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Rockies at Angels

MLB · Tuesday, Jun 2 · 8:38 PM CT · Angel Stadium · Final COL 8 – LAA 2
← MLB / Jun 2

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123456789THE
COL0305000008110
LAA000020000273
Team box
COL·LAA
11
hits
7
2
home runs
0
5
walks
2
8
strikeouts
8
151
pitches thrown
180
0
errors
3
Top hitters
PlayerTeamH-ABRHRRBI
Willi CastroCOL1-5113
Hunter GoodmanCOL2-4111
Wade MecklerLAA2-3002
Jake McCarthyCOL2-5101
Edouard JulienCOL2-2101
Troy JohnstonCOL2-4100
Pitchers
PitcherTeamIPHERBBK
Tomoyuki Sugano (W)COL5.05225
Grayson Rodriguez (L)LAA3.27733

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAA +8
COL +8
123456789
largest lead: LAA 0 · COL 8lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was COL 41%, LAA 59% · Updated Jun 2

Expected margin
LAA by 0.9
Expected score
LAA 5.6 – 4.7 COL
Expected total
10.3
RockiesThe matchupAngels
+146Our fair odds−146
4.7Expected runs5.6
−0.58Power rating−0.27
4.3Runs / game4.3
5.6Allowed / game5.2
8.3Hits / game7.7
0.92Home runs / game1.18
3.0Walks drawn / game3.5
23−38Season record23−38
4−6Last 106−4

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
COL chance · LAA chance
Our model fair40.6%59.4%
Kalshi42.7%61.7%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 8:38 PM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
COLColorado Rockies+14641%+13442.7%———
LAALos Angeles Angels−14659%−16161.7%———
SpreadLAA by 0.9
COLColorado Rockies+0.9our margin————
LAALos Angeles Angels−0.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 10.3
Over10.3our total————
Under10.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Angels by 0.9 expected
Colorado Rockies by 15 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 14 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 13 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 12 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 11 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 10 runs: 1%Colorado Rockies by 9 runs: 1%Colorado Rockies by 8 runs: 1%Colorado Rockies by 7 runs: 2%Colorado Rockies by 6 runs: 3%Colorado Rockies by 5 runs: 4%Colorado Rockies by 4 runs: 5%Colorado Rockies by 3 runs: 6%Colorado Rockies by 2 runs: 8%Colorado Rockies by 1 run: 9%Los Angeles Angels by 1 run: 15%Los Angeles Angels by 2 runs: 10%Los Angeles Angels by 3 runs: 7%Los Angeles Angels by 4 runs: 6%Los Angeles Angels by 5 runs: 5%Los Angeles Angels by 6 runs: 4%Los Angeles Angels by 7 runs: 3%Los Angeles Angels by 8 runs: 2%Los Angeles Angels by 9 runs: 2%Los Angeles Angels by 10 runs: 1%Los Angeles Angels by 11 runs: 1%Los Angeles Angels by 12 runs: 1%Los Angeles Angels by 13 runs: <1%Los Angeles Angels by 14 runs: <1%Los Angeles Angels by 15 runs: <1%
← COL wins byLAA wins by →
Los Angeles Angels wins by 2 or more44%
Los Angeles Angels wins by 3 or more34%
Colorado Rockies wins by 2 or more31%
Decided by one run25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected runs, with ties after nine settled as one-run games, matched to 14,698 past MLB games.

Total range

10.3 expected
1 runs: 1%2 runs: 1%3 runs: 4%4 runs: 3%5 runs: 8%6 runs: 6%7 runs: 10%8 runs: 7%9 runs: 10%10 runs: 7%11 runs: 9%12 runs: 6%13 runs: 7%14 runs: 4%15 runs: 5%16 runs: 3%17 runs: 3%18 runs: 2%19 runs: 2%20 runs: 1%21 runs: 1%22 runs: 1%23 runs: 1%24 runs: <1%25 runs: <1%26 runs: <1%27 runs: <1%
Total runs, both teams
Total over 8.561%
Total over 10.544%
Total over 12.530%
Total from 9 to 1231%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected runs, with ties after nine settled as one-run games, matched to 14,698 past MLB games.

Starting Pitchers

from the box score
COLTomoyuki Sugano SP · last 3 starts: 16.1 IP, 3.86 ERA, 7 Kstarted
LAAGrayson Rodriguez SP · last 3 starts: 14.1 IP, 7.53 ERA, 14 Kstarted

Starting pitchers are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
COL·LAA
Jun 1 at LAA
last game
Jun 1 vs COL
0 days
days of rest
0 days
6
games in last 7 days
7
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 61+ games
COL·LAA
−0.58
rating (0 = average)
−0.27
4.3
runs / game
4.3
5.6
runs allowed / game
5.2
23−38
season record
23−38
12−16
home record
12−17
11−22
away record
11−21
W1
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
6−4
8.3
hits / game
7.7
0.92
home runs / game
1.18
3.0
walks drawn / game
3.5
9.0
batter strikeouts / game
9.4
7.1
pitcher strikeouts / game
8.7
0.61
errors / game
0.57

Rating Trend

COL · LAA · 69 days
Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Angels
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAA 3−7
Jun 1at LAACOL 9 − 8
Sep 21, 2025at COLCOL 3 − 1
Sep 20, 2025at COLLAA 3 − 0
Sep 19, 2025at COLCOL 7 − 6
Aug 1, 2024at LAACOL 5 − 4
Jul 31, 2024at LAACOL 2 − 1
Jul 30, 2024at LAALAA 10 − 7
Jun 25, 2023at COLCOL 4 − 3
Jun 24, 2023at COLLAA 25 − 1
Jun 23, 2023at COLCOL 7 − 4

COL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Jun 1at LAA9 − 8W
May 31vs SF6 − 19L
May 30vs SF8 − 3W
May 29vs SF8 − 6W
May 27at LAD1 − 4L
May 26at LAD6 − 15L
May 25at LAD3 − 5L
May 24at ARI1 − 9L
May 23at ARI4 − 5L
May 22at ARI3 − 2W

LAA · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Jun 1vs COL8 − 9L
May 31at TB2 − 5L
May 30at TB14 − 3W
May 29at TB5 − 8L
May 28at DET7 − 1W
May 27at DET0 − 4L
May 26at DET10 − 6W
May 24vs TEX2 − 1W
May 23vs TEX5 − 2W
May 22vs TEX9 − 6W