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Devils at Islanders

NHL · Saturday, Nov 7 · 6:00 PM CT · UBS Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 7

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 31

Expected margin
Even
Expected score
NYI 2.9 – 2.9 NJ
Expected total
5.7
DevilsThe matchupIslanders
−102Our fair odds+102
2.9Expected goals2.9
+0.04Power rating−0.03
3.4Goals / game3.1
2.9Allowed / game2.7
32.6Shots / game26.2
50.2Faceoff %55.3
16.6Hits / game24.5
9−5Season record7−6
7−3Last 106−4
Seamus Casey DOutAlexander Romanov D · Calum Ritchie C
Mathew Barzal C · Matias Maccelli LW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NJ chance · NYI chance
Our model fair50.6%49.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NJNew Jersey Devils−10251%————
NYINew York Islanders+10249%————
Spreadabout even
NJNew Jersey DevilsPKour margin————
NYINew York IslandersPKour margin————
Totalwe expect 5.7
Over5.7our total————
Under5.7our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
New Jersey Devils by 5 goals: 2%New Jersey Devils by 4 goals: 5%New Jersey Devils by 3 goals: 11%New Jersey Devils by 2 goals: 10%New Jersey Devils by 1 goal: 23%New York Islanders by 1 goal: 21%New York Islanders by 2 goals: 10%New York Islanders by 3 goals: 11%New York Islanders by 4 goals: 5%New York Islanders by 5 goals: 2%
← NJ wins byNYI wins by →
New York Islanders wins by 2 or more28%
New York Islanders wins by 3 or more18%
New Jersey Devils wins by 2 or more28%
Decided by one goal44%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,068 past NHL games.

Total range

5.7 expected
1 goals: 3%2 goals: 3%3 goals: 14%4 goals: 10%5 goals: 23%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 17%8 goals: 6%9 goals: 8%10 goals: 2%11 goals: 2%12 goals: 1%13 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 4.570%
Total over 5.548%
Total over 6.537%
Total from 5 to 634%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,068 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
NJnot announced yet
NYInot announced yet

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NJ·NYI
Oct 30 at VGK
last game
Oct 29 at MIN
7 days
days of rest
8 days
no
back-to-back
no
0
games in last 7 days
0
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
New Jersey Devils
NJAnthony Mantha RW · undisclosedDay-to-day
NJSeamus Casey D · knee, back about Nov 21IR
New York Islanders
NYIRyan Pulock D · upper bodyDay-to-day
NYIAlexander Romanov D · right knee surgery, back about Apr 8, 2027IR
NYICalum Ritchie C · lower body, back about Dec 1IR
NYIMathew Barzal C · kneeIR
NYIMatias Maccelli LW · left lower body, back about Nov 17IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
NJ·NYI
+0.04
rating (0 = average)
−0.03
3.4
goals / game
3.1
2.9
goals allowed / game
2.7
9−5
season record
7−6
6−2
home record
4−2
3−3
away record
3−4
W1
streak
W2
7−3
last 10
6−4
32.6
shots / game
26.2
50.2
faceoff %
55.3
16.6
hits / game
24.5
11.9
blocked shots / game
13.8
4.7
takeaways / game
3.6
16.3
giveaways / game
14.5

Rating Trend

NJ · NYI · 32 days
New Jersey DevilsNew York Islanders
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NYI 8−2
Oct 3at NYINYI 6 − 0
Feb 5at NJNYI 3 − 1
Jan 6at NYINYI 9 − 0
Dec 23, 2025at NYINYI 2 − 1
Nov 10, 2025at NJNYI 3 − 2 OT
Apr 13, 2025at NJNYI 1 − 0
Nov 9, 2024at NYINJ 4 − 3 OT
Oct 25, 2024at NJNYI 4 − 3 OT
Apr 15, 2024at NJNYI 4 − 1
Mar 24, 2024at NYINJ 4 − 0

NJ · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Oct 30at VGK5 − 2W
Oct 28at COL2 − 5L
Oct 27at DAL5 − 1W
Oct 24vs LA3 − 1W
Oct 22vs ANA4 − 1W
Oct 20vs COL4 − 3W
Oct 17at WSH2 − 4L
Oct 15vs NYR7 − 1W
Oct 13at DET5 − 4W
Oct 12vs OTT1 − 4L

NYI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 29at MIN4 − 3W
Oct 27at NSH4 − 3W
Oct 25at DAL3 − 6L
Oct 22vs LA2 − 3L
Oct 20vs ANA3 − 2W
Oct 17at TOR4 − 1W
Oct 15at OTT1 − 2L
Oct 13vs VAN3 − 2W
Oct 10vs TB3 − 5L
Oct 8vs CHI4 − 1W