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Rockies at Angels

MLB · Wednesday, Jun 3 · 8:38 PM CT · Angel Stadium · Final COL 4 – LAA 11
← MLB / Jun 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team123456789THE
COL000120010471
LAA0602120011160
Team box
COL·LAA
7
hits
16
1
home runs
1
3
walks
3
9
strikeouts
8
163
pitches thrown
153
1
errors
0
Top hitters
PlayerTeamH-ABRHRRBI
Vaughn GrissomLAA2-5213
Nick MadrigalLAA4-5101
Tyler FreemanCOL1-4112
Troy JohnstonCOL2-4002
Oswald PerazaLAA2-5102
Wade MecklerLAA4-5200
Pitchers
PitcherTeamIPHERBBK
Michael Lorenzen (L)COL3.110825
Walbert Urena (W)LAA6.03337

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAA +8
COL +8
123456789
largest lead: LAA 8 · COL 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was COL 42%, LAA 58% · Updated Jun 3

Expected margin
LAA by 0.7
Expected score
LAA 5.5 – 4.8 COL
Expected total
10.3
RockiesThe matchupAngels
+139Our fair odds−139
4.8Expected runs5.5
−0.55Power rating−0.29
4.3Runs / game4.3
5.5Allowed / game5.2
8.4Hits / game7.7
0.94Home runs / game1.16
3.0Walks drawn / game3.5
24−38Season record23−39
4−6Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
COL chance · LAA chance
Our model fair41.9%58.1%
Kalshi45.7%58.7%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 8:38 PM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
COLColorado Rockies+13942%+11945.7%———
LAALos Angeles Angels−13958%−14258.7%———
SpreadLAA by 0.7
COLColorado Rockies+0.7our margin————
LAALos Angeles Angels−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 10.3
Over10.3our total————
Under10.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Angels by 0.7 expected
Colorado Rockies by 15 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 14 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 13 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 12 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 11 runs: <1%Colorado Rockies by 10 runs: 1%Colorado Rockies by 9 runs: 1%Colorado Rockies by 8 runs: 1%Colorado Rockies by 7 runs: 2%Colorado Rockies by 6 runs: 3%Colorado Rockies by 5 runs: 4%Colorado Rockies by 4 runs: 5%Colorado Rockies by 3 runs: 6%Colorado Rockies by 2 runs: 8%Colorado Rockies by 1 run: 9%Los Angeles Angels by 1 run: 16%Los Angeles Angels by 2 runs: 9%Los Angeles Angels by 3 runs: 7%Los Angeles Angels by 4 runs: 6%Los Angeles Angels by 5 runs: 5%Los Angeles Angels by 6 runs: 4%Los Angeles Angels by 7 runs: 3%Los Angeles Angels by 8 runs: 2%Los Angeles Angels by 9 runs: 2%Los Angeles Angels by 10 runs: 1%Los Angeles Angels by 11 runs: 1%Los Angeles Angels by 12 runs: 1%Los Angeles Angels by 13 runs: <1%Los Angeles Angels by 14 runs: <1%Los Angeles Angels by 15 runs: <1%
← COL wins byLAA wins by →
Los Angeles Angels wins by 2 or more42%
Los Angeles Angels wins by 3 or more33%
Colorado Rockies wins by 2 or more33%
Decided by one run25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from each team's expected runs, with ties after nine settled as one-run games, matched to 14,698 past MLB games.

Total range

10.3 expected
1 runs: 1%2 runs: 1%3 runs: 4%4 runs: 3%5 runs: 8%6 runs: 6%7 runs: 10%8 runs: 7%9 runs: 10%10 runs: 7%11 runs: 9%12 runs: 6%13 runs: 7%14 runs: 4%15 runs: 5%16 runs: 3%17 runs: 3%18 runs: 2%19 runs: 2%20 runs: 1%21 runs: 1%22 runs: 1%23 runs: 1%24 runs: <1%25 runs: <1%26 runs: <1%27 runs: <1%
Total runs, both teams
Total over 8.561%
Total over 10.544%
Total over 12.530%
Total from 9 to 1231%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from each team's expected runs, with ties after nine settled as one-run games, matched to 14,698 past MLB games.

Starting Pitchers

from the box score
COLMichael Lorenzen SP · last 3 starts: 13.1 IP, 9.45 ERA, 12 Kstarted
LAAWalbert Urena SP · last 3 starts: 17.0 IP, 1.06 ERA, 15 Kstarted

Starting pitchers are part of our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
COL·LAA
Jun 2 at LAA
last game
Jun 2 vs COL
0 days
days of rest
0 days
6
games in last 7 days
7
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 62+ games
COL·LAA
−0.55
rating (0 = average)
−0.29
4.3
runs / game
4.3
5.5
runs allowed / game
5.2
24−38
season record
23−39
12−16
home record
12−18
12−22
away record
11−21
W2
streak
L3
4−6
last 10
5−5
8.4
hits / game
7.7
0.94
home runs / game
1.16
3.0
walks drawn / game
3.5
9.0
batter strikeouts / game
9.4
7.1
pitcher strikeouts / game
8.7
0.60
errors / game
0.61

Rating Trend

COL · LAA · 70 days
Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Angels
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAA 3−7
Jun 2at LAACOL 8 − 2
Jun 1at LAACOL 9 − 8
Sep 21, 2025at COLCOL 3 − 1
Sep 20, 2025at COLLAA 3 − 0
Sep 19, 2025at COLCOL 7 − 6
Aug 1, 2024at LAACOL 5 − 4
Jul 31, 2024at LAACOL 2 − 1
Jul 30, 2024at LAALAA 10 − 7
Jun 25, 2023at COLCOL 4 − 3
Jun 24, 2023at COLLAA 25 − 1

COL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Jun 2at LAA8 − 2W
Jun 1at LAA9 − 8W
May 31vs SF6 − 19L
May 30vs SF8 − 3W
May 29vs SF8 − 6W
May 27at LAD1 − 4L
May 26at LAD6 − 15L
May 25at LAD3 − 5L
May 24at ARI1 − 9L
May 23at ARI4 − 5L

LAA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Jun 2vs COL2 − 8L
Jun 1vs COL8 − 9L
May 31at TB2 − 5L
May 30at TB14 − 3W
May 29at TB5 − 8L
May 28at DET7 − 1W
May 27at DET0 − 4L
May 26at DET10 − 6W
May 24vs TEX2 − 1W
May 23vs TEX5 − 2W