs PHI116 − 126L