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Predators at Avalanche

NHL · Thursday, Nov 5 · 8:30 PM CT · Ball Arena · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NHL / Nov 5

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
COL by 1.4
Expected score
COL 4.1 – 2.6 NSH
Expected total
6.7
PredatorsThe matchupAvalanche
+221Our fair odds−221
2.6Expected goals4.1
−0.14Power rating+0.45
2.8Goals / game4.2
3.3Allowed / game3.2
25.6Shots / game30.4
50.6Faceoff %46.7
22.7Hits / game16.1
4−9Season record7−6
3−7Last 105−5
William Trudeau DOutJosh Manson D · Zachary L'Heureux LW

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NSH chance · COL chance
Our model fair31.1%68.9%
Kalshi34.5%73.4%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi5:13 AM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NSHNashville Predators+22131%+18934.5%———
COLColorado Avalanche−22169%−27673.4%———
SpreadCOL by 1.4
NSHNashville Predators+1.4our margin————
COLColorado Avalanche−1.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 6.7
Over6.7our total————
Under6.7our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Colorado Avalanche by 1.4 expected
Nashville Predators by 7 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 6 goals: <1%Nashville Predators by 5 goals: 1%Nashville Predators by 4 goals: 2%Nashville Predators by 3 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 2 goals: 5%Nashville Predators by 1 goal: 17%Colorado Avalanche by 1 goal: 18%Colorado Avalanche by 2 goals: 13%Colorado Avalanche by 3 goals: 19%Colorado Avalanche by 4 goals: 12%Colorado Avalanche by 5 goals: 6%Colorado Avalanche by 6 goals: 1%Colorado Avalanche by 7 goals: 1%
← NSH wins byCOL wins by →
Colorado Avalanche wins by 2 or more52%
Colorado Avalanche wins by 3 or more39%
Nashville Predators wins by 2 or more13%
Decided by one goal35%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Total range

6.7 expected
1 goals: 1%2 goals: 2%3 goals: 8%4 goals: 7%5 goals: 18%6 goals: 11%7 goals: 19%8 goals: 9%9 goals: 11%10 goals: 5%11 goals: 5%12 goals: 2%13 goals: 1%14 goals: <1%
Total goals, both teams
Total over 5.564%
Total over 6.553%
Total over 7.534%
Total from 6 to 730%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected goals, with ties after regulation settled as one-goal games, matched to 7,066 past NHL games.

Probable Starting Goalies

as announced
NSHJuuse Saros G · last 5 starts: .908 save %, 2.71 GAAexpected
COLMackenzie Blackwood G · last 5 starts: .912 save %, 2.42 GAAexpected

Starting goalies are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NSH·COL
Oct 29 vs WSH
last game
Oct 28 vs NJ
6 days
days of rest
7 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
0
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Nashville Predators
NSHWilliam Trudeau DIR
Colorado Avalanche
COLJosh Manson D · left ankle, back about Dec 27Out
COLLogan O'Connor RW · personalDay-to-day
COLZachary L'Heureux LW · upper body, back about Nov 7IR

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026–27 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
NSH·COL
−0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.45
2.8
goals / game
4.2
3.3
goals allowed / game
3.2
4−9
season record
7−6
3−5
home record
5−2
1−4
away record
2−4
L2
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
5−5
25.6
shots / game
30.4
50.6
faceoff %
46.7
22.7
hits / game
16.1
15.2
blocked shots / game
14.4
4.8
takeaways / game
4.3
17.0
giveaways / game
17.1

Rating Trend

NSH · COL · 31 days
Nashville PredatorsColorado Avalanche
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · COL 5−5
Oct 25at NSHNSH 6 − 2
Jan 16at COLNSH 7 − 3
Dec 13, 2025at COLCOL 4 − 2
Dec 9, 2025at NSHNSH 4 − 3 SO
Nov 22, 2025at NSHCOL 3 − 0
Feb 22, 2025at NSHNSH 2 − 1
Dec 14, 2024at COLCOL 5 − 2
Nov 11, 2024at COLCOL 3 − 2 OT
Nov 2, 2024at NSHNSH 5 − 2
Mar 30, 2024at COLCOL 7 − 4

NSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Oct 29vs WSH3 − 4L
Oct 27vs NYI3 − 4L
Oct 25vs COL6 − 2W
Oct 24at PIT2 − 3L
Oct 22at BOS0 − 6L
Oct 17vs STL5 − 2W
Oct 15vs SJ2 − 3L
Oct 13vs VGK2 − 5L
Oct 10at OTT2 − 3L
Oct 8at MTL5 − 2W

COL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 28vs NJ5 − 2W
Oct 25at NSH2 − 6L
Oct 23vs TB6 − 3W
Oct 20at NJ3 − 4L
Oct 19at PHI2 − 3L
Oct 16vs PIT5 − 2W
Oct 14vs DAL2 − 3L
Oct 13at DAL3 − 2W
Oct 10vs TOR3 − 6L
Oct 8at CGY7 − 3W