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Blues at Rangers

NHL · Tuesday, Nov 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 3

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
NYR 3.1 – 2.9 STL
Expected total
6.0
BluesThe matchupRangers
+103Our fair odds−103
2.9Expected goals3.1
+0.02Power rating−0.06
3.0Goals / game3.1
2.9Allowed / game3.0
27.2Shots / game24.5
49.2Faceoff %53.9
19.4Hits / game26.0
6−7Season record7−7
5−5Last 104−6
Brandon Carlo D · Dillon Dube C
Logan Mailloux D · Ross Johnston LW
Tyler Tucker DOutAdam Sykora LW · Igor Shesterkin G
Joe Veleno C · Joonas Korpisalo G

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
STL chance · NYR chance
Our model fair49.2%50.8%
Kalshi50.7%56.7%
Polymarket US49.7%55.7%
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi4:33 AM CTPolymarket US4:33 AM CTProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
STLSt. Louis Blues+10349%−10350.7%+10149.7%——
NYRNew York Rangers−10351%−13156.7%−12655.7%——
Spreadabout even
STLSt. Louis Blues+0.1our margin—−1.5 −10350.7%——
NYRNew York Rangers−0.1our margin—+1.5 −1063999.1%——
Totalwe expect 6.0
Over6.0our total—o5.5 −34077.3%——
Under6.0our total—u5.5 −26372.4%——

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
St. Louis Blues by 6 goals: <1%St. Louis Blues by 5 goals: 2%St. Louis Blues by 4 goals: 5%St. Louis Blues by 3 goals: 10%St. Louis Blues by 2 goals: 9%St. Louis Blues by 1 goal: 23%New York Rangers by 1 goal: 20%New York Rangers by 2 goals: 10%New York Rangers by 3 goals: 12%New York Rangers by 4 goals: 6%New York Rangers by 5 goals: 2%New York Rangers by 6 goals: <1%
← STL wins byNYR wins by →
New York Rangers wins by 2 or more31%
New York Rangers wins by 3 or more20%
St. Louis Blues wins by 2 or more26%
Decided by one goal43%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.0 expected
1 goals: 2%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 12%4 goals: 9%5 goals: 22%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 18%8 goals: 7%9 goals: 9%10 goals: 3%11 goals: 3%12 goals: 1%13 goals: 1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.553%
Total over 6.542%
Total over 7.523%
Total from 6 to 729%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
STLJoel Hofer G · last 5 starts: .924 save %, 2.63 GAAexpected
NYRJames Reimer G · last 5 starts: .890 save %, 2.33 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
STL·NYR
Oct 29 vs BOS
last game
Oct 26 vs LA
4 days
days of rest
7 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
0
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
St. Louis Blues
STLBrandon Carlo DOut
STLColton Parayko D · upper bodyDay-to-day
STLDillon Dube C · neck, back about Dec 4IR
STLLogan Mailloux D · hand surgery, back about Nov 25IR
STLRoss Johnston LW · lower bodyIR
STLTyler Tucker D · left knee surgery, back about Nov 12IR
New York Rangers
NYREeli Tolvanen RW · personalDay-to-day
NYRJames Reimer G · upper bodyDay-to-day
NYRAdam Sykora LW · lower body, back about Jan 25, 2027IR
NYRIgor Shesterkin G · right knee surgery, back about Sep 15, 2027IR
NYRJoe Veleno C · right lower body, back about Jan 3, 2027IR
NYRJoonas Korpisalo G · lower body, back about Nov 9IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
STL·NYR
+0.02
rating (0 = average)
−0.06
3.0
goals / game
3.1
2.9
goals allowed / game
3.0
6−7
season record
7−7
4−3
home record
6−1
2−4
away record
1−6
W1
streak
L3
5−5
last 10
4−6
27.2
shots / game
24.5
49.2
faceoff %
53.9
19.4
hits / game
26.0
11.5
blocked shots / game
14.8
3.6
takeaways / game
4.0
16.9
giveaways / game
15.1

Rating Trend

STL · NYR · 31 days
St. Louis BluesNew York Rangers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NYR 5−5
Dec 18, 2025at STLNYR 2 − 1 OT
Nov 24, 2025at NYRNYR 3 − 2
Dec 15, 2024at STLSTL 3 − 2
Nov 25, 2024at NYRSTL 5 − 2
Mar 9, 2024at NYRNYR 4 − 0
Jan 11, 2024at STLSTL 5 − 2
Apr 6, 2023at STLSTL 3 − 2 OT
Dec 5, 2022at NYRNYR 6 − 4
Mar 10, 2022at STLSTL 6 − 2
Mar 2, 2022at NYRNYR 5 − 3

STL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 29vs BOS4 − 1W
Oct 27vs MTL0 − 2L
Oct 24vs CAR0 − 4L
Oct 22vs VGK6 − 2W
Oct 20vs WPG2 − 1W
Oct 17at NSH2 − 5L
Oct 15at MIN4 − 5L
Oct 13at OTT7 − 2W
Oct 10vs CBJ5 − 3W
Oct 8vs SJ2 − 3L

NYR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Oct 26vs LA3 − 6L
Oct 24at OTT4 − 7L
Oct 22at TOR4 − 5L
Oct 19vs ANA5 − 2W
Oct 17at CBJ0 − 1L
Oct 15at NJ1 − 7L
Oct 13vs TB4 − 1W
Oct 11vs VAN6 − 2W
Oct 9at WSH1 − 3L
Oct 6vs NYI5 − 2W